Nacional vs Arouca Football Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 21st September, 16:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Nacional sit 14th in the table after 4 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Arouca are 12th after 4 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Nacional have won 40% of home games, Arouca 40% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Arouca in 60% away (6/10). Nacional average 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Arouca 1.3 and 1.4 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Nacional at 30% in home games (3/10), Arouca at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Nacional regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Arouca are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Nacional at 30% BTTS in home games and Arouca at 50% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nacional (14th) and Arouca (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66:18 +48 88
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89:24 +65 82
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74:25 +49 80
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64:36 +28 59
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42:29 +13 56
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47:38 +9 50
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
9 Arouca A 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
14 Nacional H 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
15 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
16 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21

Team Form

Nacional (40% home wins) and Arouca (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Nacional (Home Form) Arouca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Arouca in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Nacional (Home Form) Arouca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Arouca in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Arouca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Arouca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Arouca in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Arouca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Arouca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Arouca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Arouca are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Nacional (Home Form) Arouca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Arouca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Arouca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Arouca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nacional and Arouca. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

1st Feb, 2025
Nacional
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
Arouca
Corners 3–3 Cards 6–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Aug, 2024
Arouca
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
Corners 9–3 Cards 2–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th May, 2018
Arouca
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Nacional
Corners 8–3 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Dec, 2017
Nacional
2 – 2 HT: 0-2
Arouca
Corners 6–2 Cards 4–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Jan, 2017
Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Arouca
Corners 8–7 Cards 1–7 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Aug, 2016
Arouca
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Nacional
Corners 4–11 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st May, 2016
Arouca
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Nacional
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Jan, 2016
Nacional
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Arouca
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Feb, 2015
Arouca
3 – 3 HT: 1-2
Nacional
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Jan, 2015
Arouca
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Arouca across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 2.38
Draw 3.31
Arouca 3.49

Half Time Result

Nacional 2.95
Draw 2.14
Arouca 4.27

Double Chance

Nacional or Draw 1.36
Nacional or Arouca 1.33
Draw or Arouca 1.61

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9
No 2.06

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.41
Over 2.5 2.22
Over 3.5 4.1
Under 1.5 3.32
Under 2.5 1.79
Under 3.5 1.31

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.48
Over 1.5 3.34

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.53
Over 9.5 1.83
Over 10.5 2.5
Over 11.5 3.4

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.37
Over 2.5 5.8

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.25
Over 2.5 9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Nacional vs Arouca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Arouca?

BTTS – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Nacional at 30% BTTS at home and Arouca at 50% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Arouca?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Nacional have won 40% of home games, Arouca 40% away in Liga Portugal. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Arouca?

Mixed — Nacional have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Arouca in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Arouca?

Uncertain — Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Arouca in 60% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Arouca?

Arouca have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Nacional's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Arouca?

Possibly — Nacional regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Arouca are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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