Mali vs Zambia Football Stats

📍 Africa Cup of Nations, World
🕒 Monday 22nd December, 14:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Mali sit 2nd in the table, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Zambia are 3rd, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. Mali have won 4/9 home games (44%) this season; Zambia have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Mali have seen 3+ goals in only 33% of home fixtures; Zambia in 30% away. Mali average 1.9 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Zambia 1.2 and 1.2 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Mali at 44% in home games (4/9), Zambia at 30% away (3/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Mali see 8+ in 56% of home games, Zambia in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Mali have stayed under 3 goals in 66.67% of home games, Zambia in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Africa Cup of Nations table for the 2025 season, with Mali (2nd) and Zambia (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Africa Cup of Nations 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Senegal 7 6 1 0 13:2 +11 19
2 Nigeria 7 5 2 0 14:4 +10 17
3 Egypt 7 4 2 1 9:5 +4 14
4 Morocco 7 4 2 1 9:2 +7 14
5 Algeria 5 4 0 1 8:3 +5 12
6 Côte d'Ivoire 5 3 1 1 10:6 +4 10
7 Cameroon 5 3 1 1 6:5 +1 10
8 Congo DR 4 2 1 1 5:2 +3 7
9 South Africa 4 2 0 2 6:6 0 6
10 Burkina Faso 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
11 Tunisia 4 1 2 1 7:6 +1 5
12 Mali H 5 0 4 1 3:4 -1 4
13 Mozambique 4 1 0 3 4:9 -5 3
14 Benin 4 1 0 3 2:7 -5 3
15 Sudan 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
16 Angola 3 0 2 1 2:3 -1 2
17 Comoros 3 0 2 1 0:2 -2 2
18 Tanzania 4 0 2 2 3:5 -2 2
19 Zambia A 3 0 2 1 1:4 -3 2
20 Zimbabwe 3 0 1 2 4:6 -2 1
21 Uganda 3 0 1 2 3:7 -4 1
22 Gabon 3 0 0 3 4:7 -3 0
23 Botswana 3 0 0 3 0:7 -7 0
24 Equatorial Guinea 3 0 0 3 2:6 -4 0

Team Form

Zambia have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Mali have been more solid at home (11.11% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Won 4 (44.44%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 4 (44.44%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (11.11%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mali have seen both teams score in 44.44% of home games, Zambia in 30% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (44.44%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Mali (33.33% Over 2.5 at home) and Zambia (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (88.89%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (66.67%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (33.33%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (22.22%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (11.11%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (33.33%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (66.67%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (77.78%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Mali have scored 2+ goals in 33.33% of home games this season, Zambia in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (77.78%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (33.33%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (33.33%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (22.22%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (55.56%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.89 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.56 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Mali have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 55.56% of home games, Zambia in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (55.56%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (55.56%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (33.33%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (33.33%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (22.22%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (11.11%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Mali have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 22.22% of home matches.

Zambia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (33.33%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (22.22%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (44.44%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (33.33%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (22.22%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (11.11%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (11.11%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Mali and Zambia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23rd Sep, 2022
Mali
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Zambia
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Jan, 2016
Zambia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Mali
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Jun, 2005
Zambia
2 – 1 HT:
Mali
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Jun, 2004
Mali
1 – 1 HT:
Zambia
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Mali vs Zambia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Mali 1.75
Draw 3.3
Zambia 5.5

Half Time Result

Mali 2.4
Draw 2.13
Zambia 5.5

Double Chance

Mali or Draw 1.14
Mali or Zambia 1.33
Draw or Zambia 2

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.2
No 1.61

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.5
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.18

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.5

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.58
Over 9.5 1.85
Over 10.5 2.62
Over 11.5 3.41

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 1.19
Over 1.5 2.06

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 1.87
Over 1.5 6

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Mali vs Zambia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mali vs Zambia?

Under 2.5 Goals — Mali have stayed under 3 goals in 66.67% of home games, Zambia in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Mali or Zambia?

Mali have a slight form edge at home (44.44% wins) over Zambia on the road (40% wins) in Africa Cup of Nations. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Mali and Zambia?

Mixed — Mali have seen BTTS in 44.44% of home games, Zambia in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Africa Cup of Nations fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mali and Zambia?

Unlikely — Mali (33.33% Over 2.5 at home) and Zambia (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Africa Cup of Nations. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mali or Zambia?

Mali have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 33.33% of home games compared to Zambia's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mali and Zambia?

Mali have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 55.56% of home games, Zambia in 50% of away games in Africa Cup of Nations. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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