Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Saturday 7th February, 03:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Mineros de Zacatecas (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Morelia on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Mineros de Zacatecas 80% at home, Morelia 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Mineros de Zacatecas often see both teams score at home (60%), while Morelia are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Mineros de Zacatecas see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Morelia in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Mineros de Zacatecas (9th) and Morelia (5th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 33 17 10 6 45:32 +13 61
2 Cancún 29 15 8 6 49:27 +22 53
3 Atlante 29 14 8 7 56:28 +28 50
4 Morelia A 31 13 9 9 42:35 +7 48
5 Tepatitlán de Morelos 32 12 12 8 44:29 +15 48
6 Irapuato 33 12 11 10 54:48 +6 47
7 Mineros de Zacatecas H 28 10 10 8 45:46 -1 40
8 CA La Paz 27 9 11 7 46:41 +5 38
9 Tapatío 27 10 5 12 47:39 +8 35
10 Universidad Guadalajara 29 9 8 12 35:44 -9 35
11 Venados 27 9 6 12 52:53 -1 33
12 Tlaxcala 27 8 9 10 28:42 -14 33
13 Alebrijes 27 6 8 13 33:53 -20 26
14 Correcaminos UAT 26 5 7 14 28:56 -28 22
15 Dorados 27 3 6 18 22:53 -31 15

Team Form

Morelia have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Mineros de Zacatecas have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mineros de Zacatecas frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Morelia are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Mineros de Zacatecas 80% at home, Morelia 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Mineros de Zacatecas have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Morelia in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Mineros de Zacatecas (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Morelia (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Mineros de Zacatecas have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Morelia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Mineros de Zacatecas and Morelia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

31 Aug 2025
Morelia
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Mineros de Zacatecas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2025
Mineros de Zacatecas
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Oct 2024
Morelia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Mineros de Zacatecas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Jan 2024
Morelia
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Mineros de Zacatecas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Jul 2023
Mineros de Zacatecas
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Mar 2023
Morelia
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Mineros de Zacatecas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Sep 2022
Mineros de Zacatecas
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Apr 2022
Morelia
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Mineros de Zacatecas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Apr 2022
Mineros de Zacatecas
3 – 3 HT: 1-2
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Jan 2022
Mineros de Zacatecas
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Mineros de Zacatecas 1.9
Draw 3.7
Morelia 3.7

Half Time Result

Mineros de Zacatecas 2.87
Draw 2.25
Morelia 3.25

Double Chance

Mineros de Zacatecas or Draw 1.28
Mineros de Zacatecas or Morelia 1.28
Draw or Morelia 1.8

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.68
No 2.04

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.92
Over 3.5 3.13
Under 1.5 3.6
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 3.5 1.36

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.86

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23
Over 9.5 1.73
Over 10.5 2.32
Over 11.5 2.46

Mineros de Zacatecas Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.17

Morelia Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.58

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia?

Over 1.5 Goals — Mineros de Zacatecas see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Morelia in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Mineros de Zacatecas or Morelia?

Mineros de Zacatecas have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Morelia on the road (40% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Mineros de Zacatecas and Morelia?

Mixed — Mineros de Zacatecas have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Morelia in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mineros de Zacatecas and Morelia?

Uncertain — Mineros de Zacatecas have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Morelia in 40% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mineros de Zacatecas or Morelia?

Morelia have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Mineros de Zacatecas's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mineros de Zacatecas and Morelia?

Unlikely — Mineros de Zacatecas (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Morelia (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Liga de Expansión MX.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Tlaxcala vs Venados

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 00:00 BST

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Irapuato vs Mineros de Zacatecas

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 02:00 BST

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Universidad Guadalajara vs Cancún

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 19:00 BST

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Jaiba Brava vs Morelia

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🕒 Monday 20th April, 00:00 BST

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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