Nacional vs Cerro Largo Football Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 28th March, 00:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Nacional sit 10th in the table after 4 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Cerro Largo are 11th after 4 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. Nacional have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Cerro Largo side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Nacional have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Cerro Largo in 30% away. Nacional average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Cerro Largo 0.8 and 1.2 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Nacional have seen BTTS in only 20% of home games (2/10); Cerro Largo in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Cerro Largo are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Nacional are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Nacional have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Cerro Largo in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Nacional (10th) and Cerro Largo (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 17 10 5 2 24:14 +10 35
2 Deportivo Maldonado 17 10 3 4 28:18 +10 33
3 Peñarol 17 10 3 4 27:17 +10 33
4 Albion 17 8 5 4 26:17 +9 29
5 Nacional H 17 9 1 7 29:22 +7 28
6 Central Español 17 8 3 6 25:24 +1 27
7 Montevideo City Torque 17 7 5 5 25:19 +6 26
8 Wanderers 17 6 4 7 17:22 -5 22
9 Defensor Sporting 17 5 6 6 14:15 -1 21
10 Liverpool 17 5 6 6 21:20 +1 21
11 Cerro Largo A 17 6 2 9 19:20 -1 20
12 Boston River 17 6 2 9 18:24 -6 20
13 Danubio 16 4 6 6 18:24 -6 18
14 Juventud 16 5 3 8 19:22 -3 18
15 Cerro 17 3 4 10 10:28 -18 13
16 Atlético Progreso 17 2 4 11 13:27 -14 10

Team Form

Nacional hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Cerro Largo have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional (20% BTTS at home) and Cerro Largo (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Cerro Largo in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Cerro Largo in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Cerro Largo frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Nacional are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Cerro Largo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nacional and Cerro Largo. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

17 Jan 2026
Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Cerro Largo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Oct 2025
Nacional
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Cerro Largo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2025
Cerro Largo
0 – 4 HT: 0-2
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Oct 2024
Cerro Largo
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jun 2024
Cerro Largo
0 – 4 HT: 0-2
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2024
Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cerro Largo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Aug 2023
Cerro Largo
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Jul 2023
Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cerro Largo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Feb 2023
Nacional
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cerro Largo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Sep 2022
Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Cerro Largo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Cerro Largo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 1.46
Draw 3.9
Cerro Largo 8.2

Half Time Result

Nacional 1.97
Draw 2.18
Cerro Largo 7.36

Double Chance

Nacional or Draw 1.08
Nacional or Cerro Largo 1.2
Draw or Cerro Largo 2.55

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.18
No 1.79

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 2.01
Over 3.5 3.63
Under 1.5 3.31
Under 2.5 1.81
Under 3.5 1.3

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 3.01

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.3
Over 9.5 1.54
Over 10.5 1.88
Over 11.5 2.38

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.09
Over 1.5 1.67

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5 1.88
Over 1.5 5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Nacional vs Cerro Largo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Cerro Largo?

Under 2.5 Goals — Nacional have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Cerro Largo in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Cerro Largo?

Nacional hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Primera Division this season, while Cerro Largo have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Cerro Largo?

Unlikely — Nacional (20% BTTS at home) and Cerro Largo (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Primera Division. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Cerro Largo?

Uncertain — Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Cerro Largo in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Cerro Largo?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Cerro Largo's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Cerro Largo?

Possibly — Cerro Largo frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Nacional are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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