Best Over 2.5 Goals Tips This Week

Last updated: 08 October 2026 | Weekly Tips

The best over 2.5 goals bets aren't always in the biggest leagues. This week, some of the strongest value sits in the Swiss Super League, the Austrian lower divisions and the non-league pyramid in England and Wales, and the numbers back it up.

We picked every fixture here on combined home and away form: how often the home team has produced over 2.5 goals at home this season, alongside how often the away team has done the same away. Combine the two for an overall percentage, and anything above 75% is worth a close look.

Here are this week's top picks, ranked by combined percentage.

15 Picks this week
100% Top confidence
1.52 Average odds
8 Oct Last updated
100% 10/10
👑 Top Pick of the Week

Bad Schallerbach vs Wallern / Marienkirchen

🇦🇹 Austria Elite Over 2.5 Odds 1.53 Fri 9 Oct · 18:00 BST

All 10 of their combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, a flawless 100% record. Fixtures in Austria have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.53 the price still offers value.

📊 The Rest of This Week's Over 2.5 Picks

2

Raków Częstochowa vs Katowice

🇵🇱 Poland · Fri 9 Oct · 19:30 BST
90%
9/10 Over 2.5 1.53

9 of their 10 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 90%. Fixtures in Poland have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.53 the price still offers value.

3

Považská Bystrica vs Tatran Prešov

🇸🇰 Slovakia · Sat 10 Oct · 14:00 BST
83%
10/12 Over 2.5 1.75

10 of their 12 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 83% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Slovakia have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.75 the price still offers value.

4

Venados vs Universidad Guadalajara

🇲🇽 Mexico · Sun 11 Oct · 00:00 BST
83%
9/11 Over 2.5 1.50

9 of their 11 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 83% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Mexico have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.50 the price still offers value.

5

Carlisle United vs Kidderminster Harriers

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England · Sat 10 Oct · 12:30 BST
81%
9/11 Over 2.5 1.61

9 of their 11 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 81% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in England have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.61 the price still offers value.

6

Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun

🇨🇳 China · Sat 10 Oct · 12:35 BST
81%
21/26 Over 2.5 1.20

21 of their 26 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 81% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in China have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.20 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

7

Tapatío vs CA La Paz

🇲🇽 Mexico · Sat 10 Oct · 00:00 BST
80%
8/10 Over 2.5 1.44

8 of their 10 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 80% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Mexico have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.44 the odds look fair.

8

Chorley vs AFC Telford United

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 BST
80%
8/10 Over 2.5 1.70

8 of their 10 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 80% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in England have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.70 the price still offers value.

9

MFK Bytča vs FK Humenné

🇸🇰 Slovakia · Sat 10 Oct · 14:00 BST
80%
9/11 Over 2.5 1.80

9 of their 11 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 80% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Slovakia have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.80 the price still offers value.

10

Holyhead Hotspur vs Caersws

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales · Sat 10 Oct · 14:30 BST
80%
8/10 Over 2.5 1.53

8 of their 10 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 80% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Wales have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.53 the price still offers value.

11

Avia Swidnik vs Świt Skolwin

🇵🇱 Poland · Sat 10 Oct · 14:00 BST
80%
8/10 Over 2.5 1.53

8 of their 10 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 80% over a solid run of games. Fixtures in Poland have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.53 the price still offers value.

12

Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla

🇸🇪 Sweden · Thu 8 Oct · 18:30 BST
79%
19/24 Over 2.5 1.60

19 of their 24 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 79%, reliable without being a banker. Fixtures in Sweden have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.60 the price still offers value.

13

Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri

🇮🇸 Iceland · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 BST
79%
19/24 Over 2.5 1.22

19 of their 24 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 79%, reliable without being a banker. Fixtures in Iceland have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.22 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

14

Atlanta United vs Cincinnati

🇺🇸 United States · Sun 11 Oct · 00:30 BST
78%
21/27 Over 2.5 1.40

21 of their 27 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 78%, reliable without being a banker. Fixtures in United States have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.40 the odds look fair.

15

Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion

🇺🇸 United States · Sat 10 Oct · 22:00 BST
76%
19/25 Over 2.5 1.44

19 of their 25 combined games have hit Over 2.5 this season, good for 76%, reliable without being a banker. Fixtures in United States have produced plenty of over 2.5 goals this year. At 1.44 the odds look fair.

💡 How to Use This Data

The over 2.5 goals percentage next to each fixture combines the home team's home form with the away team's away form this season. A figure above 75% means the Over 2.5 outcome has landed in three of every four comparable games. Back enough of those and the edge adds up, though nothing here is guaranteed.

For the full team-by-team breakdown behind any of these fixtures, head to our Over 2.5 goals stats page, where you can explore the data across hundreds of leagues.

🔗 More Stats & Tips

Please gamble responsibly. All tips are based on statistical analysis and are not guarantees of outcome. Always bet within your means. For help with gambling-related issues, visit BeGambleAware.org.

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs FK have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Kumla have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    79% combined
  • UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano 19:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru UCV Moquegua have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 home matches this season · Cienciano have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.85
    69% combined

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)