Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Peru
🕒 Monday 4th May, 00:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Melgar hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while UTC Cajamarca are less consistent on the road (3/10, 30%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

UTC Cajamarca have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Melgar are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

UTC Cajamarca regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Melgar are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 100%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Melgar have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, UTC Cajamarca in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Melgar (th) and UTC Cajamarca (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 11 8 2 1 21:5 +16 26
2 Los Chankas 10 8 2 0 20:10 +10 26
3 Cienciano 9 6 1 2 22:12 +10 19
4 Universitario 9 5 3 1 12:7 +5 18
5 UTC Cajamarca A 11 4 3 4 16:16 0 15
6 Sporting Cristal 10 4 2 4 19:15 +4 14
7 Melgar H 10 4 2 4 16:14 +2 14
8 ADC Juan Pablo II 11 4 2 5 17:26 -9 14
9 Cusco FC 10 4 1 5 12:18 -6 13
10 UCV Moquegua 10 4 1 5 11:15 -4 13
11 Comerciantes Unidos 10 3 4 3 15:15 0 13
12 Sport Huancayo 11 3 3 5 13:16 -3 12
13 Alianza Atlético 9 2 5 2 9:8 +1 11
14 ADT 11 2 4 5 11:15 -4 10
15 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 2 4 4 10:12 -2 10
16 Sport Boys 10 2 2 6 9:15 -6 8
17 Atlético Grau 10 1 4 5 5:12 -7 7
18 FC Cajamarca 10 1 3 6 12:19 -7 6

Team Form

Melgar hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while UTC Cajamarca have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Melgar (Home Form) UTC Cajamarca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

UTC Cajamarca regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Melgar are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Melgar (Home Form) UTC Cajamarca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

UTC Cajamarca regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Melgar are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Melgar (Home Form) UTC Cajamarca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Melgar (Home Form) UTC Cajamarca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Melgar have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, UTC Cajamarca in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Melgar (Home Form) UTC Cajamarca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Melgar (Home Form) UTC Cajamarca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Melgar (Home Form) UTC Cajamarca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 21 (2.1 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

UTC Cajamarca frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Melgar are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Melgar (Home Form) UTC Cajamarca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Melgar have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

UTC Cajamarca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Melgar (Home Form) UTC Cajamarca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Melgar (Home Form) UTC Cajamarca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Eger W vs Kazincbarcika W 17:30 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Eger W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Kazincbarcika W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    91% combined
  • Watford U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Watford U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    85% combined
  • SK Artis Brno vs Táborsko 16:00 BST | Chance Národní Liga, Czech Republic SK Artis Brno have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Táborsko have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 2
    82% combined
  • Westerlo U21 vs Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 19:00 BST | Reserve Pro League, Belgium Westerlo U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.95
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Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca?

Over 2.5 Goals — Melgar have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, UTC Cajamarca in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Melgar or UTC Cajamarca?

Melgar hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Primera Division this season, while UTC Cajamarca have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Melgar and UTC Cajamarca?

Possibly — UTC Cajamarca regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Melgar are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Melgar and UTC Cajamarca?

Possibly — UTC Cajamarca regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Melgar are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Melgar or UTC Cajamarca?

Melgar have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to UTC Cajamarca's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Melgar and UTC Cajamarca?

Possibly — UTC Cajamarca frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Melgar are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso

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Los Chankas vs Cienciano

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UCV Moquegua vs FC Cajamarca

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Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal

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Match Stats

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