Middlesbrough vs Watford Football Stats

📍 Championship, England
🕒 Saturday 25th April, 12:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Middlesbrough sit 5th in the table after 40 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Watford are 15th after 40 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 2 conceded on the road. Middlesbrough have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Watford have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Middlesbrough have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games this season (2/10); Watford in 60% away (6/10). Middlesbrough average 1 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Watford 0.8 and 2 on the road.

Watford regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Middlesbrough are lower at home (40%, 4/10) — they've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Middlesbrough regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Watford are lower on the road (60%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Middlesbrough see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Watford in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Championship table for the 2025/2026 season, with Middlesbrough (5th) and Watford (15th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Championship 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 46 28 11 7 97:45 +52 95
2 Ipswich Town 46 23 15 8 80:47 +33 84
3 Millwall 48 24 12 12 64:51 +13 84
4 Southampton 48 23 15 10 84:57 +27 84
5 Middlesbrough H 49 22 15 12 73:50 +23 81
6 Hull City 49 23 11 15 73:66 +7 80
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 +4 71
8 Derby County 46 20 9 17 67:59 +8 69
9 Norwich City 46 19 8 19 63:56 +7 65
10 Birmingham City 46 17 13 16 57:56 +1 64
11 Swansea City 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
13 Sheffield United 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
14 Preston North End 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
15 Queens Park Rangers 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
16 Watford A 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
17 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
18 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
19 Charlton Athletic 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
20 West Bromwich Albion 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 53
21 Leicester City 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 52
22 Blackburn Rovers 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
23 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 18

Team Form

Watford have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Middlesbrough have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Watford regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Middlesbrough are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Middlesbrough have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Watford in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Middlesbrough have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Watford in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Middlesbrough (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Watford (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Middlesbrough win 7+ corners in 80% of home games, regularly creating set-piece pressure from wide areas, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Watford have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Middlesbrough and Watford. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

01 Nov 2025
Watford
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Middlesbrough
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Feb 2025
Middlesbrough
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Watford
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Oct 2024
Watford
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Middlesbrough
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 May 2024
Middlesbrough
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Watford
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Sep 2023
Watford
2 – 3 HT: 1-2
Middlesbrough
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Jan 2023
Middlesbrough
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Watford
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Aug 2022
Watford
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Middlesbrough
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Apr 2021
Middlesbrough
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Watford
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Sep 2020
Watford
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Middlesbrough
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Jan 2017
Watford
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Middlesbrough
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Middlesbrough vs Watford across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Middlesbrough 1.53
Draw 4.33
Watford 7.5

Half Time Result

Middlesbrough 1.85
Draw 2.76
Watford 6

Double Chance

Middlesbrough or Draw 1.08
Middlesbrough or Watford 1.16
Draw or Watford 2.75

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.66
No 1.9

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.13
Over 2.5 1.53
Over 3.5 2.3
Under 1.5 5.25
Under 2.5 2.5
Under 3.5 1.56

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.15

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.16
Over 9.5 1.17
Over 10.5 1.45
Over 11.5 1.57

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.41

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 1.59
Over 1.5 4.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Nõmme United vs Flora 17:00 BST | Meistriliiga, Estonia Nõmme United have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Flora have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
  • Blacktown Spartans vs Mt Druitt Town 11:15 BST | New South Wales NPL 2, Australia Blacktown Spartans have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Mt Druitt Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    82% combined
  • Brunswick City vs Manningham United Blues 10:30 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Brunswick City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · Manningham United Blues have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    79% combined
  • Nepean vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Nepean have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    74% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.35
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Middlesbrough vs Watford Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Watford?

Over 8.5 Corners — Middlesbrough see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Watford in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Middlesbrough or Watford?

Middlesbrough have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Watford on the road (10% wins) in Championship. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Middlesbrough and Watford?

Mixed — Middlesbrough have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Watford in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Middlesbrough and Watford?

Uncertain — Middlesbrough have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Watford in 60% of away games in Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Middlesbrough or Watford?

Middlesbrough have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Watford's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Middlesbrough and Watford?

Yes — both Middlesbrough (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Watford (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Championship. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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