Morocco vs Mali — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Africa Cup of Nations, World
🕒 Friday 26th December, 20:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Morocco have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 8/10 home matches (80%). Mali have struggled on the road, winning only 4/10 away games (40%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Morocco at 30% at home and Mali at 10% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Morocco at 30% at home and Mali at 10% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Morocco usually generate 8+ corners at home (70%), while Mali are less consistent on the road (40%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Morocco have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Mali in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Africa Cup of Nations table for the 2025 season, with Morocco (1st) and Mali (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Africa Cup of Nations 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Senegal 7 6 1 0 13:2 +11 19
2 Nigeria 7 5 2 0 14:4 +10 17
3 Egypt 7 4 2 1 9:5 +4 14
4 Morocco H 7 4 2 1 9:2 +7 14
5 Algeria 5 4 0 1 8:3 +5 12
6 Côte d'Ivoire 5 3 1 1 10:6 +4 10
7 Cameroon 5 3 1 1 6:5 +1 10
8 Congo DR 4 2 1 1 5:2 +3 7
9 South Africa 4 2 0 2 6:6 0 6
10 Burkina Faso 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
11 Tunisia 4 1 2 1 7:6 +1 5
12 Mali A 5 0 4 1 3:4 -1 4
13 Mozambique 4 1 0 3 4:9 -5 3
14 Benin 4 1 0 3 2:7 -5 3
15 Sudan 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
16 Angola 3 0 2 1 2:3 -1 2
17 Comoros 3 0 2 1 0:2 -2 2
18 Tanzania 4 0 2 2 3:5 -2 2
19 Zambia 3 0 2 1 1:4 -3 2
20 Zimbabwe 3 0 1 2 4:6 -2 1
21 Uganda 3 0 1 2 3:7 -4 1
22 Gabon 3 0 0 3 4:7 -3 0
23 Botswana 3 0 0 3 0:7 -7 0
24 Equatorial Guinea 3 0 0 3 2:6 -4 0

Team Form

Morocco have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to Mali's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Morocco (30% BTTS at home) and Mali (10% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Match Goals

Morocco (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Mali (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Morocco have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Mali in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 3 (0.3 avg) 3 (0.3 avg)

Match Corners

Morocco have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Mali in 20% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Morocco have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Mali have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Morocco and Mali. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

7th Feb, 2021
Mali
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Morocco
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Sep, 2017
Mali
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Morocco
Corners 2–6 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Sep, 2017
Morocco
6 – 0 HT: 2-0
Mali
Corners 3–5 Cards 1–7 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Mar, 2013
Morocco
2 – 1 HT:
Mali
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th May, 2006
Morocco
0 – 1 HT:
Mali
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Morocco vs Mali across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Morocco 1.56
Draw 4.15
Mali 9

Half Time Result

Morocco 2.15
Draw 2.1
Mali 7.6

Double Chance

Morocco or Draw 1.1
Morocco or Mali 1.29
Draw or Mali 2.73

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.56
No 1.61

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.47
Over 2.5 2.42
Over 3.5 4.7
Under 1.5 3.04
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 3.5 1.26

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.48
Over 1.5 3.4

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.38
Over 9.5 1.64
Over 10.5 2.29
Over 11.5 2.57

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.79

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 2.08
Over 1.5 6.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Morocco vs Mali Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Morocco vs Mali?

Under 2.5 Goals — Morocco have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Mali in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Morocco or Mali?

Morocco hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Africa Cup of Nations this season, while Mali have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Morocco and Mali?

Unlikely — Morocco (30% BTTS at home) and Mali (10% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Africa Cup of Nations. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Morocco and Mali?

Unlikely — Morocco (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Mali (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Africa Cup of Nations. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Morocco or Mali?

Morocco have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Mali's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Morocco and Mali?

Morocco have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Mali in 20% of away games in Africa Cup of Nations. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

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