Millwall vs Watford Football Stats

๐Ÿ“ Championship, England
๐Ÿ•’ Monday 22nd September, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Millwall sit 14th in the table after 4 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Watford are 20th after 4 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 2 conceded on the road. Millwall have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Watford have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals โ€” Millwall in 90% of home games, Watford in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Watford regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Millwall are lower at home (40%, 4/10) โ€” they've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Millwall regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Watford are lower on the road (60%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners โ€” Millwall see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Watford in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Todayโ€™s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for todayโ€™s games.

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League Table

The full Championship table for the 2025/2026 season, with Millwall (14th) and Watford (20th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Championship 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 46 28 11 7 97:45 +52 95
2 Ipswich Town 46 23 15 8 80:47 +33 84
3 Millwall H 48 24 12 12 64:51 +13 84
4 Southampton 48 23 15 10 84:57 +27 84
5 Middlesbrough 49 22 15 12 73:50 +23 81
6 Hull City 49 23 11 15 73:66 +7 80
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 +4 71
8 Derby County 46 20 9 17 67:59 +8 69
9 Norwich City 46 19 8 19 63:56 +7 65
10 Birmingham City 46 17 13 16 57:56 +1 64
11 Swansea City 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
13 Sheffield United 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
14 Preston North End 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
15 Queens Park Rangers 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
16 Watford A 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
17 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
18 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
19 Charlton Athletic 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
20 West Bromwich Albion 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 53
21 Leicester City 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 52
22 Blackburn Rovers 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
23 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 18

Team Form

Watford have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Millwall have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Millwall (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Watford regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Millwall are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Millwall (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Millwall 90% at home, Watford 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Millwall (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Millwall (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Millwall have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Watford in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Millwall (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Millwall (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Millwall (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Millwall (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Watford (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Millwall (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Millwall have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Watford have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Millwall (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Millwall (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Millwall and Watford. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up โ€” use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

8th Mar, 2025
Watford
1 โ€“ 2 HT: 1-0
Millwall
Corners 11โ€“4 Cards 0โ€“1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Aug, 2024
Millwall
2 โ€“ 3 HT: 0-1
Watford
Corners 5โ€“5 Cards 2โ€“3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Mar, 2024
Millwall
1 โ€“ 0 HT: 1-0
Watford
Corners 4โ€“3 Cards 3โ€“1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Oct, 2023
Watford
2 โ€“ 2 HT: 1-1
Millwall
Corners 7โ€“2 Cards 3โ€“3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Dec, 2022
Watford
0 โ€“ 2 HT: 0-1
Millwall
Corners 4โ€“9 Cards 3โ€“3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Oct, 2022
Millwall
3 โ€“ 0 HT: 3-0
Watford
Corners 2โ€“5 Cards 0โ€“2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Apr, 2021
Watford
1 โ€“ 0 HT: 1-0
Millwall
Corners 5โ€“6 Cards 0โ€“1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Jan, 2021
Millwall
0 โ€“ 0 HT: 0-0
Watford
Corners 2โ€“8 Cards 2โ€“4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Jan, 2017
Millwall
1 โ€“ 0 HT: 0-0
Watford
Corners 9โ€“2 Cards 1โ€“3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Apr, 2015
Millwall
0 โ€“ 2 HT: 0-1
Watford
Corners โ€“ Cards 0โ€“0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Millwall vs Watford across a range of markets โ€” full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change โ€” always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Millwall 2.04
Draw 3.36
Watford 4.05

Half Time Result

Millwall 2.77
Draw 2.12
Watford 4.75

Double Chance

Millwall or Draw 1.27
Millwall or Watford 1.36
Draw or Watford 1.84

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.72

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.41
Over 2.5 2.23
Over 3.5 3.86
Under 1.5 3.02
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.2

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.49
Over 1.5 3.39

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.08
Over 9.5 1.3
Over 10.5 1.88
Over 11.5 1.99

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.2
Over 2.5 5

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 1.53
Over 1.5 3.75
Over 2.5 11

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

โšฝ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiรฐablik / Augn U19 vs FH / รH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiรฐablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / รH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nรตmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nรตmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SรธnderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SรธnderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Millwall vs Watford Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Millwall vs Watford?

Over 8.5 Corners โ€” Millwall see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Watford in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Millwall or Watford?

Millwall have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Watford on the road (10% wins) in Championship. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Millwall and Watford?

Mixed โ€” Millwall have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Watford in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Millwall and Watford?

Uncertain โ€” Millwall have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Watford in 60% of away games in Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Millwall or Watford?

Millwall have the stronger scoring record โ€” 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Watford's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Millwall and Watford?

Yes โ€” both Millwall (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Watford (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Championship. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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