Nacional Asunción vs Libertad Football Stats

📍 Division 1, Paraguay
🕒 Saturday 27th September, 23:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Nacional Asunción sit 3rd in the table after 32 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Libertad are 8th after 32 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Nacional Asunción have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Libertad have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Nacional Asunción in 80% of home games, Libertad in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Nacional Asunción frequently see both teams score at home (80%, 8/10). Libertad are lower on the road (40%, 4/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Nacional Asunción see 8+ in 60% of home games, Libertad in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Nacional Asunción see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Libertad in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Division 1 table for the 2025 season, with Nacional Asunción (3rd) and Libertad (8th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Division 1 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Cerro Porteño 23 14 7 2 39:19 +20 49
2 Guaraní 23 14 3 6 45:22 +23 45
3 Nacional Asunción H 23 10 8 5 30:19 +11 38
4 Sportivo Trinidense 23 9 9 5 27:22 +5 36
5 2 de Mayo 23 9 6 8 28:28 0 33
6 Deportivo Recoleta 23 9 6 8 35:30 +5 33
7 Libertad A 23 7 8 8 27:24 +3 29
8 Olimpia 23 6 9 8 33:38 -5 27
9 Sportivo Luqueño 23 7 5 11 27:36 -9 26
10 General Caballero JLM 23 6 6 11 24:37 -13 24
11 Sportivo Ameliano 23 5 5 13 22:40 -18 20
12 Atlético Tembetary 23 3 6 14 21:43 -22 15

Team Form

Libertad have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Nacional Asunción have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Lost 1 (10%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional Asunción frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Libertad are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Nacional Asunción 80% at home, Libertad 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Nacional Asunción have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Libertad in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Nacional Asunción (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Libertad (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Nacional Asunción have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Libertad have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nacional Asunción and Libertad. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19th Jul, 2025
Libertad
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Nacional Asunción
11th Apr, 2025
Libertad
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional Asunción
29th Jan, 2025
Nacional Asunción
0 – 3 HT: 0-3
Libertad
6th Dec, 2024
Libertad
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional Asunción
29th Sep, 2024
Nacional Asunción
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Libertad
28th Jul, 2024
Libertad
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Nacional Asunción
22nd May, 2024
Libertad
5 – 0 HT: 2-0
Nacional Asunción
17th Apr, 2024
Nacional Asunción
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Libertad
9th Nov, 2023
Libertad
3 – 1 HT: 0-1
Nacional Asunción
24th Sep, 2023
Nacional Asunción
2 – 3 HT: 1-2
Libertad

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional Asunción vs Libertad across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional Asunción 2.51
Draw 3.18
Libertad 2.87

Half Time Result

Nacional Asunción 3.28
Draw 1.92
Libertad 3.81

Double Chance

Nacional Asunción or Draw 1.38
Nacional Asunción or Libertad 1.36
Draw or Libertad 1.49

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.95
No 1.73

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.6
Under 1.5 2.63
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.18

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.48
Over 1.5 3.4

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.39
Over 9.5 1.75
Over 10.5 2.98
Over 11.5 3.14

Nacional Asunción Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.85
Over 2.5 7

Libertad Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3
Over 2.5 8.6

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined

Nacional Asunción vs Libertad Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional Asunción vs Libertad?

Over 1.5 Goals — Nacional Asunción see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Libertad in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional Asunción or Libertad?

Nacional Asunción have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Libertad on the road (30% wins) in Division 1. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional Asunción and Libertad?

Possibly — Nacional Asunción frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Libertad are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional Asunción and Libertad?

Uncertain — Nacional Asunción have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Libertad in 60% of away games in Division 1. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional Asunción or Libertad?

Libertad have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Nacional Asunción's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional Asunción and Libertad?

Nacional Asunción have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Libertad in 60% of away games in Division 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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