MOFA vs Naivas Football Stats

📍 Super League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 7th March, 11:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

MOFA sit 3rd in the table after 20 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Naivas are 10th after 20 games, averaging 1 scored and 0.5 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — MOFA have won 50% of home games, Naivas 50% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. MOFA have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Naivas in 20% away. MOFA average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, Naivas 1 and 0.5 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

MOFA frequently see both teams score at home (80%, 8/10). Naivas are lower on the road (20%, 2/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — MOFA see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Naivas in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — MOFA have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Naivas in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Super League table for the 2025/2026 season, with MOFA (3rd) and Naivas (10th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Super League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Migori Youth 37 25 5 7 56:28 +28 80
2 3K 36 22 7 7 58:25 +33 73
3 Mombasa United 36 23 3 10 48:31 +17 72
4 Equity Bank 36 19 11 6 51:28 +23 68
5 Fortune Sacco 37 17 9 11 58:41 +17 60
6 Naivas A 37 17 9 11 46:29 +17 60
7 MOFA H 36 15 15 6 47:29 +18 60
8 Talanta 37 16 9 12 51:38 +13 57
9 Kibera Black Stars 37 15 8 14 32:32 0 53
10 Soy United 37 13 10 14 30:27 +3 49
11 Nzoia United 37 11 14 12 36:36 0 47
12 Luanda Villa 37 12 7 18 30:50 -20 43
13 Kabati Youth FC 37 10 8 19 31:51 -20 38
14 Gucha Stars FC 35 10 8 17 30:37 -7 38
15 Nairobi City Stars 36 8 12 16 29:41 -12 36
16 Vihiga United 36 9 9 18 29:51 -22 36
17 Kisumu All Stars 37 9 9 19 22:47 -25 36
18 Darajani Gogo 37 9 8 20 24:48 -24 35
19 MCF 33 8 10 15 22:31 -9 34
20 Mwatate United 35 6 7 22 27:57 -30 25

Team Form

MOFA (50% home wins) and Naivas (50% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

MOFA (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Lost 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

MOFA frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Naivas are less consistent on the road (20%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

MOFA (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 2 (20%)

Match Goals

MOFA have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Naivas in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

MOFA (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

MOFA (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

MOFA have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Naivas in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

MOFA (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

MOFA (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

MOFA (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)

Match Corners

MOFA (20% Over 8.5 at home) and Naivas (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

MOFA (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

MOFA have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Naivas have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

MOFA (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

MOFA (Home Form) Naivas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined

MOFA vs Naivas Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for MOFA vs Naivas?

Under 2.5 Goals — MOFA have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Naivas in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, MOFA or Naivas?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — MOFA have won 50% of home games, Naivas 50% away in Super League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between MOFA and Naivas?

Possibly — MOFA frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Naivas are lower on the road (20%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between MOFA and Naivas?

Uncertain — MOFA have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Naivas in 20% of away games in Super League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: MOFA or Naivas?

MOFA have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Naivas's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between MOFA and Naivas?

Unlikely — MOFA (20% Over 8.5 at home) and Naivas (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Super League.

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