Morocco vs Mali Football Stats

📍 Africa Cup of Nations, World
🕒 Friday 26th December, 20:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Morocco sit 1st in the table, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per home match this season. Mali are 2nd, averaging 0.8 scored and 0.3 conceded on the road. Morocco have the stronger home record this season (8/10, 80%) against a Mali side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Morocco have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Mali in 10% away. Morocco average 1.9 scored and 0.3 conceded at home, Mali 0.8 and 0.3 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Morocco have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Mali in 10% away (1/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Morocco see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Mali in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Morocco have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Mali in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Africa Cup of Nations table for the 2025 season, with Morocco (1st) and Mali (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Africa Cup of Nations 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Senegal 7 6 1 0 13:2 +11 19
2 Nigeria 7 5 2 0 14:4 +10 17
3 Egypt 7 4 2 1 9:5 +4 14
4 Morocco H 7 4 2 1 9:2 +7 14
5 Algeria 5 4 0 1 8:3 +5 12
6 Côte d'Ivoire 5 3 1 1 10:6 +4 10
7 Cameroon 5 3 1 1 6:5 +1 10
8 Congo DR 4 2 1 1 5:2 +3 7
9 South Africa 4 2 0 2 6:6 0 6
10 Burkina Faso 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
11 Tunisia 4 1 2 1 7:6 +1 5
12 Mali A 5 0 4 1 3:4 -1 4
13 Mozambique 4 1 0 3 4:9 -5 3
14 Benin 4 1 0 3 2:7 -5 3
15 Sudan 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
16 Angola 3 0 2 1 2:3 -1 2
17 Comoros 3 0 2 1 0:2 -2 2
18 Tanzania 4 0 2 2 3:5 -2 2
19 Zambia 3 0 2 1 1:4 -3 2
20 Zimbabwe 3 0 1 2 4:6 -2 1
21 Uganda 3 0 1 2 3:7 -4 1
22 Gabon 3 0 0 3 4:7 -3 0
23 Botswana 3 0 0 3 0:7 -7 0
24 Equatorial Guinea 3 0 0 3 2:6 -4 0

Team Form

Morocco have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to Mali's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Morocco (30% BTTS at home) and Mali (10% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Match Goals

Morocco (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Mali (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Morocco have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Mali in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 3 (0.3 avg) 3 (0.3 avg)

Match Corners

Morocco have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Mali in 20% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Morocco have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Mali have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Morocco (Home Form) Mali (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Morocco and Mali. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

7th Feb, 2021
Mali
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Morocco
5th Sep, 2017
Mali
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Morocco
1st Sep, 2017
Morocco
6 – 0 HT: 2-0
Mali
6th Mar, 2013
Morocco
2 – 1 HT:
Mali
27th May, 2006
Morocco
0 – 1 HT:
Mali

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Morocco vs Mali across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Morocco 1.56
Draw 4.15
Mali 9

Half Time Result

Morocco 2.15
Draw 2.1
Mali 7.6

Double Chance

Morocco or Draw 1.1
Morocco or Mali 1.29
Draw or Mali 2.73

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.56
No 1.61

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.47
Over 2.5 2.42
Over 3.5 4.7
Under 1.5 3.04
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 3.5 1.26

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.48
Over 1.5 3.4

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.38
Over 9.5 1.64
Over 10.5 2.29
Over 11.5 2.57

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.79

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 2.08
Over 1.5 6.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined

Morocco vs Mali Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Morocco vs Mali?

Under 2.5 Goals — Morocco have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Mali in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Morocco or Mali?

Morocco hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Africa Cup of Nations this season, while Mali have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Morocco and Mali?

Unlikely — Morocco (30% BTTS at home) and Mali (10% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Africa Cup of Nations. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Morocco and Mali?

Unlikely — Morocco (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Mali (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Africa Cup of Nations. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Morocco or Mali?

Morocco have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Mali's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Morocco and Mali?

Morocco have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Mali in 20% of away games in Africa Cup of Nations. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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