Mara Sugar vs Shabana Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Wednesday 13th May, 12:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Mara Sugar sit 11th in the table after 27 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Shabana are 4th after 27 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road. Mara Sugar have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Shabana have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Mara Sugar have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Shabana in 40% away. Mara Sugar average 1 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Shabana 1.1 and 1.5 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Mara Sugar have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Shabana in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Mara Sugar see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Shabana in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Mara Sugar have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Shabana in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Mara Sugar (11th) and Shabana (4th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 +28 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 +16 64
3 Police 34 13 16 5 31:21 +10 55
4 Shabana A 34 14 10 10 35:34 +1 52
5 Nairobi United 32 14 10 8 43:32 +11 52
6 Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 +10 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 -1 48
8 Murang'a SEAL 34 13 8 13 42:42 0 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 -5 45
10 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 0 44
11 Mara Sugar H 34 10 14 10 30:30 0 44
12 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 -4 41
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 35:37 -2 41
14 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 -9 40
15 APS Bomet 32 10 10 12 35:34 +1 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 -3 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 -21 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 -32 19

Team Form

Shabana have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Mara Sugar have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mara Sugar (30% BTTS at home) and Shabana (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Mara Sugar have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Shabana in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Mara Sugar have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Shabana in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Mara Sugar have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Shabana in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Mara Sugar have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Shabana have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Shabana (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Mara Sugar vs Shabana Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mara Sugar vs Shabana?

Under 2.5 Goals — Mara Sugar have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Shabana in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Mara Sugar or Shabana?

Mara Sugar have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Shabana on the road (40% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Mara Sugar and Shabana?

Unlikely — Mara Sugar (30% BTTS at home) and Shabana (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mara Sugar and Shabana?

Uncertain — Mara Sugar have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Shabana in 40% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mara Sugar or Shabana?

Shabana have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Mara Sugar's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mara Sugar and Shabana?

Mara Sugar have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Shabana in 50% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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