Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 A-League Men, Australia
🕒 Monday 29th December, 08:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Melbourne Victory hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Wellington Phoenix are less consistent on the road (4/10, 40%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Melbourne Victory 80% at home, Wellington Phoenix 90% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Both Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix frequently see both teams scoring (70% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Melbourne Victory see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Wellington Phoenix in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full A-League Men table for the 2025/2026 season, with Melbourne Victory (10th) and Wellington Phoenix (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

A-League Men 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Newcastle Jets 24 14 2 8 49:37 +12 44
2 Auckland 24 11 8 5 40:26 +14 41
3 Sydney 24 11 4 9 31:23 +8 37
4 Adelaide United 24 10 7 7 41:34 +7 37
5 Melbourne Victory H 24 10 6 8 40:31 +9 36
6 Melbourne City 24 9 8 7 29:29 0 35
7 Macarthur 24 8 7 9 32:41 -9 31
8 Wellington Phoenix A 24 8 6 10 34:43 -9 30
9 Central Coast Mariners 24 7 8 9 34:38 -4 29
10 Perth Glory 24 7 6 11 30:38 -8 27
11 Brisbane Roar 24 6 8 10 24:31 -7 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers 24 5 6 13 26:39 -13 21
13 3rd ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
14 6th ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
15 2nd ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
16 Highest ranked winner 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
17 Lowest ranked winner 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
18 1st ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
19 4th ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
20 5th ranked 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0

Team Form

Melbourne Victory hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Wellington Phoenix have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Melbourne Victory have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Wellington Phoenix in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Melbourne Victory 80% at home, Wellington Phoenix 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Melbourne Victory have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Wellington Phoenix in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Melbourne Victory (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Wellington Phoenix (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Melbourne Victory win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Wellington Phoenix have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Melbourne Victory (Home Form) Wellington Phoenix (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

12th Apr, 2025
Wellington Phoenix
2 – 3 HT: 1-2
Melbourne Victory
Corners 5–9 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Feb, 2025
Melbourne Victory
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Wellington Phoenix
Corners 9–2 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Nov, 2024
Wellington Phoenix
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Melbourne Victory
Corners 1–7 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th May, 2024
Wellington Phoenix
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Melbourne Victory
Corners 11–3 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th May, 2024
Melbourne Victory
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Wellington Phoenix
Corners 10–3 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th Apr, 2024
Wellington Phoenix
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Melbourne Victory
Corners 4–9 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Jan, 2024
Wellington Phoenix
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Melbourne Victory
Corners 4–15 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Nov, 2023
Melbourne Victory
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Wellington Phoenix
Corners 12–0 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Apr, 2023
Wellington Phoenix
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Melbourne Victory
Corners 5–7 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Feb, 2023
Melbourne Victory
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Wellington Phoenix
Corners 2–4 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Melbourne Victory 1.53
Draw 4.95
Wellington Phoenix 6.25

Half Time Result

Melbourne Victory 2.05
Draw 2.5
Wellington Phoenix 4.75

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory or Draw 1.12
Melbourne Victory or Wellington Phoenix 1.18
Draw or Wellington Phoenix 2.62

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.74
No 2.3

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.58
Over 3.5 2.48
Under 1.5 4.6
Under 2.5 2.68
Under 3.5 1.49

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.33

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.2
Over 9.5 1.45
Over 10.5 1.85
Over 11.5 2.11

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.52

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.25

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix?

Over 8.5 Corners — Melbourne Victory see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Wellington Phoenix in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Melbourne Victory or Wellington Phoenix?

Melbourne Victory hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in A-League Men this season, while Wellington Phoenix have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix?

Possibly — Melbourne Victory frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Wellington Phoenix are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix?

Uncertain — Melbourne Victory have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Wellington Phoenix in 60% of away games in A-League Men. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Melbourne Victory or Wellington Phoenix?

Melbourne Victory have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Wellington Phoenix's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix?

Yes — both Melbourne Victory (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Wellington Phoenix (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in A-League Men. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Auckland vs Central Coast Mariners

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 04:00 BST

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Adelaide United vs Macarthur

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Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix

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🕒 Friday 24th April, 10:35 BST

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Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners

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Match Stats

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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