Manchester City vs Chelsea Football Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Sunday 4th January, 17:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Manchester City sit 3rd in the table after 16 games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Chelsea are 6th after 16 games, averaging 2 scored and 2 conceded on the road. Manchester City have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Chelsea side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Goals look likely from both ends. Manchester City have seen 3+ goals in 90% of home fixtures this season (9/10), and Chelsea in 90% of away games (9/10). Manchester City average 2.2 scored and 0.9 conceded at home; Chelsea 2 and 2 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Manchester City in 60% of home games (6/10), Chelsea in 70% away (7/10). Manchester City have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Chelsea in 80% of away games.

Manchester City regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Chelsea are lower on the road (60%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Manchester City have seen 3+ goals in 90% of home games, Chelsea in 90% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Manchester City (3rd) and Chelsea (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 +44 85
2 Manchester City H 38 23 9 6 77:35 +42 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 +19 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56:49 +7 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 +4 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
8 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 +3 53
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 38 14 11 13 52:46 +6 53
10 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
11 Chelsea A 38 14 10 14 58:52 +6 52
12 Newcastle United 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
14 Leeds United 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
18 West Ham United 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20

Team Form

Manchester City have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Chelsea's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Manchester City (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Manchester City have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Chelsea in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Manchester City (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of Manchester City's home games and 90% of Chelsea's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

Over Goals

Manchester City (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Manchester City (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Manchester City have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Chelsea in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Manchester City (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Goals Conceded

Manchester City (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Manchester City (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 22 (2.2 avg) 20 (2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

Manchester City regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Chelsea are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Manchester City (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 6 (60%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Manchester City win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Chelsea have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Manchester City (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Manchester City (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Manchester City and Chelsea. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

04 Jan 2026
Manchester City
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Chelsea
25 Jan 2025
Manchester City
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Chelsea
18 Aug 2024
Chelsea
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Manchester City
03 Aug 2024
Manchester City
4 – 2 HT: 2-0
Chelsea
20 Apr 2024
Manchester City
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Chelsea
17 Feb 2024
Manchester City
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Chelsea
12 Nov 2023
Chelsea
4 – 4 HT: 2-2
Manchester City
21 May 2023
Manchester City
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Chelsea
08 Jan 2023
Manchester City
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Chelsea
05 Jan 2023
Chelsea
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Manchester City

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Manchester City vs Chelsea across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Manchester City 1.49
Draw 5.3
Chelsea 6.8

Half Time Result

Manchester City 1.91
Draw 2.62
Chelsea 5.41

Double Chance

Manchester City or Draw 1.16
Manchester City or Chelsea 1.22
Draw or Chelsea 2.67

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.55
No 2.8

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.06
Over 2.5 1.39
Over 3.5 1.98
Under 1.5 8.4
Under 2.5 3.5
Under 3.5 2.02

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.21
Over 1.5 2.05

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.24
Over 9.5 1.42
Over 10.5 1.7
Over 11.5 2.46

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.36

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.88

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Hawkesbury City vs Gladesville Ryde Magic 10:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Hawkesbury City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Gladesville Ryde Magic have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    100% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs UNSW U20 10:00 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · UNSW U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    93% combined
  • Winterthur U19 vs Lausanne-Sport U19 19:00 BST | U19 Elite, Switzerland Winterthur U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · Lausanne-Sport U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    85% combined
  • Finglas United vs St Mochtas 19:00 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Finglas United have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · St Mochtas have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    80% combined

Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Manchester City vs Chelsea?

Over 2.5 Goals — Manchester City have seen 3+ goals in 90% of home games, Chelsea in 90% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Manchester City or Chelsea?

Manchester City hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Premier League this season, while Chelsea have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Manchester City and Chelsea?

Possibly — Chelsea regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Manchester City are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Manchester City and Chelsea?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of Manchester City's home games and 90% of Chelsea's away games in Premier League. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Manchester City or Chelsea?

Chelsea have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Manchester City's 30% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Manchester City and Chelsea?

Possibly — Manchester City regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Chelsea are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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