Manchester City vs Arsenal — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Sunday 19th April, 16:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Manchester City (80% home wins) hold a slight edge over Arsenal on the road (60% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Manchester City consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Arsenal regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Manchester City are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Manchester City usually generate 8+ corners at home (80%), while Arsenal are less consistent on the road (50%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Manchester City have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Arsenal in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Manchester City (th) and Arsenal (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal A 32 21 7 4 62:24 +38 70
2 Manchester City H 30 18 7 5 60:28 +32 61
3 Manchester United 31 15 10 6 56:43 +13 55
4 Aston Villa 31 16 6 9 42:37 +5 54
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52:42 +10 52
6 Chelsea 31 13 9 9 53:38 +15 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48:44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39:37 +2 47
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 32 12 10 10 43:37 +6 46
10 AFC Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48:49 -1 45
11 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43:46 -3 44
12 Sunderland 31 11 10 10 32:36 -4 43
13 Newcastle United 31 12 6 13 44:45 -1 42
14 Crystal Palace 30 10 9 11 33:35 -2 39
15 Leeds United 31 7 12 12 37:48 -11 33
16 West Ham United 32 8 8 16 40:57 -17 32
17 Nottingham Forest 31 8 8 15 31:43 -12 32
18 Tottenham Hotspur 31 7 9 15 40:50 -10 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33:63 -30 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 32 3 8 21 24:58 -34 17

Team Form

Manchester City have won 80% of home games this season, Arsenal 60% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Manchester City (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Arsenal regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Manchester City are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Manchester City (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Manchester City frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Manchester City (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Manchester City (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Manchester City have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Arsenal in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Manchester City (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Manchester City (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Manchester City (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 31 (3.1 avg) 20 (2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Manchester City have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Arsenal in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Manchester City (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Manchester City have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Arsenal have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Manchester City (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Manchester City (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Manchester City vs Arsenal across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Manchester City 2.04
Draw 4
Arsenal 3.7

Half Time Result

Manchester City 2.62
Draw 2.25
Arsenal 4

Double Chance

Manchester City or Draw 1.33
Manchester City or Arsenal 1.28
Draw or Arsenal 1.72

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.7
No 2.05

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.89
Over 3.5 3.06
Under 1.5 4
Under 2.5 2.1
Under 3.5 1.34

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.62

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 1.2
Over 1.5 1.9

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.14
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Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Manchester City vs Arsenal?

Over 2.5 Goals — Manchester City have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Arsenal in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Manchester City or Arsenal?

Manchester City have a slight form edge at home (80% wins) over Arsenal on the road (60% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Manchester City and Arsenal?

Possibly — Arsenal regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Manchester City are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Manchester City and Arsenal?

Possibly — Manchester City frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Manchester City or Arsenal?

Manchester City have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Arsenal's 30% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Manchester City and Arsenal?

Manchester City have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Arsenal in 50% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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