Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Saturday 7th February, 03:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Mineros de Zacatecas sit 9th in the table after 19 games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Morelia are 5th after 20 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Mineros de Zacatecas have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Morelia side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Mineros de Zacatecas in 80% of home games, Morelia in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Mineros de Zacatecas frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Morelia are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Mineros de Zacatecas see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Morelia in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Mineros de Zacatecas have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Morelia in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Mineros de Zacatecas (9th) and Morelia (5th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia A 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas H 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Mineros de Zacatecas hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Morelia have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Lost 0 (0%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mineros de Zacatecas frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Morelia are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Mineros de Zacatecas 80% at home, Morelia 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Mineros de Zacatecas have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Morelia in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Mineros de Zacatecas have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Morelia in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Mineros de Zacatecas have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Morelia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Mineros de Zacatecas (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Mineros de Zacatecas and Morelia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

31 Aug 2025
Morelia
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Mineros de Zacatecas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2025
Mineros de Zacatecas
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Oct 2024
Morelia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Mineros de Zacatecas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Jan 2024
Morelia
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Mineros de Zacatecas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Jul 2023
Mineros de Zacatecas
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Mar 2023
Morelia
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Mineros de Zacatecas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Sep 2022
Mineros de Zacatecas
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Apr 2022
Morelia
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Mineros de Zacatecas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Apr 2022
Mineros de Zacatecas
3 – 3 HT: 1-2
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Jan 2022
Mineros de Zacatecas
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Mineros de Zacatecas 1.9
Draw 3.7
Morelia 3.7

Half Time Result

Mineros de Zacatecas 2.87
Draw 2.25
Morelia 3.25

Double Chance

Mineros de Zacatecas or Draw 1.28
Mineros de Zacatecas or Morelia 1.28
Draw or Morelia 1.8

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.68
No 2.04

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.92
Over 3.5 3.13
Under 1.5 3.6
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 3.5 1.36

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.86

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23
Over 9.5 1.73
Over 10.5 2.32
Over 11.5 2.46

Mineros de Zacatecas Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.17

Morelia Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.58

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia?

Under 3.5 Goals — Mineros de Zacatecas have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Morelia in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Mineros de Zacatecas or Morelia?

Mineros de Zacatecas hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Morelia have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Mineros de Zacatecas and Morelia?

Mixed — Mineros de Zacatecas have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Morelia in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mineros de Zacatecas and Morelia?

Uncertain — Mineros de Zacatecas have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Morelia in 40% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mineros de Zacatecas or Morelia?

Mineros de Zacatecas have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Morelia's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mineros de Zacatecas and Morelia?

Mineros de Zacatecas have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Morelia in 40% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

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"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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