Morelia vs Correcaminos UAT Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 11th January, 01:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Morelia to Win

Morelia sit 10th in the table after 14 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Correcaminos UAT are 11th after 14 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded on the road. The home record backs Morelia strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Correcaminos UAT have lost 7/10 on the road (70%).

Correcaminos UAT have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Morelia are lower at home (40%, 4/10), averaging 1.6 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Correcaminos UAT regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Morelia are lower at home (30%, 3/10) — they've conceded in 40% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Morelia see 8+ in 80% of home games, Correcaminos UAT in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Morelia to Win — Morelia have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Correcaminos UAT have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Morelia (10th) and Correcaminos UAT (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia H 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT A 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Morelia have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Correcaminos UAT's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Morelia (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Correcaminos UAT regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Morelia are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Morelia (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Correcaminos UAT regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Morelia are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Morelia (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Morelia (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Morelia have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Correcaminos UAT in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Morelia (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Morelia (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Morelia (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 23 (2.3 avg)

Match Corners

Morelia regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Correcaminos UAT are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Morelia (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Morelia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Correcaminos UAT have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Morelia (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Morelia (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Morelia and Correcaminos UAT. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11 Jan 2026
Morelia
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Correcaminos UAT
02 Aug 2025
Correcaminos UAT
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Morelia
29 Mar 2025
Morelia
3 – 2 HT: 2-1
Correcaminos UAT
11 Oct 2024
Correcaminos UAT
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Morelia
21 Feb 2024
Correcaminos UAT
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Morelia
13 Aug 2023
Morelia
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Correcaminos UAT
14 Feb 2023
Correcaminos UAT
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Morelia
05 Aug 2022
Morelia
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Correcaminos UAT
09 Feb 2022
Correcaminos UAT
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Morelia
27 Aug 2021
Morelia
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Correcaminos UAT

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Morelia vs Correcaminos UAT across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Morelia 1.46
Draw 4.65
Correcaminos UAT 6.27

Half Time Result

Morelia 1.96
Draw 2.66
Correcaminos UAT 5.81

Double Chance

Morelia or Draw 1.14
Morelia or Correcaminos UAT 1.14
Draw or Correcaminos UAT 2.37

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.77
No 1.92

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 3.5 2.76
Under 1.5 5
Under 2.5 2.36
Under 3.5 1.42

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.38

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.09
Over 9.5 1.18
Over 10.5 1.63
Over 11.5 1.73

Morelia Goals

Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.51

Correcaminos UAT Goals

Over 0.5 1.61
Over 1.5 3.4

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • PR Surf vs Ponce 01:30 BST | Liga Puerto Rico, Puerto Rico PR Surf have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/18 home matches this season · Ponce have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    80% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.37
    75% combined

Morelia vs Correcaminos UAT Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Morelia vs Correcaminos UAT?

Morelia to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Correcaminos UAT have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Morelia or Correcaminos UAT?

Morelia hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Correcaminos UAT have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Morelia and Correcaminos UAT?

Mixed — Morelia have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Correcaminos UAT in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Morelia and Correcaminos UAT?

Possibly — Correcaminos UAT regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Morelia are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Morelia or Correcaminos UAT?

Morelia have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Correcaminos UAT's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Morelia and Correcaminos UAT?

Possibly — Morelia regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Correcaminos UAT are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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