Best Over 2.5 Goals Tips This Week

Last updated: 19 September 2026 | Weekly Tips

The best over 2.5 goals bets aren't always in the biggest leagues. This week, some of the strongest value sits in the Swiss Super League, the Austrian lower divisions and the non-league pyramid in England and Wales, and the numbers back it up.

We picked every fixture here on combined home and away form: how often the home team has produced over 2.5 goals at home this season, alongside how often the away team has done the same away. Combine the two for an overall percentage, and anything above 75% is worth a close look.

Here are this week's top picks, ranked by combined percentage.

15 Picks this week
94% Top confidence
1.25 Average odds
19 Sep Last updated
94% 17/18
👑 Top Pick of the Week

JS Hercules vs SJK Akatemia II

🇫🇮 Finland Elite Over 2.5 Odds 1.25 Sat 19 Sep · 12:00 BST

17 of their 18 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 94%. Fixtures in Finland have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.25 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

📊 The Rest of This Week's Over 2.5 Picks

2

Gamle Oslo vs Asker

🇳🇴 Norway · Sun 20 Sep · 12:00 BST
94%
18/19 Over 2.5 1.20

18 of their 19 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 94%. Fixtures in Norway have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.20 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

3

HIFK vs PPJ

🇫🇮 Finland · Sat 19 Sep · 14:00 BST
★ Value
90%
19/21 Over 2.5 1.33

19 of their 21 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 90%. Fixtures in Finland have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.33 the odds look fair.

4

Frigg vs Konnerud

🇳🇴 Norway · Sat 19 Sep · 12:00 BST
90%
18/20 Over 2.5 1.22

18 of their 20 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 90%. Fixtures in Norway have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.22 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

5

Nordstrand vs Lokomotiv Oslo

🇳🇴 Norway · Sat 19 Sep · 12:00 BST
89%
17/19 Over 2.5 1.22

17 of their 19 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 89% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Norway have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.22 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

6

VJS II vs Kontu

🇫🇮 Finland · Sun 20 Sep · 15:00 BST
89%
16/18 Over 2.5 1.20

16 of their 18 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 89% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Finland have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.20 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

7

Paide W vs Saku Sporting W

🇪🇪 Estonia · Sat 19 Sep · 10:30 BST
89%
15/17 Over 2.5 1.28

15 of their 17 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 89% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Estonia have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.28 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

8

Uni Azzurri vs Mindil Aces

🇦🇺 Australia · Sat 19 Sep · 11:30 BST
88%
22/25 Over 2.5 1.28

22 of their 25 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 88% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Australia have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.28 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

9

Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin

🇦🇺 Australia · Sat 19 Sep · 09:30 BST
87%
20/23 Over 2.5 1.20

20 of their 23 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 87% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Australia have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.20 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

10

Huima / Urho vs GBK

🇫🇮 Finland · Sat 19 Sep · 14:00 BST
85%
18/21 Over 2.5 1.22

18 of their 21 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 85% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Finland have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.22 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

11

Grei vs Heming

🇳🇴 Norway · Sat 19 Sep · 12:00 BST
83%
15/18 Over 2.5 1.25

15 of their 18 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 83% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Norway have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.25 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

12

Elverum vs Raelingen

🇳🇴 Norway · Sat 19 Sep · 14:00 BST
83%
15/18 Over 2.5 1.28

15 of their 18 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 83% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Norway have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.28 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

13

SibboV vs TuPS

🇫🇮 Finland · Sat 19 Sep · 11:00 BST
83%
13/16 Over 2.5 1.20

13 of their 16 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 83% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Finland have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.20 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

14

KR Reykjavík vs Víkingur Reykjavík

🇮🇸 Iceland · Sat 19 Sep · 15:00 BST
82%
19/23 Over 2.5 1.20

19 of their 23 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 82% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Iceland have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.20 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

15

Ariana vs Utsikten

🇸🇪 Sweden · Sat 19 Sep · 15:00 BST
82%
18/22 Over 2.5 1.40

18 of their 22 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 82% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Sweden have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.40 the odds look fair.

💡 How to Use This Data

The over 2.5 goals percentage next to each fixture combines the home team's home form with the away team's away form this season. A figure above 75% means the Over 2.5 outcome has landed in three of every four comparable games. Back enough of those and the edge adds up, though nothing here is guaranteed.

For the full team-by-team breakdown behind any of these fixtures, head to our Over 2.5 goals stats page, where you can explore the data across hundreds of leagues.

🔗 More Stats & Tips

Please gamble responsibly. All tips are based on statistical analysis and are not guarantees of outcome. Always bet within your means. For help with gambling-related issues, visit BeGambleAware.org.

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • JS Hercules vs SJK Akatemia II 12:00 BST | Kakkonen, Finland JS Hercules have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 home matches this season · SJK Akatemia II have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    94% combined
  • Frigg vs Konnerud 12:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 1, Norway Frigg have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Konnerud have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • HIFK vs PPJ 14:00 BST | Kakkonen, Finland HIFK have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · PPJ have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    90% combined
  • Paide W vs Saku Sporting W 10:30 BST | Meistriliiga Women, Estonia Paide W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Saku Sporting W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    89% combined

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