Mazatlán vs Toluca — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Thursday 23rd April, 02:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Both teams are evenly matched — Mazatlán have won 30% of home games, Toluca 30% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Mazatlán consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Toluca are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Mazatlán often see both teams score at home (90%), while Toluca are less consistent on the road (30%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Mazatlán at 90% BTTS in home games and Toluca at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Mazatlán (th) and Toluca (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Toluca A 36 21 10 5 69:32 +37 73
2 Cruz Azul 35 19 12 4 62:39 +23 69
3 Tigres UANL 37 18 10 9 66:39 +27 64
4 Guadalajara 33 19 4 10 59:42 +17 61
5 América 33 16 8 9 50:34 +16 56
6 Pachuca 33 15 8 10 46:37 +9 53
7 Monterrey 35 15 7 13 58:51 +7 52
8 Tijuana 34 12 12 10 50:44 +6 48
9 Pumas UNAM 31 11 12 8 48:42 +6 45
10 Juárez 35 11 10 14 52:58 -6 43
11 Atlas 31 9 9 13 38:53 -15 36
12 Querétaro 31 9 8 14 32:47 -15 35
13 Necaxa 31 9 6 16 41:52 -11 33
14 León 31 9 5 17 30:55 -25 32
15 Atlético San Luis 30 9 3 18 45:51 -6 30
16 Santos Laguna 31 8 5 18 39:63 -24 29
17 Mazatlán H 30 5 10 15 35:54 -19 25
18 Puebla 31 6 7 18 32:59 -27 25

Team Form

Mazatlán (30% home wins) and Toluca (30% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mazatlán frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Toluca are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 9 (90%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Mazatlán frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Toluca are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Mazatlán have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Toluca in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 18 (1.8 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Both Mazatlán (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Toluca (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Mazatlán have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Toluca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Mazatlán (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.14
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Mazatlán vs Toluca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mazatlán vs Toluca?

BTTS – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Mazatlán at 90% BTTS at home and Toluca at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Mazatlán or Toluca?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Mazatlán have won 30% of home games, Toluca 30% away in Liga MX. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Mazatlán and Toluca?

Possibly — Mazatlán frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Toluca are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mazatlán and Toluca?

Possibly — Mazatlán frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Toluca are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mazatlán or Toluca?

Toluca have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Mazatlán's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mazatlán and Toluca?

Mazatlán have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Toluca in 60% of away games in Liga MX. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

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🕒 Monday 13th April, 02:00 BST

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Mazatlán vs Querétaro

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Atlético San Luis vs Pumas UNAM

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Necaxa vs Tigres UANL

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🕒 Saturday 18th April, 04:00 BST

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Cruz Azul vs Tijuana

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 00:00 BST

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Monterrey vs Pachuca

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 02:00 BST

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Guadalajara vs Puebla

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 02:07 BST

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América vs Toluca

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Match Stats

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