La Liga 2 · Spain 🕒 Sunday 14th June, 20:00 BST

Málaga vs Almería Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Málaga Home · 1st 5W 4D 1L last 10 home
VS
Almería Away · 2nd 3W 3D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Málaga 50% Draw 26% Almería 24%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes See why ↓

Málaga vs Almería Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

High confidence

Málaga see both teams score in 70% of home games, Almería in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

What the model says
50% Málaga win 26% Draw 24% Almería win 51% BTTS 47% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Under 3.5 Goals 71% Over 1.5 Goals

Málaga sit 1st in the table after 44 games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Almería are 2nd after 44 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Málaga have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Almería have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Málaga in 80% of home games, Almería in 90% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Málaga in 70% of home games (7/10), Almería in 70% away (7/10). Málaga have scored in 90% of home fixtures; Almería in 70% of away games.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games — Málaga at 70% at home (7/10), Almería at 80% away (8/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Málaga (1st) and Almería (2nd) sit in the La Liga 2 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Almería A 44 23 9 12 85:66 +19 78
3 Málaga H 44 22 11 11 77:53 +24 77
View the full La Liga 2 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 +29 82
2 Almería A 44 23 9 12 85:66 +19 78
3 Málaga H 44 22 11 11 77:53 +24 77
4 Deportivo La Coruña 42 22 11 9 65:44 +21 77
5 Las Palmas 44 20 14 10 58:42 +16 74
6 Castellón 44 20 13 11 73:55 +18 73
7 Burgos 42 20 12 10 48:33 +15 72
8 SD Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 +12 67
9 Sporting Gijón 42 18 7 17 60:54 +6 61
10 Córdoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
11 Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 +1 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 +8 58
14 Granada 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
15 Real Sociedad II 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
16 Leganés 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
17 Real Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
18 Cádiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
19 Mirandés 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
21 Cultural Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
22 Real Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36

Team Form

Almería have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Málaga have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Málaga — last 10 home A Almería — last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Málaga have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Almería in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

H Málaga — last 10 home A Almería — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 51% · BTTS No 49%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Málaga 80% at home, Almería 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H Málaga — last 10 home A Almería — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Málaga have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Almería in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Málaga 1.9 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game Almería 1.3 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Málaga — last 10 home A Almería — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Málaga 19 scored / 13 conceded at home · Almería 13 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Málaga (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Almería (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Málaga — last 10 home A Almería — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Málaga have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Almería have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Málaga — last 10 home A Almería — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Málaga vs Almería across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Málaga 2.48 Model: 50%
Draw 3.2 Model: 26%
Almería 3.4 Model: 24%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.67 Model: 51%
No 2.1 Model: 49%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22 Model: 71%
Over 2.5 1.9 Model: 47%
Over 3.5 2.8 Model: 26%
Value Under 1.5 3.74 Model: 29%
Under 2.5 1.9 Model: 53%
Under 3.5 1.37 Model: 74%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.35 Model: 79%
Over 1.5 2.76

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.36 Model: 60%
Over 9.5 1.64 Model: 48%
Over 10.5 2 Model: 36%
Over 11.5 2.6 Model: 26%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Málaga 3.2 Model: 33%
Draw 1.98 Model: 43%
Almería 3.5 Model: 24%

Double Chance

Value Málaga or Draw 1.38 Model: 76%
Málaga or Almería 1.38 Model: 74%
Draw or Almería 1.54 Model: 50%

Málaga Goals

Over 0.5 1.23 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 2.27 Model: 44%

Almería Goals

Over 0.5 1.29 Model: 58%
Over 1.5 2.57 Model: 25%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Österlen vs Nosaby 18:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Österlen have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nosaby have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    90% combined
  • Cerrado U20 vs Grêmio Anápolis U20 19:00 BST | Goiano U20, Brazil Cerrado U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Grêmio Anápolis U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 2.05
    84% combined
  • Campbelltown City vs West Torrens Birkalla 11:00 BST | Npl South Australian, Australia Campbelltown City have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · West Torrens Birkalla have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
  • Brunswick City vs Eltham Redbacks 10:30 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Brunswick City have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Eltham Redbacks have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 6.49
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Málaga vs Almería Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Málaga vs Almería?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes — Málaga see both teams score in 70% of home games, Almería in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Málaga or Almería?

Málaga have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Almería on the road (30% wins) in La Liga 2. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Málaga and Almería?

Yes — both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Málaga have seen BTTS in 70% of home games, Almería in 70% of away games in La Liga 2. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Málaga and Almería?

Uncertain — Málaga have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Almería in 50% of away games in La Liga 2. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Málaga or Almería?

Almería have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Málaga's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Málaga and Almería?

Yes — both Málaga (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Almería (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in La Liga 2. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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