Modena vs Calcio Padova — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie B, Italy
🕒 Saturday 28th February, 14:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Modena have won 30% of home games, Calcio Padova 30% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Modena consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Calcio Padova are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Modena often see both teams score at home (60%), while Calcio Padova are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Modena have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Calcio Padova in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Serie B table for the 2025/2026 season, with Modena (6th) and Calcio Padova (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie B 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Venezia 34 21 9 4 68:29 +39 72
2 Monza 34 20 9 5 53:27 +26 69
3 Frosinone 34 19 12 3 65:33 +32 69
4 Palermo 34 18 11 5 55:28 +27 65
5 Catanzaro 33 14 12 7 51:40 +11 54
6 Modena H 33 14 9 10 44:29 +15 51
7 Juve Stabia 34 11 15 8 41:41 0 48
8 Cesena 34 12 8 14 42:50 -8 44
9 Carrarese 33 10 12 11 44:43 +1 42
10 Südtirol 34 8 16 10 36:37 -1 40
11 Sampdoria 34 10 10 14 34:44 -10 40
12 Mantova 34 11 7 16 39:48 -9 40
13 Avellino 34 10 10 14 38:54 -16 40
14 Calcio Padova A 34 9 10 15 33:45 -12 37
15 Empoli 34 8 12 14 43:49 -6 36
16 Virtus Entella 34 8 11 15 32:47 -15 35
17 Bari 1908 34 8 10 16 33:53 -20 34
18 Pescara 34 7 11 16 47:61 -14 32
19 Reggiana 33 7 9 17 31:52 -21 30
20 Spezia 34 7 9 18 32:51 -19 30

Team Form

Modena (30% home wins) and Calcio Padova (30% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Modena (Home Form) Calcio Padova (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Modena frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Calcio Padova are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Modena (Home Form) Calcio Padova (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Modena frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Calcio Padova are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Modena (Home Form) Calcio Padova (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Modena (Home Form) Calcio Padova (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Modena have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Calcio Padova in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Modena (Home Form) Calcio Padova (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Modena (Home Form) Calcio Padova (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Modena (Home Form) Calcio Padova (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both Modena (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Calcio Padova (80% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Modena (Home Form) Calcio Padova (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Modena have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Calcio Padova have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Modena (Home Form) Calcio Padova (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Modena (Home Form) Calcio Padova (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Modena and Calcio Padova. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11 Jan 2026
Calcio Padova
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Modena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Apr 2021
Modena
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Calcio Padova
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Dec 2020
Calcio Padova
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Modena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Jan 2020
Calcio Padova
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Modena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Sep 2019
Modena
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Calcio Padova
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Mar 2017
Modena
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Padova
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Oct 2016
Padova
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Modena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Mar 2014
Padova
2 – 2 HT: 0-2
Modena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2013
Modena
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Padova
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Mar 2013
Padova
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Modena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Modena vs Calcio Padova across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Modena 1.42
Draw 4.2
Calcio Padova 7.5

Half Time Result

Modena 2
Draw 2.37
Calcio Padova 6.81

Double Chance

Modena or Draw 1.11
Modena or Calcio Padova 1.24
Draw or Calcio Padova 2.59

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.12
No 1.85

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.31
Over 2.5 1.94
Over 3.5 3.4
Under 1.5 4.1
Under 2.5 2.02
Under 3.5 1.4

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.85

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.57
Over 9.5 2
Over 10.5 2.62
Over 11.5 2.47

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.61

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5 1.68
Over 1.5 5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Modena vs Calcio Padova Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Modena vs Calcio Padova?

Under 3.5 Goals — Modena have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Calcio Padova in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Modena or Calcio Padova?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Modena have won 30% of home games, Calcio Padova 30% away in Serie B. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Modena and Calcio Padova?

Mixed — Modena have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Calcio Padova in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie B fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Modena and Calcio Padova?

Possibly — Modena frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Calcio Padova are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Modena or Calcio Padova?

Calcio Padova have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Modena's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Modena and Calcio Padova?

Modena have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Calcio Padova in 60% of away games in Serie B. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Sampdoria vs Monza

📍 Serie B, Italy

🕒 Friday 17th April, 19:30 BST

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Spezia vs Südtirol

📍 Serie B, Italy

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 14:00 BST

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Mantova vs Avellino

📍 Serie B, Italy

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 14:00 BST

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Bari 1908 vs Venezia

📍 Serie B, Italy

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 14:00 BST

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Modena vs Frosinone

📍 Serie B, Italy

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 14:00 BST

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Palermo vs Cesena

📍 Serie B, Italy

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 16:15 BST

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Juve Stabia vs Catanzaro

📍 Serie B, Italy

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 18:30 BST

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Carrarese vs Pescara

📍 Serie B, Italy

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 14:00 BST

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