Mara Sugar vs Shabana — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 12:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Both teams are evenly matched — Mara Sugar have won 50% of home games, Shabana 50% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Mara Sugar 30% Over 2.5 at home, Shabana 60% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Mara Sugar 30% at home, Shabana 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Mara Sugar at 30% BTTS in home games and Shabana at 50% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Mara Sugar (th) and Shabana (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 27 17 6 4 44:19 +25 57
2 Leopards 28 16 7 5 36:21 +15 55
3 Police 28 12 11 5 26:17 +9 47
4 Homeboyz 28 12 10 6 42:29 +13 46
5 Shabana A 28 13 7 8 32:30 +2 46
6 Tusker 28 12 5 11 24:26 -2 41
7 KCB 28 11 7 10 29:30 -1 40
8 Bandari 27 8 14 5 21:18 +3 38
9 Murang'a SEAL 27 10 8 9 33:31 +2 38
10 Nairobi United 25 10 8 7 33:25 +8 38
11 Mara Sugar H 28 8 13 7 26:25 +1 37
12 Mathare United 28 9 7 12 25:27 -2 34
13 Posta Rangers 27 7 10 10 23:32 -9 31
14 Ulinzi Stars 28 7 7 14 28:33 -5 28
15 Kariobangi Sharks 28 5 11 12 18:30 -12 26
16 Bidco United 28 4 10 14 16:33 -17 22
17 APS Bomet 25 4 9 12 23:32 -9 21
18 Sofapaka 28 3 8 17 15:36 -21 17

Team Form

Mara Sugar (50% home wins) and Shabana (50% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mara Sugar have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Shabana in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Mara Sugar have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Shabana in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Mara Sugar have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Shabana in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both Mara Sugar (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Shabana (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Mara Sugar have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Shabana have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Mara Sugar vs Shabana Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mara Sugar vs Shabana?

BTTS – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Mara Sugar at 30% BTTS at home and Shabana at 50% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Mara Sugar or Shabana?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Mara Sugar have won 50% of home games, Shabana 50% away in Premier League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Mara Sugar and Shabana?

Mixed — Mara Sugar have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Shabana in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mara Sugar and Shabana?

Uncertain — Mara Sugar have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Shabana in 60% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mara Sugar or Shabana?

Shabana have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Mara Sugar's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mara Sugar and Shabana?

Mara Sugar have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Shabana in 50% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Bandari vs Ulinzi Stars

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Leopards vs Gor Mahia

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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