Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama Football Stats

📍 J-League, Japan
🕒 Saturday 27th September, 08:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Machida Zelvia sit 5th in the table after 29 games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Fagiano Okayama are 12th after 28 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road. Machida Zelvia have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Fagiano Okayama side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Machida Zelvia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games this season (2/10); Fagiano Okayama in 60% away (6/10). Machida Zelvia average 0.8 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Fagiano Okayama 1.5 and 1.5 on the road.

Fagiano Okayama regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (90%, 9/10). Machida Zelvia are lower at home (10%, 1/10) — they've conceded in 30% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Machida Zelvia see 8+ in 60% of home games, Fagiano Okayama in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Machida Zelvia have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Fagiano Okayama in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full J1 League table for the 2025 season, with Machida Zelvia (5th) and Fagiano Okayama (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

J1 League 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Kashiwa Reysol 20 12 5 3 39:20 +19 41
2 Kashima Antlers 20 11 6 3 30:16 +14 39
3 Vissel Kobe 21 10 7 4 26:15 +11 37
4 Kyoto Sanga 19 10 7 2 35:18 +17 37
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 21 10 6 5 27:16 +11 36
6 Machida Zelvia H 20 10 5 5 30:18 +12 35
7 Gamba Osaka 20 10 3 7 30:29 +1 33
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 21 10 2 9 31:21 +10 32
9 Kawasaki Frontale 21 9 4 8 39:39 0 31
10 FC Tokyo 21 8 7 6 24:25 -1 31
11 Urawa Reds 18 8 4 6 21:20 +1 28
12 Avispa Fukuoka 20 6 8 6 19:19 0 26
13 Cerezo Osaka 19 7 5 7 34:33 +1 26
14 Nagoya Grampus 20 6 5 9 23:30 -7 23
15 Fagiano Okayama A 20 6 4 10 19:27 -8 22
16 Tokyo Verdy 20 5 5 10 10:23 -13 20
17 Shimizu S-Pulse 20 4 7 9 17:29 -12 19
18 Yokohama 20 4 4 12 15:27 -12 16
19 Shonan Bellmare 20 2 5 13 23:41 -18 11
20 Albirex Niigata 21 1 5 15 17:43 -26 8

Team Form

Machida Zelvia hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Fagiano Okayama have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Machida Zelvia (Home Form) Fagiano Okayama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Lost 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Fagiano Okayama regularly see both teams score in away matches (90%), while Machida Zelvia are lower at home (10%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Machida Zelvia (Home Form) Fagiano Okayama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 1 (10%) 9 (90%)

Match Goals

Machida Zelvia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Fagiano Okayama in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Machida Zelvia (Home Form) Fagiano Okayama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Machida Zelvia (Home Form) Fagiano Okayama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Machida Zelvia have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Fagiano Okayama in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Machida Zelvia (Home Form) Fagiano Okayama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Machida Zelvia (Home Form) Fagiano Okayama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Machida Zelvia (Home Form) Fagiano Okayama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 8 (0.8 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Fagiano Okayama frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Machida Zelvia are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Machida Zelvia (Home Form) Fagiano Okayama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Machida Zelvia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Fagiano Okayama have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Machida Zelvia (Home Form) Fagiano Okayama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Machida Zelvia (Home Form) Fagiano Okayama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Machida Zelvia and Fagiano Okayama. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

25th May, 2025
Fagiano Okayama
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Machida Zelvia
Corners 2–4 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Aug, 2023
Fagiano Okayama
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Machida Zelvia
Corners 5–7 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th May, 2023
Machida Zelvia
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Fagiano Okayama
Corners 5–3 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Sep, 2022
Fagiano Okayama
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Machida Zelvia
Corners 2–4 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Mar, 2022
Machida Zelvia
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Fagiano Okayama
Corners 2–1 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Aug, 2021
Machida Zelvia
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Fagiano Okayama
Corners 3–4 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th May, 2021
Fagiano Okayama
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Machida Zelvia
Corners 4–6 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Nov, 2020
Fagiano Okayama
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Machida Zelvia
Corners 2–1 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Aug, 2020
Machida Zelvia
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Fagiano Okayama
Corners 3–5 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Aug, 2019
Fagiano Okayama
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Machida Zelvia
Corners 4–7 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Machida Zelvia 1.65
Draw 3.8
Fagiano Okayama 5.25

Half Time Result

Machida Zelvia 2.43
Draw 2.19
Fagiano Okayama 5.83

Double Chance

Machida Zelvia or Draw 1.19
Machida Zelvia or Fagiano Okayama 1.29
Draw or Fagiano Okayama 2.26

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.06
No 1.81

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 3.5 3.84
Under 1.5 3.21
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.28

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3.28

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.32
Over 9.5 1.57
Over 10.5 2.23
Over 11.5 2.39

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 1.15
Over 1.5 1.93
Over 2.5 3.62

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5 1.71
Over 1.5 4.5
Over 2.5 12.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama?

Under 3.5 Goals — Machida Zelvia have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Fagiano Okayama in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Machida Zelvia or Fagiano Okayama?

Machida Zelvia hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in J-League this season, while Fagiano Okayama have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Machida Zelvia and Fagiano Okayama?

Possibly — Fagiano Okayama regularly see both teams score away (90%), while Machida Zelvia are lower at home (10%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Machida Zelvia and Fagiano Okayama?

Uncertain — Machida Zelvia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Fagiano Okayama in 60% of away games in J-League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Machida Zelvia or Fagiano Okayama?

Fagiano Okayama have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Machida Zelvia's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Machida Zelvia and Fagiano Okayama?

Possibly — Fagiano Okayama frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Machida Zelvia are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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