Morelia vs Venados Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 15th February, 01:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Morelia to Win

Morelia sit 7th in the table after 20 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Venados are 6th after 17 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 2.1 conceded on the road. The home record backs Morelia strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Venados have lost 7/10 on the road (70%).

Morelia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Venados in 50% away (5/10). Morelia average 1.6 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Venados 1.2 and 2.1 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Morelia at 30% in home games (3/10), Venados at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games — Morelia at 70% at home (7/10), Venados at 70% away (7/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

Our Prediction: Morelia to Win — Morelia have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Venados have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Morelia (7th) and Venados (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia H 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados A 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Morelia have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Venados's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Morelia (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Morelia have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Venados in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Morelia (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Morelia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Venados in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Morelia (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Morelia (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Morelia have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Venados in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Morelia (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Morelia (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Morelia (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 21 (2.1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Morelia (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Venados (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Morelia (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Morelia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Venados have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Morelia (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Morelia (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Morelia and Venados. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

05 Sep 2025
Venados
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Mar 2025
Morelia
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Venados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Sep 2024
Venados
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Mar 2024
Morelia
3 – 4 HT: 2-1
Venados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Nov 2023
Morelia
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Venados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Oct 2023
Venados
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Jan 2023
Morelia
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Venados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Jul 2022
Venados
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Apr 2022
Morelia
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Venados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Sep 2021
Venados
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Morelia vs Venados across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Morelia 1.6
Draw 3.81
Venados 5.09

Half Time Result

Morelia 2.12
Draw 2.59
Venados 5.01

Double Chance

Morelia or Draw 1.15
Morelia or Venados 1.18
Draw or Venados 2.15

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.53
No 2.3

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 3.5 2.36
Under 1.5 5
Under 2.5 2.43
Under 3.5 1.6

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.32

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.16
Over 9.5 1.38
Over 10.5 1.83
Over 11.5 2.16

Morelia Goals

Over 0.5 1.09
Over 1.5 1.56

Venados Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Morelia vs Venados Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Morelia vs Venados?

Morelia to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Venados have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Morelia or Venados?

Morelia hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Venados have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Morelia and Venados?

Mixed — Morelia have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Venados in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Morelia and Venados?

Uncertain — Morelia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Venados in 50% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Morelia or Venados?

Morelia have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Venados's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Morelia and Venados?

Yes — both Morelia (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Venados (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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10 Teams to Win Today

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