Manchester City vs Burnley Football Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 27th September, 15:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Manchester City to Win

Manchester City sit 9th in the table after 3 games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Burnley are 16th after 3 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded on the road. The home record backs Manchester City strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Burnley have lost 7/10 on the road (70%).

Manchester City have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of their home fixtures (9/10). Burnley are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded away from home.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Manchester City in 60% of home games (6/10), Burnley in 60% away (6/10). Manchester City have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Burnley in 60% of away games.

Manchester City regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Burnley are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Manchester City to Win — Manchester City have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Burnley have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Manchester City (9th) and Burnley (16th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 +44 85
2 Manchester City H 38 23 9 6 77:35 +42 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 +19 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56:49 +7 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 +4 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
8 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 +3 53
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 38 14 11 13 52:46 +6 53
10 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
11 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58:52 +6 52
12 Newcastle United 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
14 Leeds United 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
18 West Ham United 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
19 Burnley A 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20

Team Form

Manchester City have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Burnley's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Manchester City (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Manchester City have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Burnley in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Manchester City (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Manchester City frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Burnley are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Manchester City (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Manchester City (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Manchester City have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Burnley in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Manchester City (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Manchester City (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Manchester City (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 22 (2.2 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 22 (2.2 avg)

Match Corners

Manchester City regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Burnley are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Manchester City (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 6 (60%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Manchester City win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Burnley have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Manchester City (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Manchester City (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Manchester City and Burnley. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

31st Jan, 2024
Manchester City
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Burnley
Corners 7–3 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Aug, 2023
Burnley
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Manchester City
Corners 6–5 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Mar, 2023
Manchester City
6 – 0 HT: 2-0
Burnley
Corners 2–2 Cards 0–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Apr, 2022
Burnley
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Manchester City
Corners 1–8 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Oct, 2021
Manchester City
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Burnley
Corners 6–2 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Feb, 2021
Burnley
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Manchester City
Corners 1–3 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Nov, 2020
Manchester City
5 – 0 HT: 3-0
Burnley
Corners 6–4 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Sep, 2020
Burnley
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Manchester City
Corners 1–5 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Jun, 2020
Manchester City
5 – 0 HT: 3-0
Burnley
Corners 3–1 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Dec, 2019
Burnley
1 – 4 HT: 0-1
Manchester City
Corners 3–6 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Manchester City vs Burnley across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Manchester City 1.17
Draw 7.32
Burnley 14.4

Half Time Result

Manchester City 1.58
Draw 3.1
Burnley 11.25

Double Chance

Manchester City or Draw 1.04
Manchester City or Burnley 1.12
Draw or Burnley 5

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.2
No 1.67

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.5
Over 3.5 2.3
Under 1.5 5.05
Under 2.5 2.63
Under 3.5 1.67

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.24

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23
Over 9.5 1.5
Over 10.5 1.89
Over 11.5 2.1

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 1.95

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 2.07
Over 1.5 6.4
Over 2.5 23

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Manchester City vs Burnley?

Manchester City to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Burnley have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Manchester City or Burnley?

Manchester City hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Premier League this season, while Burnley have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Manchester City and Burnley?

Mixed — Manchester City have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Burnley in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Manchester City and Burnley?

Possibly — Manchester City frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Burnley are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Manchester City or Burnley?

Manchester City have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Burnley's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Manchester City and Burnley?

Possibly — Manchester City regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Burnley are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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10 Teams to Win Today

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