Morelia vs CA La Paz Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 1st March, 01:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Morelia sit 3rd in the table after 22 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. CA La Paz are 6th after 19 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Morelia have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a CA La Paz side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Morelia have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; CA La Paz in 40% away. Morelia average 1.6 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, CA La Paz 1.1 and 1.3 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Morelia at 30% in home games (3/10), CA La Paz at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

CA La Paz are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 90% of away fixtures, 9/10). Morelia are lower at home (60%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Morelia see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, CA La Paz in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Morelia (3rd) and CA La Paz (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia H 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz A 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Morelia have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to CA La Paz's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Morelia (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Morelia have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, CA La Paz in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Morelia (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Morelia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, CA La Paz in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Morelia (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Morelia (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Morelia have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, CA La Paz in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Morelia (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Morelia (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Morelia (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both Morelia (70% Over 8.5 at home) and CA La Paz (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Morelia (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Morelia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

CA La Paz have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Morelia (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Morelia (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 10 (100%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 8 (80%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 5 (50%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Morelia and CA La Paz. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20 Sep 2025
CA La Paz
3 – 0 HT: 3-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Mar 2025
Morelia
4 – 1 HT: 2-1
CA La Paz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2024
CA La Paz
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Jan 2024
CA La Paz
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Sep 2023
Morelia
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
CA La Paz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jan 2023
CA La Paz
3 – 3 HT: 2-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Sep 2022
Morelia
4 – 2 HT: 2-2
CA La Paz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Morelia vs CA La Paz across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Morelia 1.67
Draw 4.5
CA La Paz 5.3

Half Time Result

Morelia 2.1
Draw 2.56
CA La Paz 4.6

Double Chance

Morelia or Draw 1.15
Morelia or CA La Paz 1.22
Draw or CA La Paz 2.14

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.66
No 2.32

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.13
Over 2.5 1.59
Over 3.5 2.5
Under 1.5 5
Under 2.5 2.6
Under 3.5 1.62

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.1

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.11
Over 9.5 1.3
Over 10.5 1.91
Over 11.5 1.99

Morelia Goals

Over 0.5 1.09
Over 1.5 1.48

CA La Paz Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Morelia vs CA La Paz Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Morelia vs CA La Paz?

Over 8.5 Corners — Morelia see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, CA La Paz in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Morelia or CA La Paz?

Morelia hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while CA La Paz have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Morelia and CA La Paz?

Mixed — Morelia have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, CA La Paz in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Morelia and CA La Paz?

Uncertain — Morelia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, CA La Paz in 40% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Morelia or CA La Paz?

Morelia have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to CA La Paz's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Morelia and CA La Paz?

Yes — both Morelia (70% Over 8.5 at home) and CA La Paz (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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