Monaco vs Olympique Marseille — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Ligue 1, France
🕒 Sunday 5th April, 19:45 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Monaco hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Olympique Marseille are less consistent on the road (5/10, 50%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Olympique Marseille have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Monaco are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Monaco at 40% at home and Olympique Marseille at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Monaco see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Monaco (6th) and Olympique Marseille (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 26 19 3 4 58:22 +36 60
2 Lens 27 19 2 6 54:24 +30 59
3 Olympique Marseille A 27 15 4 8 54:35 +19 49
4 Olympique Lyonnais 27 14 5 8 41:29 +12 47
5 LOSC Lille 27 14 5 8 42:34 +8 47
6 Monaco H 27 14 4 9 47:38 +9 46
7 Rennes 27 12 8 7 43:37 +6 44
8 Strasbourg 27 11 7 9 43:33 +10 40
9 Toulouse 27 10 7 10 38:32 +6 37
10 Lorient 27 9 10 8 37:41 -4 37
11 Brest 27 10 6 11 34:39 -5 36
12 Angers SCO 27 9 5 13 24:37 -13 32
13 Paris 27 7 10 10 32:43 -11 31
14 Le Havre 27 6 9 12 22:35 -13 27
15 Nice 27 7 6 14 32:52 -20 27
16 Auxerre 27 5 7 15 22:36 -14 22
17 Nantes 26 4 5 17 24:45 -21 17
18 Metz 27 3 5 19 25:60 -35 14

Team Form

Monaco hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Olympique Marseille have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Monaco (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Monaco (40% BTTS at home) and Olympique Marseille (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Monaco (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Olympique Marseille regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Monaco are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Monaco (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Under Goals

Monaco (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Team Goals

Monaco have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Olympique Marseille in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Monaco (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Goals Conceded

Monaco (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Monaco (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 28 (2.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Monaco (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Olympique Marseille (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Monaco (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Monaco have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Olympique Marseille have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Monaco (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Corners Conceded

Monaco (Home Form) Olympique Marseille (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Monaco and Olympique Marseille. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

14 Dec 2025
Olympique Marseille
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Monaco
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Apr 2025
Monaco
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Olympique Marseille
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Dec 2024
Olympique Marseille
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Monaco
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Jan 2024
Olympique Marseille
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Monaco
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Sep 2023
Monaco
3 – 2 HT: 2-2
Olympique Marseille
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Jan 2023
Olympique Marseille
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Monaco
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Nov 2022
Monaco
2 – 3 HT: 1-1
Olympique Marseille
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Mar 2022
Olympique Marseille
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Monaco
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Sep 2021
Monaco
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Olympique Marseille
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jan 2021
Monaco
3 – 1 HT: 0-1
Olympique Marseille
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Monaco vs Olympique Marseille across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Monaco 2.15
Draw 3.76
Olympique Marseille 3.21

Half Time Result

Monaco 2.55
Draw 2.4
Olympique Marseille 3.62

Double Chance

Monaco or Draw 1.34
Monaco or Olympique Marseille 1.28
Draw or Olympique Marseille 1.64

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.43
No 2.65

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.19
Over 2.5 1.51
Over 3.5 2.37
Under 1.5 5.6
Under 2.5 2.48
Under 3.5 1.57

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.2

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.3
Over 9.5 1.46
Over 10.5 2.09
Over 11.5 2.39

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.73

Olympique Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 1.21
Over 1.5 2.12

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki vs MLKS Victoria Sulejówek 18:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · MLKS Victoria Sulejówek have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    90% combined
  • Tolka Rovers vs UCD II 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Tolka Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · UCD II have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    89% combined
  • Charlton Athletic U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 13:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · AFC Bournemouth U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    87% combined
  • Sparta Praha II W vs Pardubice W 17:00 BST | 2. Liga Women, Czech Republic Sparta Praha II W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Pardubice W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    87% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.87
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Monaco vs Olympique Marseille Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Monaco vs Olympique Marseille?

Over 1.5 Goals — Monaco see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Monaco or Olympique Marseille?

Monaco have a slight form edge at home (60% wins) over Olympique Marseille on the road (50% wins) in Ligue 1. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Monaco and Olympique Marseille?

Unlikely — Monaco (40% BTTS at home) and Olympique Marseille (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Ligue 1. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Monaco and Olympique Marseille?

Possibly — Olympique Marseille regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Monaco are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Monaco or Olympique Marseille?

Olympique Marseille have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Monaco's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Monaco and Olympique Marseille?

Monaco have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 40% of away games in Ligue 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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