Marbellí vs Churriana de la Vega — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 9, Spain
🕒 Sunday 1st March, 15:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Marbellí hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Churriana de la Vega are less consistent on the road (2/10, 20%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Churriana de la Vega tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while Marbellí are lower (70%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Marbellí 50% at home, Churriana de la Vega 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Marbellí have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Churriana de la Vega in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Tercera - Group 9 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Marbellí (6th) and Churriana de la Vega (7th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 9 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Motril 30 16 10 4 50:26 +24 58
2 Mijas Las Lagunas 30 16 8 6 34:19 +15 56
3 Torre del Mar 30 13 13 4 33:20 +13 52
4 Arenas de Armilla 30 14 9 7 34:23 +11 51
5 Churriana de la Vega A 29 12 9 8 28:33 -5 45
6 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 30 11 11 8 36:34 +2 44
7 Marbellí H 30 12 8 10 31:25 +6 44
8 Huétor Vega 30 11 8 11 37:36 +1 41
9 Atlético Porcuna 30 12 4 14 35:33 +2 40
10 Granada II 30 9 12 9 40:38 +2 39
11 Alhaurino 30 9 9 12 35:38 -3 36
12 UD San Pedro 29 9 9 11 29:33 -4 36
13 UD Melilla II 30 8 11 11 23:24 -1 35
14 Huétor Tájar 30 8 10 12 36:39 -3 34
15 Martos 30 8 10 12 30:37 -7 34
16 Mancha Real 30 7 9 14 23:32 -9 30
17 Torreperogil 29 7 5 17 19:39 -20 26
18 El Palo 29 5 7 17 23:47 -24 22

Team Form

Marbellí hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Churriana de la Vega have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Marbellí (Home Form) Churriana de la Vega (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Lost 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Marbellí have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Churriana de la Vega in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Marbellí (Home Form) Churriana de la Vega (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Marbellí have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Churriana de la Vega in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Marbellí (Home Form) Churriana de la Vega (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Marbellí (Home Form) Churriana de la Vega (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Marbellí have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Churriana de la Vega in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Marbellí (Home Form) Churriana de la Vega (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Marbellí (Home Form) Churriana de la Vega (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Marbellí (Home Form) Churriana de la Vega (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Marbellí (0% Over 8.5 at home) and Churriana de la Vega (10% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

Marbellí (Home Form) Churriana de la Vega (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 9.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Marbellí have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Churriana de la Vega have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Marbellí (Home Form) Churriana de la Vega (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Marbellí (Home Form) Churriana de la Vega (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Marbellí vs Churriana de la Vega across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Marbellí 1.54
Draw 3.52
Churriana de la Vega 6.6

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Marbellí vs Churriana de la Vega Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Marbellí vs Churriana de la Vega?

Under 3.5 Goals — Marbellí have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Churriana de la Vega in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Marbellí or Churriana de la Vega?

Marbellí hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Tercera - Group 9 this season, while Churriana de la Vega have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Marbellí and Churriana de la Vega?

Mixed — Marbellí have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Churriana de la Vega in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Tercera - Group 9 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Marbellí and Churriana de la Vega?

Uncertain — Marbellí have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Churriana de la Vega in 40% of away games in Tercera - Group 9. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Marbellí or Churriana de la Vega?

Marbellí have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Churriana de la Vega's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Marbellí and Churriana de la Vega?

Unlikely — Marbellí (0% Over 8.5 at home) and Churriana de la Vega (10% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Tercera - Group 9.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Marbellí vs Huétor Tájar

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Torreperogil vs Alhaurino

📍 Tercera - Group 9, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Arenas de Armilla vs Granada II

📍 Tercera - Group 9, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Motril vs Martos

📍 Tercera - Group 9, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Churriana de la Vega vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

📍 Tercera - Group 9, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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