Nacional vs Cerro Largo — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 28th March, 00:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Nacional (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Cerro Largo on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Cerro Largo tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while Nacional are lower (70%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Nacional 50% at home, Cerro Largo 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Cerro Largo often produce high corner totals away (80%), while Nacional are lower at home (30%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Nacional have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Cerro Largo in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Nacional (10th) and Cerro Largo (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Peñarol 8 6 1 1 14:6 +8 19
2 Racing 8 5 2 1 14:7 +7 17
3 Deportivo Maldonado 8 5 1 2 12:8 +4 16
4 Montevideo City Torque 8 4 2 2 11:7 +4 14
5 Nacional H 8 4 1 3 11:8 +3 13
6 Danubio 8 3 3 2 11:10 +1 12
7 Liverpool 8 3 3 2 10:8 +2 12
8 Defensor Sporting 8 3 3 2 6:5 +1 12
9 Central Español 8 3 2 3 11:10 +1 11
10 Wanderers 8 3 2 3 7:11 -4 11
11 Albion 8 3 2 3 10:9 +1 11
12 Cerro Largo A 8 3 0 5 8:11 -3 9
13 Atlético Progreso 8 1 3 4 6:12 -6 6
14 Cerro 8 1 2 5 4:11 -7 5
15 Boston River 8 1 2 5 3:9 -6 5
16 Juventud 8 1 1 6 7:13 -6 4

Team Form

Cerro Largo have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Nacional have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Cerro Largo in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Cerro Largo in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Cerro Largo in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Cerro Largo frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while Nacional are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 10 (100%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Cerro Largo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 9 (90%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nacional and Cerro Largo. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

17 Jan 2026
Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Cerro Largo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Oct 2025
Nacional
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Cerro Largo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2025
Cerro Largo
0 – 4 HT: 0-2
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Oct 2024
Cerro Largo
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jun 2024
Cerro Largo
0 – 4 HT: 0-2
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2024
Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cerro Largo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Aug 2023
Cerro Largo
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Jul 2023
Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cerro Largo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Feb 2023
Nacional
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cerro Largo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Sep 2022
Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Cerro Largo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Cerro Largo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 1.46
Draw 3.9
Cerro Largo 8.2

Half Time Result

Nacional 1.97
Draw 2.18
Cerro Largo 7.36

Double Chance

Nacional or Draw 1.08
Nacional or Cerro Largo 1.2
Draw or Cerro Largo 2.55

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.18
No 1.79

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 2.01
Over 3.5 3.63
Under 1.5 3.31
Under 2.5 1.81
Under 3.5 1.3

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 3.01

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.3
Over 9.5 1.54
Over 10.5 1.88
Over 11.5 2.38

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.09
Over 1.5 1.67

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5 1.88
Over 1.5 5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Al Ittihad W vs Al Qadsiah W 17:30 BST Al Ittihad W have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Al Qadsiah W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    90% combined
  • Y Rhyl 1879 vs Denbigh Town 19:45 BST Y Rhyl 1879 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Denbigh Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    88% combined
  • Kortrijk U21 vs RFC de Liege U21 19:30 BST Kortrijk U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · RFC de Liege U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    87% combined
  • Lafnitz vs Weiz 18:00 BST Lafnitz have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Weiz have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    78% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.41
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Nacional vs Cerro Largo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Cerro Largo?

Under 2.5 Goals — Nacional have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Cerro Largo in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Cerro Largo?

Nacional have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Cerro Largo on the road (40% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Cerro Largo?

Mixed — Nacional have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Cerro Largo in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Cerro Largo?

Uncertain — Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Cerro Largo in 40% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Cerro Largo?

Cerro Largo have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Nacional's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Cerro Largo?

Possibly — Cerro Largo frequently reach high corner counts away (90%), while Nacional are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Nacional vs Cerro Largo

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Saturday 28th March, 00:00 GMT

Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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