Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic

πŸ“ USL Championship, United States
πŸ•’ Sunday 28th September, 03:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Monterey Bay sit 12th in the table after 23 games, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per home match this season. Sacramento Republic are 2nd after 21 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded on the road. Monterey Bay have won 1/10 home games (10%) this season; Sacramento Republic have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Monterey Bay have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Sacramento Republic in 30% away. Monterey Bay average 0.5 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, Sacramento Republic 1.3 and 0.8 on the road β€” the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Monterey Bay have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Sacramento Republic in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season β€” Monterey Bay see 8+ in 60% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals β€” Monterey Bay have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full USL Championship table for the 2025 season, with Monterey Bay (12th) and Sacramento Republic (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

USL Championship 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Tulsa Roughnecks 26 15 9 2 46:23 +23 54
2 Louisville City 22 17 3 2 43:15 +28 54
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 26 12 9 5 28:18 +10 45
4 Charleston Battery 22 12 6 4 40:22 +18 42
5 Hartford Athletic 23 12 4 7 43:24 +19 40
6 New Mexico United 25 10 6 9 37:39 -2 36
7 Sacramento Republic A 22 10 6 6 29:17 +12 36
8 North Carolina FC 22 9 4 9 26:30 -4 31
9 Orange County 23 7 9 7 35:31 +4 30
10 Tampa Bay Rowdies 21 8 6 7 35:33 +2 30
11 Phoenix Rising 22 7 9 6 31:31 0 30
12 Rhode Island 25 8 6 11 21:22 -1 30
13 Lexington 20 8 5 7 22:25 -3 29
14 Indy Eleven 22 9 1 12 31:36 -5 28
15 Colorado Springs 21 8 2 11 21:33 -12 26
16 El Paso Locomotive 21 6 7 8 28:31 -3 25
17 San Antonio 21 6 6 9 25:25 0 24
18 Detroit City 22 6 6 10 20:25 -5 24
19 Oakland Roots 20 5 7 8 29:33 -4 22
20 Loudoun United 21 5 6 10 26:39 -13 21
21 Miami FC II 22 5 5 12 20:32 -12 20
22 Birmingham Legion 21 4 8 9 26:36 -10 20
23 Las Vegas Lights 21 3 6 12 17:38 -21 15
24 Monterey Bay H 19 3 4 12 14:35 -21 13

Team Form

Monterey Bay have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Sacramento Republic have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Lost 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Monterey Bay (40% BTTS at home) and Sacramento Republic (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Monterey Bay have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Monterey Bay have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Sacramento Republic in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 5 (0.5 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 16 (1.6 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Monterey Bay (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Sacramento Republic (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Monterey Bay have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Sacramento Republic have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Monterey Bay and Sacramento Republic. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up β€” use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

10th Aug, 2025
Sacramento Republic
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Monterey Bay
Corners 10–3 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Oct, 2024
Sacramento Republic
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Monterey Bay
Corners 11–2 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Jun, 2024
Monterey Bay
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Sacramento Republic
Corners 7–5 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th May, 2024
Sacramento Republic
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Monterey Bay
Corners 6–5 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Aug, 2023
Monterey Bay
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Sacramento Republic
Corners 6–5 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Jun, 2023
Sacramento Republic
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Monterey Bay
Corners 11–1 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Aug, 2022
Monterey Bay
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Sacramento Republic
Corners 3–3 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Jun, 2022
Monterey Bay
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Sacramento Republic
Corners 4–5 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Apr, 2022
Sacramento Republic
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Monterey Bay
Corners 9–5 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic across a range of markets β€” full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change β€” always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Monterey Bay 3.95
Draw 3.2
Sacramento Republic 2

Half Time Result

Monterey Bay 4.5
Draw 1.99
Sacramento Republic 2.65

Double Chance

Monterey Bay or Draw 1.82
Monterey Bay or Sacramento Republic 1.28
Draw or Sacramento Republic 1.26

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.96
No 1.98

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.42
Over 2.5 2.23
Over 3.5 4.22
Under 1.5 3.35
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.29

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.22

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.32
Over 9.5 1.64
Over 10.5 2.66
Over 11.5 2.82

Monterey Bay Goals

Over 0.5 1.53
Over 1.5 3.2
Over 2.5 9.3

Sacramento Republic Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.14
Over 2.5 4.8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Bragantino U20 vs Gremio U20 19:00 BST | Brasileiro U20, Brazil Bragantino U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Gremio U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    81% combined
  • Khangarid vs Central Stallions 08:00 BST | Premier League, Mongolia Khangarid have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · Central Stallions have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    78% combined
  • Lucan United vs Usher Celtic 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Lucan United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Usher Celtic have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    76% combined
  • CΙ™brayΔ±l vs Şimal 14:00 BST | Birinci Dasta, Azerbaijan CΙ™brayΔ±l have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Şimal have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.69
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Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic?

Under 2.5 Goals β€” Monterey Bay have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Monterey Bay or Sacramento Republic?

Sacramento Republic hold a slight form advantage away (30% wins) over Monterey Bay at home (10% wins) in USL Championship. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Monterey Bay and Sacramento Republic?

Unlikely β€” Monterey Bay (40% BTTS at home) and Sacramento Republic (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in USL Championship. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Monterey Bay and Sacramento Republic?

Uncertain β€” Monterey Bay have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 30% of away games in USL Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Monterey Bay or Sacramento Republic?

Sacramento Republic have the stronger away scoring record β€” 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Monterey Bay's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Monterey Bay and Sacramento Republic?

Monterey Bay have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 40% of away games in USL Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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