Nacional vs Alverca Football Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Saturday 18th April, 15:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Nacional sit 15th in the table after 27 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Alverca are 10th after 27 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.9 conceded on the road. Nacional have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Alverca have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Alverca in 50% away (5/10). Nacional average 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Alverca 0.8 and 1.9 on the road.

Alverca regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Nacional are lower at home (30%, 3/10) — they've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

High corner counts are a feature of both teams' games this season — Nacional have seen 10+ corners in 70% of home fixtures (7/10), Alverca in 80% away (8/10). Over 9.5 Corners looks well supported.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Nacional see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Alverca in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nacional (15th) and Alverca (10th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66:18 +48 88
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89:24 +65 82
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74:25 +49 80
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64:36 +28 59
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42:29 +13 56
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47:38 +9 50
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
9 Arouca 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
11 Alverca A 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
14 Nacional H 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
15 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
16 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21

Team Form

Alverca have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Nacional have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Alverca regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Nacional are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Alverca in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Alverca in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

Both Nacional (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Alverca (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Alverca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nacional and Alverca. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

07 Dec 2025
Alverca
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Alverca across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 2.15
Draw 3.5
Alverca 3.25

Half Time Result

Nacional 2.79
Draw 2.31
Alverca 3.66

Double Chance

Nacional or Draw 1.39
Nacional or Alverca 1.33
Draw or Alverca 1.65

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.66
No 2.34

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 3.22
Under 1.5 4.3
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.43

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.83

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.32
Over 10.5 1.88
Over 11.5 1.99

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.22

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Nacional vs Alverca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Alverca?

Over 8.5 Corners — Nacional see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Alverca in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Alverca?

Nacional have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Alverca on the road (10% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Alverca?

Mixed — Nacional have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Alverca in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Alverca?

Uncertain — Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Alverca in 50% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Alverca?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Alverca's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Alverca?

Yes — both Nacional (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Alverca (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga Portugal. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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