MCF vs Naivas Football Stats

📍 Super League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 21st March, 12:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

MCF sit 19th in the table after 18 games, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Naivas are 9th after 22 games, averaging 1 scored and 0.5 conceded on the road. MCF have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Naivas have won 5/10 on the road (50%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. MCF have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Naivas in 20% away. MCF average 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Naivas 1 and 0.5 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. MCF have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Naivas in 20% away (2/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — MCF see 9+ corners in 10% of home games, Naivas in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — MCF have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Naivas in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Super League table for the 2025/2026 season, with MCF (19th) and Naivas (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Super League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Migori Youth 37 25 5 7 56:28 +28 80
2 3K 36 22 7 7 58:25 +33 73
3 Mombasa United 36 23 3 10 48:31 +17 72
4 Equity Bank 36 19 11 6 51:28 +23 68
5 Fortune Sacco 37 17 9 11 58:41 +17 60
6 Naivas A 37 17 9 11 46:29 +17 60
7 MOFA 36 15 15 6 47:29 +18 60
8 Talanta 37 16 9 12 51:38 +13 57
9 Kibera Black Stars 37 15 8 14 32:32 0 53
10 Soy United 37 13 10 14 30:27 +3 49
11 Nzoia United 37 11 14 12 36:36 0 47
12 Luanda Villa 37 12 7 18 30:50 -20 43
13 Kabati Youth FC 37 10 8 19 31:51 -20 38
14 Gucha Stars FC 35 10 8 17 30:37 -7 38
15 Nairobi City Stars 36 8 12 16 29:41 -12 36
16 Vihiga United 36 9 9 18 29:51 -22 36
17 Kisumu All Stars 37 9 9 19 22:47 -25 36
18 Darajani Gogo 37 9 8 20 24:48 -24 35
19 MCF H 33 8 10 15 22:31 -9 34
20 Mwatate United 35 6 7 22 27:57 -30 25

Team Form

MCF have won 40% of home games this season, Naivas 50% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

MCF (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

MCF (40% BTTS at home) and Naivas (20% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

MCF (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Match Goals

MCF (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Naivas (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

MCF (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

MCF (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

MCF have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Naivas in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

MCF (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

MCF (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

MCF (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 9 (0.9 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)

Match Corners

MCF (10% Over 8.5 at home) and Naivas (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

MCF (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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MCF vs Naivas Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for MCF vs Naivas?

Under 2.5 Goals — MCF have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Naivas in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, MCF or Naivas?

Naivas hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over MCF at home (40% wins) in Super League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between MCF and Naivas?

Unlikely — MCF (40% BTTS at home) and Naivas (20% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Super League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between MCF and Naivas?

Unlikely — MCF (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Naivas (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Super League. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: MCF or Naivas?

Naivas have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to MCF's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

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