Mali vs Zambia — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Africa Cup of Nations, World
🕒 Monday 22nd December, 14:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Mali (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Zambia on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Mali 80% at home, Zambia 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Both Mali and Zambia frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Mali see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Zambia in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Africa Cup of Nations table for the 2025 season, with Mali (2nd) and Zambia (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Africa Cup of Nations 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Senegal 7 6 1 0 13:2 +11 19
2 Nigeria 7 5 2 0 14:4 +10 17
3 Egypt 7 4 2 1 9:5 +4 14
4 Morocco 7 4 2 1 9:2 +7 14
5 Algeria 5 4 0 1 8:3 +5 12
6 Côte d'Ivoire 5 3 1 1 10:6 +4 10
7 Cameroon 5 3 1 1 6:5 +1 10
8 Congo DR 4 2 1 1 5:2 +3 7
9 South Africa 4 2 0 2 6:6 0 6
10 Burkina Faso 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
11 Tunisia 4 1 2 1 7:6 +1 5
12 Mali H 5 0 4 1 3:4 -1 4
13 Mozambique 4 1 0 3 4:9 -5 3
14 Benin 4 1 0 3 2:7 -5 3
15 Sudan 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
16 Angola 3 0 2 1 2:3 -1 2
17 Comoros 3 0 2 1 0:2 -2 2
18 Tanzania 4 0 2 2 3:5 -2 2
19 Zambia A 3 0 2 1 1:4 -3 2
20 Zimbabwe 3 0 1 2 4:6 -2 1
21 Uganda 3 0 1 2 3:7 -4 1
22 Gabon 3 0 0 3 4:7 -3 0
23 Botswana 3 0 0 3 0:7 -7 0
24 Equatorial Guinea 3 0 0 3 2:6 -4 0

Team Form

Zambia have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Mali have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 5 5
Won 2 (40%) 1 (20%)
Drawn 2 (40%) 2 (40%)
Lost 1 (20%) 2 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mali have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Zambia in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 5 5
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (60%) 3 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Mali 80% at home, Zambia 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 5 5
Over 0.5 Goals 5 (100%) 5 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (80%) 4 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (40%) 2 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (20%) 2 (40%)

Under Goals

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 5 5
Under 0.5 Goals 5 (0%) 5 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (20%) 6 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (60%) 8 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (80%) 8 (60%)

Team Goals

Mali have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Zambia in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 5 5
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 4 (80%) 4 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (40%) 1 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (40%) 1 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 5 5
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (80%) 4 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 5 5
Total Goals Scored 9 (1.8 avg) 6 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 4 (0.8 avg) 9 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Mali regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Zambia are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 5 5
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (80%) 3 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (80%) 3 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (60%) 3 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (60%) 2 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (40%) 1 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Mali have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Zambia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 5 5
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (40%) 2 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (20%) 1 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Mali (Home Form) Zambia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 5 5
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (80%) 2 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (60%) 2 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (40%) 1 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (20%) 1 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (20%) 1 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Mali and Zambia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23rd Sep, 2022
Mali
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Zambia
27th Jan, 2016
Zambia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Mali
17th Jun, 2005
Zambia
2 – 1 HT:
Mali
18th Jun, 2004
Mali
1 – 1 HT:
Zambia

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Mali vs Zambia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Mali 1.75
Draw 3.3
Zambia 5.5

Half Time Result

Mali 2.4
Draw 2.13
Zambia 5.5

Double Chance

Mali or Draw 1.14
Mali or Zambia 1.33
Draw or Zambia 2

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.2
No 1.61

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.5
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.18

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.5

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.58
Over 9.5 1.85
Over 10.5 2.62
Over 11.5 3.41

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 1.19
Over 1.5 2.06

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 1.87
Over 1.5 6

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • ZNK Maribor W vs Cerklje W 16:00 BST | 1. Womens Liga, Slovenia ZNK Maribor W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 home matches this season · Cerklje W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    100% combined
  • PSV vs PEC Zwolle 20:00 BST | Eredivisie, Netherlands PSV have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/15 home matches this season · PEC Zwolle have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    83% combined
  • Kiryat Gat W vs ASA Tel Aviv 16:00 BST | Ligat Al Women, Israel Kiryat Gat W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 home matches this season · ASA Tel Aviv have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    80% combined
  • ŽNK Ljubljana W vs Radomlje W 16:00 BST | 1. Womens Liga, Slovenia ŽNK Ljubljana W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Radomlje W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    80% combined

Mali vs Zambia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mali vs Zambia?

Over 8.5 Corners — Mali see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Zambia in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Mali or Zambia?

Mali have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Zambia on the road (20% wins) in Africa Cup of Nations. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Mali and Zambia?

Mixed — Mali have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Zambia in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Africa Cup of Nations fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mali and Zambia?

Uncertain — Mali have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Zambia in 40% of away games in Africa Cup of Nations. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mali or Zambia?

Mali have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Zambia's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mali and Zambia?

Possibly — Mali regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Zambia are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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