Nacional vs Porto Football Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 15th February, 00:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Nacional sit 14th in the table after 19 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Porto are 1st after 18 games, averaging 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Nacional have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Porto have won 5/10 on the road (50%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Porto have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Nacional are lower at home (40%, 4/10), averaging 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded.

Porto regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Nacional are lower at home (30%, 3/10) — they've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Nacional regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Porto are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Nacional see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Porto in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nacional (14th) and Porto (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto A 34 28 4 2 66:18 +48 88
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89:24 +65 82
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74:25 +49 80
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64:36 +28 59
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42:29 +13 56
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47:38 +9 50
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
9 Arouca 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
14 Nacional H 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
15 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
16 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21

Team Form

Nacional have won 40% of home games this season, Porto 50% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Nacional (Home Form) Porto (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Porto regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Nacional are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Nacional (Home Form) Porto (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Porto regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Nacional are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Porto (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Porto (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Porto in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Porto (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Porto (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Porto (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both Nacional (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Porto (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Nacional (Home Form) Porto (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Porto have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Porto (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Porto (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nacional and Porto. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

13 Sep 2025
Porto
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 May 2025
Porto
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Jan 2025
Nacional
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Porto
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Jul 2024
Porto
4 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Apr 2021
Nacional
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Porto
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Jan 2021
Nacional
2 – 4 HT: 1-1
Porto
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Dec 2020
Porto
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 May 2019
Nacional
0 – 4 HT: 0-2
Porto
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Jan 2019
Porto
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Mar 2017
Porto
7 – 0 HT: 2-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Porto across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 8.13
Draw 4.75
Porto 1.42

Half Time Result

Nacional 7.85
Draw 2.51
Porto 1.93

Double Chance

Nacional or Draw 3.06
Nacional or Porto 1.16
Draw or Porto 1.09

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.2
No 1.69

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.31
Over 2.5 1.94
Over 3.5 3.35
Under 1.5 3.63
Under 2.5 1.98
Under 3.5 1.3

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.34
Over 1.5 2.82

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.5
Over 9.5 1.58
Over 10.5 2.37
Over 11.5 3.25

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.89
Over 1.5 5.35

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.62

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Nacional vs Porto Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Porto?

Over 8.5 Corners — Nacional see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Porto in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Porto?

Porto hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Nacional at home (40% wins) in Liga Portugal. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Porto?

Possibly — Porto regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Nacional are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Porto?

Possibly — Porto regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Nacional are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Porto?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Porto's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Porto?

Yes — both Nacional (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Porto (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga Portugal. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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Match Stats

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