MTK vs Várda SE Football Stats

📍 NB I, Hungary
🕒 Saturday 18th April, 16:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

MTK sit 10th in the table after 27 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per home match this season. Várda SE are 7th after 27 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. MTK have won 2/10 home games (20%) this season; Várda SE have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

MTK have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Várda SE are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home.

MTK frequently see both teams score at home (80%, 8/10). Várda SE are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — MTK see 8+ in 60% of home games, Várda SE in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — MTK see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, Várda SE in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full NB I table for the 2025/2026 season, with MTK (10th) and Várda SE (7th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

NB I 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Győri ETO 33 20 9 4 65:30 +35 69
2 Ferencvárosi 33 21 5 7 67:31 +36 68
3 Debrecen 33 14 11 8 51:41 +10 53
4 Paksi SE 33 15 8 10 63:46 +17 53
5 Zalaegerszegi TE 33 13 9 11 49:43 +6 48
6 Puskás 33 13 7 13 43:43 0 46
7 Nyíregyháza Spartacus 33 10 10 13 47:57 -10 40
8 Újpest 33 11 7 15 48:57 -9 40
9 Várda SE A 33 11 7 15 36:49 -13 40
10 MTK H 33 9 11 13 55:62 -7 38
11 Diósgyőr 33 6 10 17 39:65 -26 28
12 Kazincbarcika 33 6 4 23 31:70 -39 22

Team Form

Várda SE have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while MTK have been more solid at home (50% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

MTK (Home Form) Várda SE (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

MTK frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Várda SE are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

MTK (Home Form) Várda SE (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

MTK frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Várda SE are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

MTK (Home Form) Várda SE (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

MTK (Home Form) Várda SE (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

MTK have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Várda SE in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

MTK (Home Form) Várda SE (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

MTK (Home Form) Várda SE (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

MTK (Home Form) Várda SE (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 19 (1.9 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Both MTK (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Várda SE (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

MTK (Home Form) Várda SE (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

MTK have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Várda SE have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

MTK (Home Form) Várda SE (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

MTK (Home Form) Várda SE (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between MTK and Várda SE. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

24 Jan 2026
Várda SE
2 – 3 HT: 1-1
MTK
28 Sep 2025
MTK
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Várda SE
02 Apr 2024
Várda SE
3 – 2 HT: 2-0
MTK
17 Mar 2024
MTK
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Várda SE
25 Nov 2023
Várda SE
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
MTK
11 Aug 2023
MTK
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Várda SE
19 Mar 2022
MTK
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Várda SE
27 Nov 2021
Várda SE
5 – 0 HT: 2-0
MTK
27 Oct 2021
Várda SE
4 – 1 HT: 3-0
MTK
13 Aug 2021
MTK
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Várda SE

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for MTK vs Várda SE across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

MTK 1.9
Draw 3.35
Várda SE 3.35

Half Time Result

MTK 2.5
Draw 2.35
Várda SE 4.32

Double Chance

MTK or Draw 1.22
MTK or Várda SE 1.23
Draw or Várda SE 1.66

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.72
No 2.1

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 2.92
Under 1.5 3.5
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.33

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.62

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.17
Over 9.5 2
Over 10.5 2.07
Over 11.5 2.35

MTK Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.97

Várda SE Goals

Over 0.5 1.39
Over 1.5 2.99

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined

MTK vs Várda SE Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for MTK vs Várda SE?

Over 1.5 Goals — MTK see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, Várda SE in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, MTK or Várda SE?

MTK have a slight form edge at home (20% wins) over Várda SE on the road (10% wins) in NB I. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between MTK and Várda SE?

Possibly — MTK frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Várda SE are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between MTK and Várda SE?

Possibly — MTK frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Várda SE are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: MTK or Várda SE?

MTK have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Várda SE's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between MTK and Várda SE?

MTK have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Várda SE in 50% of away games in NB I. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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James T. (London, UK)

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