Morelia vs Tlaxcala Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 12th April, 02:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Morelia to Win

Morelia sit 2nd in the table after 28 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Tlaxcala are 8th after 24 games, averaging 0.4 scored and 2 conceded on the road. The home record backs Morelia strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Tlaxcala have lost 6/10 on the road (60%).

Morelia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Tlaxcala in 50% away (5/10). Morelia average 1.6 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Tlaxcala 0.4 and 2 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Morelia have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Tlaxcala in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Morelia see 8+ in 80% of home games, Tlaxcala in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Morelia to Win — Morelia have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Tlaxcala have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Morelia (2nd) and Tlaxcala (8th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia H 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala A 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Morelia have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Tlaxcala's 0% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Morelia (Home Form) Tlaxcala (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 0 (0%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Morelia (30% BTTS at home) and Tlaxcala (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Morelia (Home Form) Tlaxcala (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Morelia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Tlaxcala in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Morelia (Home Form) Tlaxcala (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Morelia (Home Form) Tlaxcala (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Morelia have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Tlaxcala in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Morelia (Home Form) Tlaxcala (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Morelia (Home Form) Tlaxcala (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Morelia (Home Form) Tlaxcala (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 4 (0.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

Morelia regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Tlaxcala are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Morelia (Home Form) Tlaxcala (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Morelia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Tlaxcala have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Morelia (Home Form) Tlaxcala (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Morelia (Home Form) Tlaxcala (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Morelia and Tlaxcala. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

02 Nov 2025
Tlaxcala
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Apr 2025
Tlaxcala
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Nov 2024
Morelia
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Feb 2024
Morelia
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Sep 2023
Tlaxcala
2 – 3 HT: 0-2
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Jan 2023
Tlaxcala
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Jul 2022
Morelia
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Jan 2022
Tlaxcala
0 – 4 HT: 0-2
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Nov 2021
Morelia
1 – 3 HT: 0-1
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jan 2021
Tlaxcala
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Morelia vs Tlaxcala across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Morelia 1.78
Draw 4.1
Tlaxcala 4.23

Half Time Result

Morelia 2.41
Draw 2.46
Tlaxcala 4.26

Double Chance

Morelia or Draw 1.22
Morelia or Tlaxcala 1.25
Draw or Tlaxcala 2

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.66
No 2.36

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 3.5 2.55
Under 1.5 5.1
Under 2.5 2.38
Under 3.5 1.54

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.31
Over 1.5 2.44

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.14
Over 9.5 1.35
Over 10.5 1.77
Over 11.5 2.1

Morelia Goals

Over 0.5 1.1
Over 1.5 1.68

Tlaxcala Goals

Over 0.5 1.34
Over 1.5 3.08

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
Explore all our tips & stats

Morelia vs Tlaxcala Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Morelia vs Tlaxcala?

Morelia to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Tlaxcala have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Morelia or Tlaxcala?

Morelia hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Tlaxcala have won only 0% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Morelia and Tlaxcala?

Unlikely — Morelia (30% BTTS at home) and Tlaxcala (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga de Expansión MX. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Morelia and Tlaxcala?

Uncertain — Morelia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Tlaxcala in 50% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Morelia or Tlaxcala?

Morelia have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Tlaxcala's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Morelia and Tlaxcala?

Possibly — Morelia regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Tlaxcala are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Canberra Olympic W vs Woden Weston W

📍 Capital Territory NPL Women, Australia

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 05:30 BST

Match Stats

Östersunds FK vs Örebro

📍 Superettan, Sweden

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 16:00 BST

Match Stats

Ústí nad Orlicí vs Mlada Boleslav II

📍 3. Liga CFL, Czech Republic

🕒 Saturday 6th June, 16:00 BST

Match Stats

Heming vs Union Carl Berner

📍 3. Division - Group 1, Norway

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 12:00 BST

Match Stats

Mlada Boleslav II vs Teplice II

📍 3. Liga CFL, Czech Republic

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 09:15 BST

Match Stats

San Martín de Tucumán vs Quilmes Atlético Club

📍 Primera B Nacional, Argentina

🕒 Sunday 7th June, 23:30 BST

Match Stats

Corpus Christi vs Portland Hearts of Pine

📍 USL League One, United States

🕒 Thursday 4th June, 01:30 BST

Match Stats

Oddevold vs Norrköping

📍 Superettan, Sweden

🕒 Tuesday 9th June, 18:00 BST

Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →