Nacional vs Alverca — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Saturday 18th April, 15:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Nacional (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Alverca on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Alverca tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (90%), while Nacional are lower (60%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Alverca regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Nacional are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

High corner counts are common for both teams (80% and 90%), making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Nacional see 9+ corners in 100% of home games, Alverca in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nacional (th) and Alverca (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 28 23 4 1 56:13 +43 73
2 Sporting CP 28 22 5 1 73:17 +56 71
3 Benfica 29 20 9 0 61:18 +43 69
4 Sporting Braga 28 15 7 6 55:27 +28 52
5 Famalicão 29 13 8 8 36:25 +11 47
6 Gil Vicente 28 12 9 7 42:28 +14 45
7 Estoril 28 10 7 11 50:47 +3 37
8 Moreirense 29 10 6 13 32:41 -9 36
9 Vitória Guimarães 29 10 6 13 35:43 -8 36
10 Alverca A 29 9 8 12 32:47 -15 35
11 Rio Ave 29 8 9 12 31:48 -17 33
12 Arouca 29 9 5 15 37:58 -21 32
13 Santa Clara 29 7 7 15 26:37 -11 28
14 Estrela Amadora 29 6 10 13 33:48 -15 28
15 Nacional H 29 6 7 16 31:41 -10 25
16 Casa Pia 28 5 10 13 28:52 -24 25
17 Tondela 27 4 8 15 19:44 -25 20
18 AVS 29 1 9 19 19:62 -43 12

Team Form

Nacional have won 30% of home games this season, Alverca 20% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Alverca regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Nacional are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Alverca in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Alverca in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

Both Nacional (100% Over 8.5 at home) and Alverca (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Alverca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Alverca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Alverca across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 2.3
Draw 3.45
Alverca 3.24

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    76% combined
  • Alianza U20 vs FAS U20 02:00 BST | Reserve League, El Salvador Alianza U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/21 home matches this season · FAS U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/20 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Nacional vs Alverca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Alverca?

Over 8.5 Corners — Nacional see 9+ corners in 100% of home games, Alverca in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Alverca?

Nacional have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Alverca on the road (20% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Alverca?

Mixed — Nacional have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Alverca in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Alverca?

Uncertain — Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Alverca in 50% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Alverca?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Alverca's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Alverca?

Yes — both Nacional (100% Over 8.5 at home) and Alverca (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga Portugal. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

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Nacional vs Alverca

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

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Casa Pia vs Santa Clara

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

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Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

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Arouca vs Estrela Amadora

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 15:30 BST

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Sporting CP vs Benfica

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 18:00 BST

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Porto vs Tondela

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

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Match Stats

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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