Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Super League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 7th March, 13:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Nairobi City Stars (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Mwatate United on the road (10% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Nairobi City Stars 20% Over 2.5 at home, Mwatate United 50% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Nairobi City Stars at 40% at home and Mwatate United at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Nairobi City Stars have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Mwatate United in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Super League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nairobi City Stars (12th) and Mwatate United (19th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Super League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Migori Youth 29 19 4 6 45:25 +20 61
2 Mombasa United 28 19 1 8 43:26 +17 58
3 3K 28 16 5 7 43:19 +24 53
4 Equity Bank 28 14 9 5 36:26 +10 51
5 MOFA 28 13 11 4 37:19 +18 50
6 Fortune Sacco 28 14 7 7 48:26 +22 49
7 Kibera Black Stars 29 15 3 11 26:23 +3 48
8 Nzoia United 29 10 12 7 29:22 +7 42
9 Talanta 29 11 8 10 28:24 +4 41
10 Naivas 29 11 8 10 29:26 +3 41
11 Soy United 29 11 6 12 24:21 +3 39
12 Nairobi City Stars H 28 8 10 10 24:27 -3 34
13 Kisumu All Stars 29 8 6 15 19:37 -18 30
14 Gucha Stars FC 27 8 6 13 25:30 -5 30
15 Luanda Villa 29 8 5 16 19:39 -20 29
16 Darajani Gogo 29 7 6 16 19:36 -17 27
17 Kabati Youth FC 29 7 6 16 19:39 -20 27
18 Vihiga United 28 6 8 14 23:40 -17 26
19 MCF 26 6 7 13 17:25 -8 25
20 Mwatate United A 29 6 6 17 24:47 -23 24

Team Form

Mwatate United have lost 80% of their away matches this season, while Nairobi City Stars have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Nairobi City Stars (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Lost 1 (10%) 8 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nairobi City Stars (40% BTTS at home) and Mwatate United (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Nairobi City Stars (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Nairobi City Stars have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Mwatate United in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nairobi City Stars (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Nairobi City Stars (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Nairobi City Stars have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Mwatate United in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nairobi City Stars (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nairobi City Stars (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Nairobi City Stars (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Nairobi City Stars have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Mwatate United in 20% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Nairobi City Stars (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Nairobi City Stars have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Mwatate United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nairobi City Stars (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Nairobi City Stars (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nairobi City Stars and Mwatate United. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

22 Nov 2025
Mwatate United
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Nairobi City Stars
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nairobi City Stars 1.56
Draw 3.46
Mwatate United 5.68

Half Time Result

Nairobi City Stars 2.05
Draw 2.05
Mwatate United 6.5

Double Chance

Nairobi City Stars or Draw 1.11
Nairobi City Stars or Mwatate United 1.29
Draw or Mwatate United 2.25

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.2
No 1.57

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.42
Over 2.5 2.25
Over 3.5 4.15
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.5 1.55
Under 3.5 1.22

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.1

Nairobi City Stars Goals

Over 0.5 1.19
Over 1.5 1.92

Mwatate United Goals

Over 0.5 1.89
Over 1.5 5.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23 15:00 BST | Liga Revelacao U23, Portugal Rio Ave U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/14 home matches this season · Portimonense U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    79% combined
  • Schwechat vs Red Star Penzing 18:00 BST | Landesliga: Wien, Austria Schwechat have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Red Star Penzing have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    74% combined
  • Dergview vs Strabane Athletic 19:45 BST | Premier Intermediate League, Northern Ireland Dergview have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Strabane Athletic have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    74% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Swansea City U21 14:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 home matches this season · Swansea City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    69% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.22
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Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United?

Under 3.5 Goals — Nairobi City Stars have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Mwatate United in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Nairobi City Stars or Mwatate United?

Nairobi City Stars have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Mwatate United on the road (10% wins) in Super League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nairobi City Stars and Mwatate United?

Unlikely — Nairobi City Stars (40% BTTS at home) and Mwatate United (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Super League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nairobi City Stars and Mwatate United?

Uncertain — Nairobi City Stars have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Mwatate United in 50% of away games in Super League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nairobi City Stars or Mwatate United?

Nairobi City Stars have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Mwatate United's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nairobi City Stars and Mwatate United?

Nairobi City Stars have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Mwatate United in 20% of away games in Super League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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