Moreirense vs Nacional Football Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 8th March, 00:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Moreirense sit 7th in the table after 21 games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Nacional are 14th after 22 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. Moreirense have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Nacional have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Moreirense have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games this season (3/10); Nacional in 50% away (5/10). Moreirense average 0.8 scored and 1 conceded at home, Nacional 0.8 and 1.7 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Moreirense at 30% in home games (3/10), Nacional at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Nacional are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 80% of away fixtures, 8/10). Moreirense are lower at home (40%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Moreirense have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Nacional in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Moreirense (7th) and Nacional (14th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66:18 +48 88
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89:24 +65 82
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74:25 +49 80
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64:36 +28 59
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42:29 +13 56
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47:38 +9 50
7 Moreirense H 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
9 Arouca 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
14 Nacional A 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
15 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
16 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21

Team Form

Nacional have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Moreirense have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Moreirense (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Moreirense have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Nacional in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Moreirense (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Moreirense have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Nacional in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Moreirense (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Moreirense (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Moreirense have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Nacional in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Moreirense (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Moreirense (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Moreirense (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 8 (0.8 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Moreirense are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Moreirense (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Moreirense have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Moreirense (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Moreirense (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Moreirense and Nacional. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

04 Oct 2025
Nacional
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Moreirense
27 Apr 2025
Moreirense
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
14 Dec 2024
Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Moreirense
18 Mar 2023
Nacional
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Moreirense
09 Oct 2022
Moreirense
3 – 1 HT: 3-1
Nacional
06 May 2021
Moreirense
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Nacional
17 Jan 2021
Nacional
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Moreirense
28 Jan 2019
Moreirense
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Nacional
19 Aug 2018
Nacional
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Moreirense
17 Apr 2017
Nacional
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Moreirense

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Moreirense vs Nacional across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Moreirense 2.66
Draw 3.3
Nacional 3.1

Half Time Result

Moreirense 3.1
Draw 1.92
Nacional 3.84

Double Chance

Moreirense or Draw 1.3
Moreirense or Nacional 1.32
Draw or Nacional 1.58

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9
No 2.04

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.24
Over 3.5 4.2
Under 1.5 3.35
Under 2.5 1.78
Under 3.5 1.29

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.47
Over 1.5 3.27

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.29
Over 9.5 1.57
Over 10.5 2.12
Over 11.5 2.43

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 1.29
Over 1.5 2.43

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined

Moreirense vs Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Moreirense vs Nacional?

Under 3.5 Goals — Moreirense have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Nacional in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Moreirense or Nacional?

Moreirense have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Nacional on the road (10% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Moreirense and Nacional?

Mixed — Moreirense have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Nacional in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Moreirense and Nacional?

Uncertain — Moreirense have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Nacional in 50% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Moreirense or Nacional?

Moreirense have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Nacional's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Moreirense and Nacional?

Possibly — Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Moreirense are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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