Nacional vs Peñarol Football Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Sunday 30th November, 19:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Nacional sit 1st in the table after 38 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Peñarol are 2nd after 38 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Nacional have won 60% of home games, Peñarol 60% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Nacional have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Peñarol in 10% away. Nacional average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Peñarol 1.3 and 0.7 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Nacional have seen BTTS in only 20% of home games (2/10); Peñarol in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Nacional see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Nacional have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Peñarol in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2025 season, with Nacional (1st) and Peñarol (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional H 24 15 8 1 43:19 +24 53
2 Peñarol A 25 16 5 4 47:21 +26 53
3 Defensor Sporting 21 10 4 7 22:24 -2 34
4 Boston River 21 8 9 4 34:20 +14 33
5 Montevideo City Torque 21 9 5 7 36:26 +10 32
6 Liverpool 22 9 5 8 30:30 0 32
7 Cerro 21 9 4 8 20:22 -2 31
8 Danubio 21 8 4 9 27:24 +3 28
9 Cerro Largo 21 7 7 7 24:22 +2 28
10 Juventud 21 8 4 9 19:22 -3 28
11 Racing 21 7 6 8 23:28 -5 27
12 Atlético Progreso 21 7 3 11 21:32 -11 24
13 River Plate 21 4 7 10 18:27 -9 19
14 Miramar Misiones 21 4 5 12 19:32 -13 17
15 Plaza Colonia 21 3 7 11 15:31 -16 16
16 Wanderers 21 3 7 11 12:30 -18 16

Team Form

Nacional (60% home wins) and Peñarol (60% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Nacional (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional (20% BTTS at home) and Peñarol (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Nacional (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Peñarol in 10% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Peñarol in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 20% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Nacional (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Peñarol have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nacional and Peñarol. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23rd Nov, 2025
Peñarol
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Nacional
Corners 7–0 Cards 6–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Aug, 2025
Peñarol
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Nacional
Corners 4–3 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Jul, 2025
Nacional
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Feb, 2025
Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
Corners 7–5 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Jan, 2025
Nacional
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Peñarol
Corners 2–8 Cards 6–7 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Jan, 2025
Nacional
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Peñarol
Corners 2–4 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Oct, 2024
Nacional
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Peñarol
Corners 6–0 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Aug, 2024
Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Peñarol
Corners 4–3 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Mar, 2024
Peñarol
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional
Corners 7–6 Cards 1–7 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Jan, 2024
Peñarol
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Nacional
Corners 4–5 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Peñarol across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 2.45
Draw 3.02
Peñarol 3.4

Half Time Result

Nacional 3.04
Draw 1.9
Peñarol 3.85

Double Chance

Nacional or Draw 1.31
Nacional or Peñarol 1.4
Draw or Peñarol 1.6

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.86
No 1.96

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.42
Over 2.5 2.32
Over 3.5 4.4
Under 1.5 3.15
Under 2.5 1.7
Under 3.5 1.26

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 3.03

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.2
Over 9.5 1.58
Over 10.5 2.26
Over 11.5 2.51

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.48

Peñarol Goals

Over 0.5 1.43
Over 1.5 2.8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Nacional vs Peñarol Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Peñarol?

Under 2.5 Goals — Nacional have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Peñarol in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Peñarol?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Nacional have won 60% of home games, Peñarol 60% away in Primera Division. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Peñarol?

Unlikely — Nacional (20% BTTS at home) and Peñarol (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Primera Division. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Peñarol?

Uncertain — Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Peñarol in 10% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Peñarol?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Peñarol's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Peñarol?

Nacional have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 20% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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