Metz vs Olympique Marseille — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Ligue 1, France
🕒 Saturday 4th October, 16:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Metz (10% home wins) hold a slight edge over Olympique Marseille on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Olympique Marseille have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Metz are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Metz 50% at home, Olympique Marseille 40% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Metz have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Metz (18th) and Olympique Marseille (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 27 20 3 4 61:23 +38 63
2 Lens 28 19 2 7 54:27 +27 59
3 LOSC Lille 29 16 5 8 49:34 +15 53
4 Olympique Marseille A 29 16 4 9 58:38 +20 52
5 Rennes 29 14 8 7 49:41 +8 50
6 Monaco 29 15 4 10 50:43 +7 49
7 Olympique Lyonnais 28 14 6 8 41:29 +12 48
8 Strasbourg 28 12 7 9 46:34 +12 43
9 Lorient 28 9 11 8 38:42 -4 38
10 Toulouse 29 10 7 12 39:39 0 37
11 Brest 28 10 6 12 37:43 -6 36
12 Paris 29 8 11 10 37:45 -8 35
13 Angers SCO 29 9 6 14 25:39 -14 33
14 Le Havre 29 6 11 12 24:37 -13 29
15 Nice 29 7 7 15 34:56 -22 28
16 Auxerre 29 5 9 15 23:37 -14 24
17 Nantes 28 4 7 17 24:45 -21 19
18 Metz H 29 3 6 20 26:63 -37 15

Team Form

Metz have lost 70% of their home matches this season, while Olympique Marseille have been more resilient on the road (40% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Metz (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 7 (70%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Metz have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Metz (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Olympique Marseille regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Metz are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Metz (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Under Goals

Metz (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Team Goals

Metz have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Olympique Marseille in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Metz (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Goals Conceded

Metz (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Metz (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 26 (2.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 22 (2.2 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Metz (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Olympique Marseille (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Metz (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Metz have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Olympique Marseille have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Metz (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Corners Conceded

Metz (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Metz and Olympique Marseille. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

9th Feb, 2024
Olympique Marseille
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Metz
Corners 6–3 Cards 3–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Aug, 2023
Metz
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Olympique Marseille
Corners 4–9 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Feb, 2022
Metz
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Olympique Marseille
Corners 3–8 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Nov, 2021
Olympique Marseille
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Metz
Corners 9–7 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd May, 2021
Metz
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Olympique Marseille
Corners 1–10 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Sep, 2020
Olympique Marseille
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Metz
Corners 5–5 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Dec, 2019
Metz
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Olympique Marseille
Corners 1–7 Cards 4–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Feb, 2018
Olympique Marseille
6 – 3 HT: 3-0
Metz
Corners 3–5 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Nov, 2017
Metz
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Olympique Marseille
Corners 0–9 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Feb, 2017
Metz
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Olympique Marseille
Corners –7 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Metz vs Olympique Marseille across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Metz 6.6
Draw 4.7
Olympique Marseille 1.57

Half Time Result

Metz 6.46
Draw 2.67
Olympique Marseille 1.97

Double Chance

Metz or Draw 2.72
Metz or Olympique Marseille 1.2
Draw or Olympique Marseille 1.14

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.87
No 2.12

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.5 1.77
Over 3.5 2.92
Under 1.5 4.7
Under 2.5 2.28
Under 3.5 1.5

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.43

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.48
Over 9.5 1.68
Over 10.5 2.37
Over 11.5 2.54

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 1.58
Over 1.5 3.75
Over 2.5 10.7

Olympique Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.52
Over 2.5 2.64

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Metz vs Olympique Marseille Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Metz vs Olympique Marseille?

Over 2.5 Goals — Metz have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Metz or Olympique Marseille?

Olympique Marseille hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Metz at home (10% wins) in Ligue 1. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Metz and Olympique Marseille?

Mixed — Metz have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Metz and Olympique Marseille?

Possibly — Olympique Marseille regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Metz are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Metz or Olympique Marseille?

Olympique Marseille have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Metz's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Metz and Olympique Marseille?

Metz have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 40% of away games in Ligue 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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