Nacional vs Tondela Football Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Saturday 13th December, 15:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Nacional sit 11th in the table after 11 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Tondela are 17th after 11 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 2.1 conceded on the road. Nacional have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Tondela have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Tondela in 60% away (6/10). Nacional average 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Tondela 0.9 and 2.1 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Nacional have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Tondela in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Nacional regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Tondela are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Nacional see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Tondela in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nacional (11th) and Tondela (17th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66:18 +48 88
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89:24 +65 82
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74:25 +49 80
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64:36 +28 59
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42:29 +13 56
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47:38 +9 50
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
9 Arouca 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
14 Nacional H 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
15 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
16 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
17 Tondela A 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21

Team Form

Tondela have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Nacional have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Nacional (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional (30% BTTS at home) and Tondela (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Nacional (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Tondela in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Tondela in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 21 (2.1 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Tondela are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Nacional (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Tondela have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nacional and Tondela. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

12th May, 2024
Tondela
2 – 3 HT: 1-0
Nacional
6th Jan, 2024
Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Tondela
29th Jan, 2023
Tondela
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional
9th Nov, 2022
Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tondela
6th Aug, 2022
Nacional
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Tondela
22nd Apr, 2021
Tondela
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Nacional
27th Dec, 2020
Nacional
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tondela
2nd Mar, 2019
Nacional
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Tondela
28th Dec, 2018
Tondela
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Nacional
5th Oct, 2018
Tondela
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Tondela across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 2.44
Draw 3.2
Tondela 3.21

Half Time Result

Nacional 3.16
Draw 1.95
Tondela 3.85

Double Chance

Nacional or Draw 1.38
Nacional or Tondela 1.38
Draw or Tondela 1.6

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.86
No 2

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.31
Over 2.5 2.2
Over 3.5 3.9
Under 1.5 3.24
Under 2.5 1.73
Under 3.5 1.27

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.28

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25
Over 9.5 1.51
Over 10.5 2
Over 11.5 2.36

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.53

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 2.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined

Nacional vs Tondela Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Tondela?

Over 8.5 Corners — Nacional see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Tondela in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Tondela?

Nacional have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Tondela on the road (20% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Tondela?

Unlikely — Nacional (30% BTTS at home) and Tondela (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Portugal. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Tondela?

Uncertain — Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Tondela in 60% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Tondela?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Tondela's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Tondela?

Possibly — Nacional regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Tondela are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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