Nacional vs Deportes Tolima — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Copa Libertadores, South America
🕒 Tuesday 14th April, 23:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Nacional (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Deportes Tolima on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Nacional at 20% at home and Deportes Tolima at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Nacional at 40% at home and Deportes Tolima at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Nacional have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Deportes Tolima in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Copa Libertadores table for the 2026 season, with Nacional (1st) and Deportes Tolima (4th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Copa Libertadores 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Carabobo 4 3 0 1 5:3 +2 9
2 Juventud 6 2 2 2 8:8 0 8
3 Independiente Medellín 4 2 2 0 5:3 +2 8
4 Barcelona Guayaquil 5 2 1 2 3:3 0 7
5 Deportes Tolima A 5 2 1 2 3:2 +1 7
6 2 de Mayo 4 1 3 0 4:3 +1 6
7 O'Higgins 4 2 0 2 3:4 -1 6
8 Deportivo Táchira 4 2 0 2 3:3 0 6
9 Sporting Cristal 4 1 2 1 4:4 0 5
10 Botafogo 4 1 1 2 3:3 0 4
11 LDU Quito 1 1 0 0 1:0 +1 3
12 Universidad Católica 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
13 Cruzeiro 1 1 0 0 1:0 +1 3
14 Boca Juniors 1 1 0 0 2:1 +1 3
15 Argentinos Juniors 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
16 Independiente Rivadavia 1 1 0 0 1:0 +1 3
17 Nacional Potosí 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
18 Bahia 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
19 The Strongest 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
20 Alianza Lima 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
21 Universitario 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
22 Liverpool 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
23 Guaraní 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
24 Fluminense 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
25 Deportivo La Guaira 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
26 Cerro Porteño 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
27 Palmeiras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
28 Junior FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
29 Independiente del Valle 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
30 Libertad 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
31 Rosario Central 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
32 UCV 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
33 Mirassol 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
34 Lanús 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
35 Always Ready 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
36 Universidad Católica 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
37 Cusco FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
38 Flamengo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
39 Estudiantes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
40 Nacional H 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
41 Coquimbo Unido 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
42 Peñarol 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
43 Corinthians 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
44 Santa Fe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
45 Platense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
46 Club Bolívar 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
47 Huachipato 2 0 0 2 1:3 -2 0

Team Form

Deportes Tolima have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Nacional have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Nacional (Home Form) Deportes Tolima (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional (40% BTTS at home) and Deportes Tolima (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Nacional (Home Form) Deportes Tolima (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Nacional (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Deportes Tolima (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Deportes Tolima (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Deportes Tolima (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Deportes Tolima in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Deportes Tolima (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Deportes Tolima (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Deportes Tolima (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Nacional (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Deportes Tolima (80% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Nacional (Home Form) Deportes Tolima (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Deportes Tolima have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Deportes Tolima (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Deportes Tolima (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Deportes Tolima across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 1.75
Draw 3.56
Deportes Tolima 4.5

Half Time Result

Nacional 2.5
Draw 2.05
Deportes Tolima 5

Double Chance

Nacional or Draw 1.2
Nacional or Deportes Tolima 1.3
Draw or Deportes Tolima 1.9

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.1
No 1.66

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.3
Over 3.5 4.33
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.5 1.6
Under 3.5 1.2

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.4

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.1

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5 1.66
Over 1.5 4.33

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Akademija Pandev U19 vs Shkupi U19 12:00 BST | Mladinska Super liga, Macedonia Akademija Pandev U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Shkupi U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    85% combined
  • Portadown U20 vs Glentoran U20 19:45 BST | Premiership Development League, Northern Ireland Portadown U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Glentoran U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    85% combined
  • Vardar U19 vs Makedonija GjP U19 09:00 BST | Mladinska Super liga, Macedonia Vardar U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Makedonija GjP U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    84% combined
  • Partizan U19 vs Crvena Zvezda U19 10:00 BST | U19 League, Serbia Partizan U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Crvena Zvezda U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    77% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.01
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Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?

Under 2.5 Goals — Nacional have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Deportes Tolima in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Deportes Tolima?

Nacional have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Deportes Tolima on the road (20% wins) in Copa Libertadores. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Deportes Tolima?

Unlikely — Nacional (40% BTTS at home) and Deportes Tolima (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Copa Libertadores. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Deportes Tolima?

Unlikely — Nacional (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Deportes Tolima (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Copa Libertadores. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Deportes Tolima?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Deportes Tolima's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Deportes Tolima?

Nacional have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Deportes Tolima in 60% of away games in Copa Libertadores. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

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