Mathare United vs Leopards — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 14th March, 12:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Leopards have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Mathare United are less dominant at home (5/10, 50%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Mathare United at 40% at home and Leopards at 20% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Mathare United at 30% at home and Leopards at 10% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Mathare United have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Leopards in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Mathare United (13th) and Leopards (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 27 17 6 4 44:19 +25 57
2 Leopards A 28 16 7 5 36:21 +15 55
3 Police 28 12 11 5 26:17 +9 47
4 Homeboyz 28 12 10 6 42:29 +13 46
5 Shabana 28 13 7 8 32:30 +2 46
6 Tusker 28 12 5 11 24:26 -2 41
7 KCB 28 11 7 10 29:30 -1 40
8 Bandari 27 8 14 5 21:18 +3 38
9 Murang'a SEAL 27 10 8 9 33:31 +2 38
10 Nairobi United 25 10 8 7 33:25 +8 38
11 Mara Sugar 28 8 13 7 26:25 +1 37
12 Mathare United H 28 9 7 12 25:27 -2 34
13 Posta Rangers 27 7 10 10 23:32 -9 31
14 Ulinzi Stars 28 7 7 14 28:33 -5 28
15 Kariobangi Sharks 28 5 11 12 18:30 -12 26
16 Bidco United 28 4 10 14 16:33 -17 22
17 APS Bomet 25 4 9 12 23:32 -9 21
18 Sofapaka 28 3 8 17 15:36 -21 17

Team Form

Leopards have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Mathare United have been less dominant at home (50%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Mathare United (Home Form) Leopards (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mathare United (30% BTTS at home) and Leopards (10% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Mathare United (Home Form) Leopards (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Match Goals

Mathare United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Leopards in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Mathare United (Home Form) Leopards (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Mathare United (Home Form) Leopards (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Mathare United have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Leopards in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Mathare United (Home Form) Leopards (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Mathare United (Home Form) Leopards (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Mathare United (Home Form) Leopards (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)

Match Corners

Mathare United regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Leopards are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Mathare United (Home Form) Leopards (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Mathare United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Leopards have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Mathare United (Home Form) Leopards (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Mathare United (Home Form) Leopards (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Mathare United and Leopards. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

02 Nov 2025
Leopards
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Mathare United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 May 2025
Leopards
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Mathare United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Aug 2024
Mathare United
0 – 4 HT: 0-2
Leopards
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Mar 2023
Mathare United
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Leopards
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Jan 2023
Leopards
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Mathare United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jan 2022
Mathare United
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Leopards
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jan 2022
Leopards
3 – 1 HT: 0-0
Mathare United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jun 2021
Mathare United
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Leopards
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 May 2021
Leopards
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Mathare United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Dec 2019
Leopards
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Mathare United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Mathare United vs Leopards across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Mathare United 5.4
Draw 3.3
Leopards 1.73

Half Time Result

Mathare United 4.4
Draw 1.85
Leopards 2.75

Double Chance

Mathare United or Draw 1.62
Mathare United or Leopards 1.4
Draw or Leopards 1.22

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.3
No 1.72

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.56
Over 2.5 2.38
Over 3.5 4.4
Under 1.5 2.74
Under 2.5 1.55
Under 3.5 1.2

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.56
Over 1.5 3.4

Mathare United Goals

Over 0.5 1.65
Over 1.5 4.1

Leopards Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.57

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Mathare United vs Leopards Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mathare United vs Leopards?

Under 2.5 Goals — Mathare United have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Leopards in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Mathare United or Leopards?

Leopards hold a slight form advantage away (60% wins) over Mathare United at home (50% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Mathare United and Leopards?

Unlikely — Mathare United (30% BTTS at home) and Leopards (10% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mathare United and Leopards?

Uncertain — Mathare United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Leopards in 20% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mathare United or Leopards?

Mathare United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Leopards's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mathare United and Leopards?

Possibly — Mathare United regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Leopards are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Shabana vs Police

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Mathare United vs Nairobi United

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Match Stats

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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