Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Penafiel — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 14th September, 16:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Lusitania FC Lourosa (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Penafiel on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Lusitania FC Lourosa 50% Over 2.5 at home, Penafiel 40% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Lusitania FC Lourosa at 40% at home and Penafiel at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Penafiel often produce high corner totals away (70%), while Lusitania FC Lourosa are lower at home (50%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Lusitania FC Lourosa see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Penafiel in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Liga Portugal 2 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Lusitania FC Lourosa (11th) and Penafiel (17th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Marítimo 29 18 6 5 44:21 +23 60
2 Academico Viseu 29 15 5 9 53:33 +20 50
3 Torreense 29 14 4 11 36:30 +6 46
4 União de Leiria 29 12 10 7 45:36 +9 46
5 Vizela 29 12 8 9 37:34 +3 44
6 Feirense 29 11 8 10 32:32 0 41
7 Benfica II 29 10 11 8 41:35 +6 41
8 Porto II 28 12 5 11 36:35 +1 41
9 Sporting CP II 29 13 2 14 41:30 +11 41
10 Chaves 29 11 6 12 31:29 +2 39
11 Leixões 29 11 5 13 35:50 -15 38
12 Lusitania FC Lourosa H 28 10 8 10 37:44 -7 38
13 Penafiel A 29 9 8 12 28:30 -2 35
14 Felgueiras 1932 29 8 10 11 25:34 -9 34
15 Farense 29 8 8 13 25:35 -10 32
16 Paços de Ferreira 29 7 11 11 26:39 -13 32
17 Portimonense SAD 29 8 6 15 31:42 -11 30
18 UD Oliveirense 29 6 9 14 27:41 -14 27

Team Form

Penafiel have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Lusitania FC Lourosa have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Lusitania FC Lourosa (Home Form) Penafiel (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lusitania FC Lourosa (40% BTTS at home) and Penafiel (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Lusitania FC Lourosa (Home Form) Penafiel (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Lusitania FC Lourosa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Penafiel in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Lusitania FC Lourosa (Home Form) Penafiel (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Lusitania FC Lourosa (Home Form) Penafiel (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Lusitania FC Lourosa have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Penafiel in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lusitania FC Lourosa (Home Form) Penafiel (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Lusitania FC Lourosa (Home Form) Penafiel (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Lusitania FC Lourosa (Home Form) Penafiel (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Lusitania FC Lourosa (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Penafiel (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Lusitania FC Lourosa (Home Form) Penafiel (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Lusitania FC Lourosa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Penafiel have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lusitania FC Lourosa (Home Form) Penafiel (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Lusitania FC Lourosa (Home Form) Penafiel (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Penafiel across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Lusitania FC Lourosa 1.75
Draw 3.4
Penafiel 4.33

Half Time Result

Lusitania FC Lourosa 2.38
Draw 2.1
Penafiel 5.21

Double Chance

Lusitania FC Lourosa or Draw 1.2
Lusitania FC Lourosa or Penafiel 1.25
Draw or Penafiel 1.9

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.88
No 1.84

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.5 2.1
Over 3.5 3.44
Under 1.5 3.29
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 3.5 1.23

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 2.94

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.33
Over 9.5 1.57
Over 10.5 1.9
Over 11.5 2.5

Lusitania FC Lourosa Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 1.9
Over 2.5 4

Penafiel Goals

Over 0.5 1.61
Over 1.5 4
Over 2.5 13

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    76% combined
  • Alianza U20 vs FAS U20 02:00 BST | Reserve League, El Salvador Alianza U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/21 home matches this season · FAS U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/20 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined

Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Penafiel Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Penafiel?

Over 8.5 Corners — Lusitania FC Lourosa see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Penafiel in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Lusitania FC Lourosa or Penafiel?

Lusitania FC Lourosa have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Penafiel on the road (30% wins) in Liga Portugal 2. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Lusitania FC Lourosa and Penafiel?

Unlikely — Lusitania FC Lourosa (40% BTTS at home) and Penafiel (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Portugal 2. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lusitania FC Lourosa and Penafiel?

Uncertain — Lusitania FC Lourosa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Penafiel in 40% of away games in Liga Portugal 2. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lusitania FC Lourosa or Penafiel?

Penafiel have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lusitania FC Lourosa and Penafiel?

Yes — both Lusitania FC Lourosa (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Penafiel (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga Portugal 2. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Porto II

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Monday 13th April, 18:00 BST

Academico Viseu vs Feirense

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Friday 17th April, 18:45 BST

Paços de Ferreira vs Chaves

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 11:00 BST

União de Leiria vs Penafiel

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 14:00 BST

Torreense vs Marítimo

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 18:00 BST

Portimonense SAD vs Lusitania FC Lourosa

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 11:00 BST

Vizela vs Farense

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 14:00 BST

Porto II vs Leixões

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Monday 20th April, 18:45 BST

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