Nacional vs Casa Pia Football Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 8th February, 15:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Nacional sit 13th in the table after 18 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Casa Pia are 15th after 18 games, averaging 0.4 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. Nacional have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Casa Pia have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Casa Pia in 50% away (5/10). Nacional average 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Casa Pia 0.4 and 1.7 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Nacional have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Casa Pia in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Nacional regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Casa Pia are lower on the road (60%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Nacional see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Casa Pia in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nacional (13th) and Casa Pia (15th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66:18 +48 88
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89:24 +65 82
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74:25 +49 80
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64:36 +28 59
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42:29 +13 56
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47:38 +9 50
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
9 Arouca 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
14 Nacional H 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
15 Casa Pia A 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
16 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21

Team Form

Casa Pia have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Nacional have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Nacional (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional (30% BTTS at home) and Casa Pia (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Nacional (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Casa Pia in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Casa Pia in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 4 (0.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Both Nacional (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Casa Pia (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Nacional (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Casa Pia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nacional and Casa Pia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30 Aug 2025
Casa Pia
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Mar 2025
Nacional
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Casa Pia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Oct 2024
Casa Pia
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Nov 2023
Nacional
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Casa Pia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2023
Casa Pia
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Feb 2023
Casa Pia
2 – 5 HT: 0-1
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Feb 2022
Casa Pia
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Sep 2021
Nacional
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Casa Pia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Nov 2020
Casa Pia
2 – 3 HT: 0-1
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Dec 2019
Casa Pia
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Casa Pia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 1.88
Draw 3.7
Casa Pia 4.9

Half Time Result

Nacional 2.4
Draw 2.28
Casa Pia 4.97

Double Chance

Nacional or Draw 1.22
Nacional or Casa Pia 1.3
Draw or Casa Pia 2.05

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.87
No 2.14

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.32
Over 2.5 1.92
Over 3.5 3.45
Under 1.5 4
Under 2.5 1.96
Under 3.5 1.39

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 2.75

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.27
Over 9.5 1.4
Over 10.5 2.03
Over 11.5 2.21

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 1.83

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 1.53
Over 1.5 3.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Nacional vs Casa Pia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Casa Pia?

Over 8.5 Corners — Nacional see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Casa Pia in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Casa Pia?

Nacional have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Casa Pia on the road (10% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Casa Pia?

Unlikely — Nacional (30% BTTS at home) and Casa Pia (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Portugal. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Casa Pia?

Uncertain — Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Casa Pia in 50% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Casa Pia?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Casa Pia's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Casa Pia?

Yes — both Nacional (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Casa Pia (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga Portugal. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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