Middlesbrough vs Stoke City — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Championship, England
🕒 Tuesday 30th September, 19:45 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Middlesbrough (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Stoke City on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Middlesbrough at 30% at home and Stoke City at 20% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Middlesbrough at 30% at home and Stoke City at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Middlesbrough regularly reach high corner totals at home (90%), while Stoke City are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Middlesbrough have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Stoke City in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Championship table for the 2025/2026 season, with Middlesbrough (1st) and Stoke City (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Championship 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 43 25 11 7 85:43 +42 86
2 Ipswich Town 42 21 13 8 73:44 +29 76
3 Millwall 43 22 10 11 58:47 +11 76
4 Southampton 43 21 12 10 75:51 +24 75
5 Middlesbrough H 43 20 13 10 64:44 +20 73
6 Hull City 43 20 9 14 65:61 +4 69
7 Wrexham 43 18 13 12 65:60 +5 67
8 Derby County 43 19 9 15 62:53 +9 66
9 Norwich City 43 18 7 18 59:52 +7 61
10 Bristol City 43 16 10 17 54:55 -1 58
11 Queens Park Rangers 43 16 10 17 58:65 -7 58
12 Sheffield United 43 17 6 20 61:59 +2 57
13 Preston North End 43 14 15 14 50:55 -5 57
14 Birmingham City 43 15 12 16 52:53 -1 57
15 Swansea City 43 16 9 18 51:56 -5 57
16 Watford 43 14 15 14 52:53 -1 57
17 Stoke City A 43 15 10 18 49:48 +1 55
18 Portsmouth 43 13 12 18 44:57 -13 51
19 Charlton Athletic 43 12 14 17 40:52 -12 50
20 Blackburn Rovers 44 12 13 19 39:54 -15 49
21 West Bromwich Albion 43 12 13 18 44:56 -12 49
22 Leicester City 43 11 14 18 54:65 -11 47
23 Oxford United 43 10 14 19 41:55 -14 44
24 Sheffield Wednesday 43 1 12 30 26:83 -57 15

Team Form

Stoke City have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Middlesbrough have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Middlesbrough (30% BTTS at home) and Stoke City (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Middlesbrough (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Stoke City (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Middlesbrough have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Stoke City in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 6 (0.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Middlesbrough regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Stoke City are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 7 (70%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Middlesbrough win 7+ corners in 90% of home games, regularly creating set-piece pressure from wide areas, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Stoke City have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Middlesbrough and Stoke City. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

25th Feb, 2025
Stoke City
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Middlesbrough
Corners 5–1 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Sep, 2024
Middlesbrough
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Stoke City
Corners 7–2 Cards 4–7 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Aug, 2024
Middlesbrough
0 – 5 HT: 0-1
Stoke City
Corners 4–3 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Mar, 2024
Stoke City
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Middlesbrough
Corners 6–3 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Oct, 2023
Middlesbrough
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Stoke City
Corners 8–4 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Mar, 2023
Middlesbrough
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Stoke City
Corners 4–6 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Aug, 2022
Stoke City
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Middlesbrough
Corners 4–8 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Apr, 2022
Middlesbrough
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Stoke City
Corners 7–1 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Dec, 2021
Stoke City
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Middlesbrough
Corners 5–4 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Mar, 2021
Middlesbrough
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Stoke City
Corners 4–9 Cards 0–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Middlesbrough vs Stoke City across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Middlesbrough 1.83
Draw 3.54
Stoke City 4.33

Half Time Result

Middlesbrough 2.5
Draw 2.26
Stoke City 5.07

Double Chance

Middlesbrough or Draw 1.2
Middlesbrough or Stoke City 1.31
Draw or Stoke City 1.9

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.83
No 1.83

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 2.11
Over 3.5 3.76
Under 1.5 3.34
Under 2.5 1.79
Under 3.5 1.29

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 3.07

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.14
Over 9.5 1.34
Over 10.5 1.96
Over 11.5 2.27

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 2
Over 2.5 4.5

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 1.53
Over 1.5 3.76
Over 2.5 9.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23 15:00 BST | Liga Revelacao U23, Portugal Rio Ave U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/14 home matches this season · Portimonense U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    79% combined
  • Schwechat vs Red Star Penzing 18:00 BST | Landesliga: Wien, Austria Schwechat have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Red Star Penzing have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    74% combined
  • Dergview vs Strabane Athletic 19:45 BST | Premier Intermediate League, Northern Ireland Dergview have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Strabane Athletic have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    74% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Swansea City U21 14:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 home matches this season · Swansea City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    69% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.22
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Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Stoke City?

Under 2.5 Goals — Middlesbrough have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Stoke City in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Middlesbrough or Stoke City?

Middlesbrough have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Stoke City on the road (20% wins) in Championship. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Middlesbrough and Stoke City?

Unlikely — Middlesbrough (30% BTTS at home) and Stoke City (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Championship. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Middlesbrough and Stoke City?

Unlikely — Middlesbrough (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Stoke City (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Championship. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Middlesbrough or Stoke City?

Middlesbrough have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Stoke City's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Middlesbrough and Stoke City?

Possibly — Middlesbrough regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Stoke City are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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