Melgar vs Alianza Universidad | Betting Tips, Predictions & Stats (, Primera Division)

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Melgar sit 8th in the table after 28 games, averaging 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Alianza Universidad are 14th after 28 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded on the road. Melgar have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Alianza Universidad side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Melgar in 90% of home games, Alianza Universidad in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Alianza Universidad regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Melgar are lower at home (50%, 5/10) — they've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Melgar see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Alianza Universidad in 20% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Melgar see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Alianza Universidad in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2025 season, with Melgar (8th) and Alianza Universidad (14th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2025

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Universitario	22	16	5	1	38:13	+25	53
2	Cusco FC	24	15	5	4	40:18	+22	50
3	Sporting Cristal	26	13	7	6	43:26	+17	46
4	Alianza Lima	24	12	8	4	41:24	+17	44
5	Los Chankas	23	11	2	10	28:36	-8	35
6	Alianza Atlético	23	10	5	8	25:19	+6	35
7	Cienciano	23	9	7	7	33:29	+4	34
8	Melgar H	22	7	10	5	30:23	+7	31
9	ADT	21	8	6	7	21:26	-5	30
10	Deportivo Garcilaso	21	7	8	6	24:26	-2	29
11	Comerciantes Unidos	22	7	5	10	20:29	-9	26
12	Sport Huancayo	22	6	5	11	31:34	-3	23
13	Atlético Grau	23	6	5	12	25:30	-5	23
14	ADC Juan Pablo II	23	5	7	11	20:31	-11	22
15	Alianza Universidad A	22	6	3	13	28:41	-13	21
16	Ayacucho	21	6	2	13	20:31	-11	20
17	Sport Boys	22	5	5	12	20:32	-12	20
18	UTC Cajamarca	22	4	6	12	19:33	-14	18
19	Deportivo Binacional	5	1	2	2	5:10	-5	5
20	ADC Juan Pablo II	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1

Team Form

Melgar have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Alianza Universidad's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

	Melgar (Home Form)	Alianza Universidad (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Won	7 (70%)	3 (30%)
Drawn	1 (10%)	2 (20%)
Lost	2 (20%)	5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Alianza Universidad regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Melgar are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

	Melgar (Home Form)	Alianza Universidad (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)	5 (50%)	6 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Melgar 90% at home, Alianza Universidad 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

	Melgar (Home Form)	Alianza Universidad (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals	9 (90%)	9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals	9 (90%)	8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals	6 (60%)	5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals	3 (30%)	2 (20%)

Under Goals

	Melgar (Home Form)	Alianza Universidad (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Under 0.5 Goals	1 (10%)	1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals	1 (10%)	2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals	4 (40%)	5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals	7 (70%)	8 (80%)

Team Goals

Melgar have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Alianza Universidad in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

	Melgar (Home Form)	Alianza Universidad (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored	9 (90%)	8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored	7 (70%)	3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored	2 (20%)	0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored	2 (20%)	0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

	Melgar (Home Form)	Alianza Universidad (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded	5 (50%)	7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded	2 (20%)	5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded	1 (10%)	2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded	0 (0%)	1 (10%)

Goal Totals

	Melgar (Home Form)	Alianza Universidad (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Total Goals Scored	20 (2 avg)	11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded	8 (0.8 avg)	16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Melgar have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Alianza Universidad in 20% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

	Melgar (Home Form)	Alianza Universidad (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 7.5 Corners	9 (90%)	4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners	6 (60%)	2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners	5 (50%)	2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners	5 (50%)	2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners	4 (40%)	1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners	3 (30%)	1 (10%)

Team Corners

Melgar have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Alianza Universidad have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

	Melgar (Home Form)	Alianza Universidad (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners For	8 (80%)	0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For	5 (50%)	0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For	3 (30%)	0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For	3 (30%)	0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For	3 (30%)	0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

	Melgar (Home Form)	Alianza Universidad (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners Against	4 (40%)	5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Melgar and Alianza Universidad. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23rd May, 2025

Alianza Universidad

1 – 1 HT: 1-0

Melgar

Corners 5–8 Cards 5–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

9th Aug, 2021

Melgar

3 – 0 HT: 2-0

Alianza Universidad

Corners 4–2 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

28th Sep, 2020

Melgar

1 – 0 HT: 0-0

Alianza Universidad

Corners 17–0 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

6th Oct, 2019

Alianza Universidad

2 – 1 HT: 0-1

Melgar

Corners 2–4 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

21st Apr, 2019

Melgar

2 – 0 HT: 2-0

Alianza Universidad

Corners 2–6 Cards 5–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

15th Oct, 2011

Melgar

0 – 1 HT: 0-1

Alianza Universidad