Nacional vs Liverpool — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 20th September, 22:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Nacional have won 40% of home games, Liverpool 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Nacional at 20% at home and Liverpool at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Nacional at 40% at home and Liverpool at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Nacional have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Liverpool in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2025 season, with Nacional (3rd) and Liverpool (7th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional H 40 25 12 3 79:35 +44 87
2 Peñarol 41 25 8 8 70:38 +32 83
3 Liverpool A 38 18 11 9 52:39 +13 65
4 Defensor Sporting 37 18 7 12 42:38 +4 61
5 Juventud 37 18 7 12 45:39 +6 61
6 Boston River 37 14 13 10 50:39 +11 55
7 Racing 37 14 11 12 39:38 +1 53
8 Montevideo City Torque 37 13 10 14 54:51 +3 49
9 Cerro Largo 37 12 13 12 41:41 0 49
10 Cerro 37 12 11 14 33:42 -9 47
11 Danubio 37 10 13 14 41:41 0 43
12 Atlético Progreso 37 10 9 18 38:60 -22 39
13 Plaza Colonia 37 8 11 18 28:46 -18 35
14 Wanderers 37 6 13 18 25:47 -22 31
15 River Plate 37 6 11 20 28:48 -20 29
16 Miramar Misiones 37 7 8 22 35:58 -23 29

Team Form

Nacional (40% home wins) and Liverpool (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Nacional (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional (40% BTTS at home) and Liverpool (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Nacional (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Nacional (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Liverpool (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Liverpool in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Nacional (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Liverpool (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Nacional (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Liverpool have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nacional and Liverpool. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

26th Mar, 2025
Liverpool
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Nacional
Corners 6–4 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Sep, 2024
Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Liverpool
Corners 2–5 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Jun, 2024
Nacional
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Liverpool
Corners 5–4 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Feb, 2024
Liverpool
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Nacional
Corners 2–3 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Feb, 2024
Liverpool
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Nacional
Corners 7–7 Cards 7–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Aug, 2023
Liverpool
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional
Corners 8–6 Cards 5–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Jun, 2023
Liverpool
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
Corners 2–6 Cards 4–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Feb, 2023
Nacional
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Liverpool
Corners 3–9 Cards 10–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Jan, 2023
Liverpool
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
Corners 0–10 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Oct, 2022
Liverpool
1 – 4 HT: 0-0
Nacional
Corners 7–9 Cards 5–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Liverpool across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 1.74
Draw 3.96
Liverpool 4.66

Half Time Result

Nacional 2.25
Draw 2.25
Liverpool 5

Double Chance

Nacional or Draw 1.16
Nacional or Liverpool 1.3
Draw or Liverpool 2.15

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.83
No 1.83

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.9
Over 3.5 3.25
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 1.96
Under 3.5 1.33

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.62

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.53
Over 9.5 1.83
Over 10.5 2.5
Over 11.5 3.4

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.72
Over 2.5 3.4

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 1.57
Over 1.5 4
Over 2.5 13

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
Explore all our tips & stats

Nacional vs Liverpool Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Liverpool?

Under 2.5 Goals — Nacional have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Liverpool in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Liverpool?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Nacional have won 40% of home games, Liverpool 40% away in Primera Division. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Liverpool?

Unlikely — Nacional (40% BTTS at home) and Liverpool (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Primera Division. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Liverpool?

Unlikely — Nacional (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Liverpool (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Liverpool?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Liverpool's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Liverpool?

Nacional have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Liverpool in 60% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Peñarol vs Liverpool

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Tuesday 14th April, 00:00 BST

Match Stats

Albion vs Central Español

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 00:00 BST

Match Stats

Atlético Progreso vs Wanderers

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 17:00 BST

Match Stats

Racing vs Defensor Sporting

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 20:00 BST

Match Stats

Cerro vs Montevideo City Torque

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 14:00 BST

Match Stats

Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 20:00 BST

Match Stats

Liverpool vs Nacional

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 23:30 BST

Match Stats

Boston River vs Cerro Largo

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Monday 20th April, 21:00 BST

Match Stats

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →