Mathare United vs Nairobi United Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 25th April, 12:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Mathare United sit 12th in the table after 26 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Nairobi United are 6th after 24 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Mathare United have won 50% of home games, Nairobi United 50% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Mathare United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Nairobi United in 30% away (3/10). Mathare United average 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Nairobi United 1.1 and 1.1 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Mathare United have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Nairobi United in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Mathare United see 8+ in 80% of home games, Nairobi United in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Mathare United have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Nairobi United in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Mathare United (12th) and Nairobi United (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 +28 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 +16 64
3 Police 34 13 16 5 31:21 +10 55
4 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 +1 52
5 Nairobi United A 32 14 10 8 43:32 +11 52
6 Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 +10 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 -1 48
8 Murang'a SEAL 34 13 8 13 42:42 0 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 -5 45
10 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 0 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 0 44
12 Mathare United H 34 11 8 15 31:35 -4 41
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 35:37 -2 41
14 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 -9 40
15 APS Bomet 32 10 10 12 35:34 +1 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 -3 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 -21 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 -32 19

Team Form

Mathare United (50% home wins) and Nairobi United (50% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Lost 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mathare United (40% BTTS at home) and Nairobi United (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Mathare United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Nairobi United in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Mathare United have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Nairobi United in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Mathare United regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Nairobi United are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Mathare United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Nairobi United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Mathare United and Nairobi United. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

04 Dec 2025
Nairobi United
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Mathare United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Jun 2024
Nairobi United
2 – 3 HT: 2-0
Mathare United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Nov 2023
Mathare United
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nairobi United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Mathare United vs Nairobi United across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Mathare United 2.8
Draw 2.75
Nairobi United 2.5

Half Time Result

Mathare United 3.5
Draw 1.95
Nairobi United 3.25

Double Chance

Mathare United or Draw 1.38
Mathare United or Nairobi United 1.4
Draw or Nairobi United 1.31

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.97
No 1.72

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.52
Over 2.5 2.5
Over 3.5 4.45
Under 1.5 2.27
Under 2.5 1.5
Under 3.5 1.14

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.51
Over 1.5 3.3

Mathare United Goals

Over 0.5 1.43
Over 1.5 3.15

Nairobi United Goals

Over 0.5 1.38
Over 1.5 2.89

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Mathare United vs Nairobi United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mathare United vs Nairobi United?

Under 3.5 Goals — Mathare United have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Nairobi United in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Mathare United or Nairobi United?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Mathare United have won 50% of home games, Nairobi United 50% away in Premier League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Mathare United and Nairobi United?

Unlikely — Mathare United (40% BTTS at home) and Nairobi United (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mathare United and Nairobi United?

Uncertain — Mathare United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Nairobi United in 30% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mathare United or Nairobi United?

Mathare United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Nairobi United's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mathare United and Nairobi United?

Possibly — Mathare United regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Nairobi United are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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