Mazatlán vs Toluca Football Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Thursday 23rd April, 02:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Mazatlán sit 17th in the table after 29 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per home match this season. Toluca are 5th after 35 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Mazatlán have won 30% of home games, Toluca 30% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Toluca have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Mazatlán are lower at home (60%, 6/10), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.9 conceded.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Mazatlán in 90% of home games (9/10), Toluca in 60% away (6/10). Mazatlán have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Toluca in 80% of away games.

Mazatlán regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Toluca are lower on the road (60%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Mazatlán have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Toluca in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Mazatlán (17th) and Toluca (5th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Cruz Azul 44 24 16 4 78:48 +30 88
2 Toluca A 42 22 11 9 78:43 +35 77
3 Tigres UANL 42 20 12 10 75:44 +31 72
4 Guadalajara 40 21 7 12 70:49 +21 70
5 Pachuca 40 19 8 13 54:44 +10 65
6 América 38 18 10 10 61:44 +17 64
7 Pumas UNAM 41 16 15 10 67:54 +13 63
8 Monterrey 38 16 7 15 61:58 +3 55
9 Tijuana 37 13 14 10 54:46 +8 53
10 Juárez 38 12 10 16 57:66 -9 46
11 Atlas 36 11 10 15 42:57 -15 43
12 Querétaro 34 10 10 14 36:50 -14 40
13 Necaxa 34 9 8 17 43:57 -14 35
14 León 34 10 5 19 36:63 -27 35
15 Atlético San Luis 34 10 4 20 49:56 -7 34
16 Santos Laguna 34 9 5 20 42:66 -24 32
17 Mazatlán H 34 6 11 17 42:66 -24 29
18 Puebla 34 6 7 21 34:68 -34 25

Team Form

Mazatlán (30% home wins) and Toluca (30% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Lost 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mazatlán have seen both teams score in 90% of home games this season, Toluca in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 9 (90%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Toluca regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Mazatlán are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Mazatlán have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Toluca in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 19 (1.9 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Mazatlán regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Toluca are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Mazatlán have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of home matches — opponents do get their share of set-pieces.

Toluca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Mazatlán and Toluca. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

28 Sep 2025
Toluca
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Mazatlán
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Jan 2025
Mazatlán
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Jan 2025
Mazatlán
1 – 3 HT: 0-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Jul 2024
Toluca
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Mazatlán
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jan 2024
Toluca
4 – 1 HT: 1-1
Mazatlán
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Nov 2023
Mazatlán
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Mar 2023
Toluca
4 – 1 HT: 2-1
Mazatlán
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Sep 2022
Mazatlán
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Jan 2022
Mazatlán
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Aug 2021
Toluca
2 – 2 HT: 2-2
Mazatlán
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Mazatlán vs Toluca across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Mazatlán 4.75
Draw 4.7
Toluca 1.65

Half Time Result

Mazatlán 5.6
Draw 2.57
Toluca 1.82

Double Chance

Mazatlán or Draw 2.7
Mazatlán or Toluca 1.16
Draw or Toluca 1.11

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.58
No 2.14

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2
Under 1.5 5.6
Under 2.5 2.7
Under 3.5 1.64

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.18

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.24
Over 9.5 1.36
Over 10.5 1.99
Over 11.5 2.12

Mazatlán Goals

Over 0.5 1.47
Over 1.5 3.07

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.39

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Mazatlán vs Toluca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mazatlán vs Toluca?

Over 2.5 Goals — Mazatlán have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Toluca in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Mazatlán or Toluca?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Mazatlán have won 30% of home games, Toluca 30% away in Liga MX. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Mazatlán and Toluca?

Possibly — Mazatlán frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Toluca are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mazatlán and Toluca?

Possibly — Toluca regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Mazatlán are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mazatlán or Toluca?

Toluca have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Mazatlán's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mazatlán and Toluca?

Possibly — Mazatlán regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Toluca are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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