Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 USL Championship, United States
🕒 Sunday 28th September, 03:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Monterey Bay (10% home wins) hold a slight edge over Sacramento Republic on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Monterey Bay at 40% at home and Sacramento Republic at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Monterey Bay at 30% at home and Sacramento Republic at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Monterey Bay have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full USL Championship table for the 2025 season, with Monterey Bay (12th) and Sacramento Republic (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

USL Championship 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Louisville City 26 19 5 2 48:17 +31 62
2 Tulsa Roughnecks 30 17 10 3 54:27 +27 61
3 Charleston Battery 26 16 6 4 54:26 +28 54
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 30 12 10 8 29:23 +6 46
5 Hartford Athletic 27 13 6 8 47:29 +18 45
6 Sacramento Republic A 26 12 8 6 38:20 +18 44
7 New Mexico United 29 12 6 11 42:44 -2 42
8 North Carolina FC 26 12 4 10 34:34 0 40
9 Phoenix Rising 26 9 11 6 38:35 +3 38
10 Rhode Island 30 10 8 12 26:25 +1 38
11 Orange County 27 8 9 10 37:38 -1 33
12 El Paso Locomotive 25 8 9 8 36:34 +2 33
13 Colorado Springs 26 9 5 12 26:38 -12 32
14 Tampa Bay Rowdies 25 8 7 10 39:43 -4 31
15 Lexington 24 8 6 10 23:34 -11 30
16 Indy Eleven 26 9 3 14 36:45 -9 30
17 Detroit City 26 7 9 10 25:28 -3 30
18 San Antonio 25 7 7 11 29:33 -4 28
19 Oakland Roots 24 7 7 10 35:39 -4 28
20 Miami FC II 25 7 6 12 25:35 -10 27
21 Loudoun United 25 7 6 12 34:44 -10 27
22 Birmingham Legion 25 4 10 11 29:41 -12 22
23 Las Vegas Lights 25 4 7 14 19:47 -28 19
24 Monterey Bay H 24 3 7 14 16:40 -24 16

Team Form

Monterey Bay have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Sacramento Republic have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Lost 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Monterey Bay (30% BTTS at home) and Sacramento Republic (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Monterey Bay have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Monterey Bay have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Sacramento Republic in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 5 (0.5 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 16 (1.6 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Both Monterey Bay (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Sacramento Republic (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Monterey Bay have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Sacramento Republic have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Monterey Bay (Home Form) Sacramento Republic (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Monterey Bay and Sacramento Republic. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

10th Aug, 2025
Sacramento Republic
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Monterey Bay
Corners 10–3 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Oct, 2024
Sacramento Republic
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Monterey Bay
Corners 11–2 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Jun, 2024
Monterey Bay
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Sacramento Republic
Corners 7–5 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th May, 2024
Sacramento Republic
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Monterey Bay
Corners 6–5 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Aug, 2023
Monterey Bay
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Sacramento Republic
Corners 6–5 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Jun, 2023
Sacramento Republic
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Monterey Bay
Corners 11–1 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Aug, 2022
Monterey Bay
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Sacramento Republic
Corners 3–3 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Jun, 2022
Monterey Bay
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Sacramento Republic
Corners 4–5 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Apr, 2022
Sacramento Republic
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Monterey Bay
Corners 9–5 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Monterey Bay 3.95
Draw 3.2
Sacramento Republic 2

Half Time Result

Monterey Bay 4.5
Draw 1.99
Sacramento Republic 2.65

Double Chance

Monterey Bay or Draw 1.82
Monterey Bay or Sacramento Republic 1.28
Draw or Sacramento Republic 1.26

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.96
No 1.98

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.42
Over 2.5 2.23
Over 3.5 4.22
Under 1.5 3.35
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.29

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.22

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.32
Over 9.5 1.64
Over 10.5 2.66
Over 11.5 2.82

Monterey Bay Goals

Over 0.5 1.53
Over 1.5 3.2
Over 2.5 9.3

Sacramento Republic Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.14
Over 2.5 4.8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic?

Under 2.5 Goals — Monterey Bay have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Monterey Bay or Sacramento Republic?

Sacramento Republic hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Monterey Bay at home (10% wins) in USL Championship. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Monterey Bay and Sacramento Republic?

Unlikely — Monterey Bay (30% BTTS at home) and Sacramento Republic (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in USL Championship. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Monterey Bay and Sacramento Republic?

Uncertain — Monterey Bay have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 30% of away games in USL Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Monterey Bay or Sacramento Republic?

Sacramento Republic have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Monterey Bay's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Monterey Bay and Sacramento Republic?

Monterey Bay have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 40% of away games in USL Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

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