Mathare United vs Nairobi United — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 25th April, 13:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Mathare United (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Nairobi United on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Mathare United at 30% at home and Nairobi United at 20% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Mathare United at 30% at home and Nairobi United at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Nairobi United often produce high corner totals away (70%), while Mathare United are lower at home (40%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Mathare United have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Nairobi United in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Mathare United (th) and Nairobi United (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 26 17 6 3 44:18 +26 57
2 Leopards 27 16 7 4 36:18 +18 55
3 Homeboyz 27 12 10 5 42:28 +14 46
4 Shabana 27 12 7 8 31:30 +1 43
5 Police 26 11 10 5 23:17 +6 43
6 KCB 27 11 7 9 27:27 0 40
7 Bandari 27 8 14 5 21:18 +3 38
8 Murang'a SEAL 27 10 8 9 33:31 +2 38
9 Nairobi United A 25 10 8 7 33:25 +8 38
10 Tusker 26 11 4 11 23:26 -3 37
11 Mara Sugar 27 7 13 7 25:25 0 34
12 Posta Rangers 27 7 10 10 23:32 -9 31
13 Mathare United H 26 8 6 12 22:27 -5 30
14 Kariobangi Sharks 27 5 11 11 18:29 -11 26
15 Ulinzi Stars 27 6 7 14 25:31 -6 25
16 Bidco United 27 4 10 13 16:30 -14 22
17 APS Bomet 25 4 9 12 23:32 -9 21
18 Sofapaka 27 3 7 17 15:36 -21 16

Team Form

Mathare United have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Nairobi United have been more resilient on the road (30% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Lost 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mathare United (30% BTTS at home) and Nairobi United (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Mathare United (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Nairobi United (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Mathare United have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Nairobi United in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Nairobi United frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Mathare United are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Mathare United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Nairobi United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Mathare United (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 5 (50%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Mathare United vs Nairobi United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mathare United vs Nairobi United?

Under 2.5 Goals — Mathare United have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Nairobi United in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Mathare United or Nairobi United?

Mathare United have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Nairobi United on the road (40% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Mathare United and Nairobi United?

Unlikely — Mathare United (30% BTTS at home) and Nairobi United (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mathare United and Nairobi United?

Unlikely — Mathare United (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Nairobi United (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Premier League. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mathare United or Nairobi United?

Mathare United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Nairobi United's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mathare United and Nairobi United?

Possibly — Nairobi United frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Mathare United are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Mathare United vs Police

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Tuesday 14th April, 12:00 BST

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Tusker vs Gor Mahia

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Tuesday 14th April, 14:15 BST

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KCB vs Ulinzi Stars

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Friday 17th April, 13:00 BST

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Shabana vs Homeboyz

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 12:00 BST

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Mathare United vs Bidco United

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 13:00 BST

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Tusker vs Sofapaka

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 13:00 BST

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Leopards vs Police

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 14:15 BST

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Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 12:00 BST

Match Stats

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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