Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 A-League Men, Australia
🕒 Sunday 5th April, 06:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

Melbourne Victory hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Wellington Phoenix are less consistent on the road (3/10, 30%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Wellington Phoenix have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Melbourne Victory are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Both Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix frequently see both teams scoring (70% and 80% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes — Melbourne Victory see both teams score in 70% of home games, Wellington Phoenix in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

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League Table

The full A-League Men table for the 2025/2026 season, with Melbourne Victory (th) and Wellington Phoenix (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

A-League Men 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Newcastle Jets 22 14 1 7 46:33 +13 43
2 Auckland 22 11 6 5 37:23 +14 39
3 Melbourne Victory H 22 10 5 7 38:28 +10 35
4 Adelaide United 22 10 5 7 39:32 +7 35
5 Sydney 22 10 3 9 29:23 +6 33
6 Macarthur 22 7 7 8 28:36 -8 28
7 Wellington Phoenix A 22 7 6 9 33:41 -8 27
8 Central Coast Mariners 21 7 6 8 29:32 -3 27
9 Melbourne City 21 6 8 7 22:28 -6 26
10 Brisbane Roar 22 6 6 10 22:29 -7 24
11 Perth Glory 22 6 5 11 25:35 -10 23
12 Western Sydney Wanderers 22 5 6 11 26:34 -8 21
13 3rd ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
14 6th ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
15 2nd ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
16 Highest ranked winner 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
17 Lowest ranked winner 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
18 1st ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
19 4th ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
20 5th ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0

Team Form

Melbourne Victory hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Wellington Phoenix have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Melbourne Victory have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Wellington Phoenix in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Match Goals

Wellington Phoenix regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Melbourne Victory are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Melbourne Victory have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Wellington Phoenix in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

Both Melbourne Victory (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Wellington Phoenix (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Melbourne Victory have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Wellington Phoenix have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Melbourne Victory 1.57
Draw 4.5
Wellington Phoenix 5.5

Half Time Result

Melbourne Victory 2.05
Draw 2.5
Wellington Phoenix 5

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory or Draw 1.14
Melbourne Victory or Wellington Phoenix 1.2
Draw or Wellington Phoenix 2.37

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.69
No 2.26

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.19
Over 2.5 1.53
Over 3.5 2.37
Under 1.5 5.3
Under 2.5 2.5
Under 3.5 1.57

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.2

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.36
Over 9.5 1.61
Over 10.5 2
Over 11.5 2.62

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 1.1
Over 1.5 1.5

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.25

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Hradec Kralove W vs Prague Raptors W 11:30 BST Hradec Kralove W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · Prague Raptors W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    100% combined
  • Milutinac W vs Radnički 1923 W 12:30 BST Milutinac W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Radnički 1923 W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Szeged-Csanád II vs Tiszaföldvár 10:00 BST Szeged-Csanád II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Tiszaföldvár have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Wolfsburg W vs Union Berlin W 15:00 BST Wolfsburg W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Union Berlin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    90% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.15
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Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix?

Both Teams to Score — Melbourne Victory see BTTS in 70% of home games, Wellington Phoenix in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Melbourne Victory or Wellington Phoenix?

Melbourne Victory hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in A-League Men this season, while Wellington Phoenix have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix?

Yes — both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Melbourne Victory have seen BTTS in 70% of home games, Wellington Phoenix in 80% of away games in A-League Men. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix?

Possibly — Wellington Phoenix regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Melbourne Victory are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Melbourne Victory or Wellington Phoenix?

Melbourne Victory have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Wellington Phoenix's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix?

Melbourne Victory have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Wellington Phoenix in 60% of away games in A-League Men. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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