Manchester City vs Newcastle United Football Stats

πŸ“ Carabao Cup, England
πŸ•’ Wednesday 4th February, 20:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Manchester City sit 1st in the table after 4 games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Newcastle United are 2nd after 4 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Manchester City have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Newcastle United side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Manchester City have been involved in high-scoring home games this season β€” Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of their home fixtures (9/10). Newcastle United are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season β€” Manchester City in 60% of home games (6/10), Newcastle United in 70% away (7/10). Manchester City have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Newcastle United in 80% of away games.

Manchester City regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Newcastle United are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals β€” Manchester City have seen 3+ goals in 90% of home games, Newcastle United in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Carabao Cup table for the 2025/2026 season, with Manchester City (1st) and Newcastle United (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Carabao Cup 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Manchester City H 6 6 0 0 14:2 +12 18
2 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 9:5 +4 13
3 Cardiff City 5 4 0 1 10:6 +4 12
4 Newcastle United A 5 3 0 2 9:7 +2 9
5 Chelsea 5 3 0 2 11:9 +2 9
6 Wycombe Wanderers 4 2 2 0 5:2 +3 8
7 Fulham 4 2 1 1 5:3 +2 7
8 Wrexham 4 2 1 1 9:7 +2 7
9 Millwall 3 2 1 0 4:2 +2 7
10 Grimsby Town 4 2 1 1 6:8 -2 7
11 Brentford 4 2 1 1 8:3 +5 7
12 Swansea City 4 2 1 1 8:7 +1 7
13 Doncaster Rovers 3 2 0 1 6:3 +3 6
14 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 6:5 +1 6
15 Southampton 3 2 0 1 5:2 +3 6
16 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 2 0 1 12:2 +10 6
17 Lincoln City 3 2 0 1 5:3 +2 6
18 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 2:2 0 6
19 Reading 3 2 0 1 4:4 0 6
20 Accrington Stanley 3 2 0 1 5:4 +1 6
21 Wigan Athletic 3 2 0 1 2:2 0 6
22 Cambridge United 3 2 0 1 5:2 +3 6
23 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3 2 0 1 8:6 +2 6
24 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 0 5:2 +3 5
25 Plymouth Argyle 2 1 1 0 4:3 +1 4
26 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 4:9 -5 4
27 Tottenham Hotspur 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
28 Liverpool 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
29 Preston North End 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
30 Stockport County 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
31 Oxford United 2 1 0 1 1:6 -5 3
32 Norwich City 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
33 Birmingham City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
34 Coventry City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
35 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
36 Charlton Athletic 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
37 Everton 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
38 Mansfield Town 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
39 Burnley 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
40 Cheltenham Town 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
41 Huddersfield Town 3 0 2 1 3:5 -2 2
42 Sheffield Wednesday 3 0 2 1 4:5 -1 2
43 Bromley 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
44 Tranmere Rovers 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
45 Burton Albion 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
46 Salford City 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
47 Rotherham United 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
48 Leicester City 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
49 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
50 Bolton Wanderers 1 0 1 0 3:3 0 1
51 Leeds United 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
52 Aston Villa 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
53 Stoke City 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
54 Walsall 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
55 Fleetwood Town 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
56 Derby County 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
57 Gillingham 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
58 Manchester United 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
59 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
60 Newport County 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
61 West Bromwich Albion 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
62 Ipswich Town 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
63 Barnet 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
64 Hull City 1 0 1 0 3:3 0 1
65 Queens Park Rangers 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
66 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
67 Crewe Alexandra 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
68 Colchester United 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
69 Harrogate Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
70 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
71 Luton Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
72 Blackpool 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
73 Blackburn Rovers 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
74 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
75 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
76 Northampton Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
77 AFC Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
78 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
79 Nottingham Forest 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
80 Stevenage 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
81 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
82 Oldham Athletic 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
83 Peterborough United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
84 Barrow 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
85 Notts County 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
86 Shrewsbury Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
87 Exeter City 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
88 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
89 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
90 Watford 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
91 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
92 West Ham United 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0

Team Form

Manchester City have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Newcastle United's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Manchester City (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Manchester City have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Newcastle United in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net β€” the stats support a goal at each end.

Manchester City (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Manchester City frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Newcastle United are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Manchester City (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Manchester City (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Manchester City have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Newcastle United in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Manchester City (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Manchester City (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Manchester City (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 22 (2.2 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Manchester City (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Newcastle United (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Manchester City (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 6 (60%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Manchester City win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Newcastle United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Manchester City (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Manchester City (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Manchester City and Newcastle United. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up β€” use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

13 Jan 2026
Newcastle United
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Manchester City
22 Nov 2025
Newcastle United
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Manchester City
15 Feb 2025
Manchester City
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Newcastle United
28 Sep 2024
Newcastle United
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Manchester City
16 Mar 2024
Manchester City
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Newcastle United
13 Jan 2024
Newcastle United
2 – 3 HT: 2-1
Manchester City
27 Sep 2023
Newcastle United
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Manchester City
19 Aug 2023
Manchester City
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Newcastle United
04 Mar 2023
Manchester City
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Newcastle United
21 Aug 2022
Newcastle United
3 – 3 HT: 2-1
Manchester City

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Manchester City vs Newcastle United across a range of markets β€” full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change β€” always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Manchester City 1.92
Draw 4.15
Newcastle United 3.76

Half Time Result

Manchester City 2.48
Draw 2.56
Newcastle United 4.18

Double Chance

Manchester City or Draw 1.3
Manchester City or Newcastle United 1.28
Draw or Newcastle United 1.85

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.59
No 2.22

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 2.45
Under 1.5 4.4
Under 2.5 2.41
Under 3.5 1.57

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.31
Over 1.5 2.32

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.48
Over 10.5 1.65
Over 11.5 2.02

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.71

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • BreiΓ°ablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland BreiΓ°ablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs NΓ΅mme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · NΓ΅mme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SΓΈnderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SΓΈnderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined

Manchester City vs Newcastle United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Manchester City vs Newcastle United?

Over 2.5 Goals β€” Manchester City have seen 3+ goals in 90% of home games, Newcastle United in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Manchester City or Newcastle United?

Manchester City hold a clear form advantage β€” they've won 70% of home games in Carabao Cup this season, while Newcastle United have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Manchester City and Newcastle United?

Possibly β€” Newcastle United regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Manchester City are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Manchester City and Newcastle United?

Possibly β€” Manchester City frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Newcastle United are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Manchester City or Newcastle United?

Manchester City have the stronger scoring record β€” 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Newcastle United's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Manchester City and Newcastle United?

Yes β€” both Manchester City (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Newcastle United (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Carabao Cup. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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