Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Wednesday 1st April, 13:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Nairobi United (20% home wins) hold a slight edge over Mara Sugar on the road (10% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Nairobi United frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Mara Sugar are more variable on the road (60%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Nairobi United 50% at home, Mara Sugar 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Nairobi United usually generate 8+ corners at home (60%), while Mara Sugar are less consistent on the road (50%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Nairobi United have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Mara Sugar in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nairobi United (10th) and Mara Sugar (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 25 17 5 3 44:18 +26 56
2 Leopards 26 15 7 4 34:18 +16 52
3 Shabana 26 12 7 7 31:27 +4 43
4 Homeboyz 25 11 9 5 37:26 +11 42
5 Police 25 10 10 5 22:17 +5 40
6 Murang'a SEAL 26 10 8 8 33:29 +4 38
7 Tusker 25 11 4 10 23:25 -2 37
8 Bandari 26 8 13 5 21:18 +3 37
9 KCB 26 10 7 9 26:27 -1 37
10 Nairobi United H 22 9 6 7 27:22 +5 33
11 Posta Rangers 26 7 10 9 23:31 -8 31
12 Mathare United 25 8 6 11 22:24 -2 30
13 Mara Sugar A 25 6 12 7 23:24 -1 30
14 Kariobangi Sharks 26 5 10 11 18:29 -11 25
15 Ulinzi Stars 26 6 7 13 25:30 -5 25
16 Bidco United 26 4 10 12 16:29 -13 22
17 APS Bomet 24 3 9 12 22:32 -10 18
18 Sofapaka 26 3 6 17 15:36 -21 15

Team Form

Nairobi United have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Mara Sugar have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Lost 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nairobi United have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Mara Sugar in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Nairobi United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Mara Sugar in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Nairobi United have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Mara Sugar in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Nairobi United have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Mara Sugar in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Nairobi United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Mara Sugar have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nairobi United and Mara Sugar. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

01 Oct 2025
Mara Sugar
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nairobi United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Jun 2025
Nairobi United
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Mara Sugar
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Jun 2024
Mara Sugar
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nairobi United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Dec 2023
Nairobi United
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Mara Sugar
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nairobi United 2.14
Draw 2.87
Mara Sugar 3.33

Half Time Result

Nairobi United 3.04
Draw 1.8
Mara Sugar 4.46

Double Chance

Nairobi United or Draw 1.25
Nairobi United or Mara Sugar 1.33
Draw or Mara Sugar 1.57

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.18
No 1.58

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.54
Over 2.5 1.81
Over 3.5 5.55
Under 1.5 1.33
Under 2.5 1.33
Under 3.5 1.08

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.57
Over 1.5 3.8

Nairobi United Goals

Over 0.5 1.34
Over 1.5 2.84

Mara Sugar Goals

Over 0.5 1.56
Over 1.5 3.98

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Wisla U19 vs Gornik Z. U19 11:00 BST Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Gornik Z. U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    85% combined
  • Sportivo Trinidense Res. vs Olimpia Res. 11:30 BST Sportivo Trinidense Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    83% combined
  • Hearts W vs Celtic W 19:00 BST Hearts W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Celtic W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.9
    81% combined
  • Puebla W vs Querétaro W 22:45 BST Puebla W have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 home matches this season · Querétaro W have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.9
    76% combined
Acca odds (approx) 7.51
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Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?

Under 2.5 Goals — Nairobi United have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Mara Sugar in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Nairobi United or Mara Sugar?

Nairobi United have a slight form edge at home (20% wins) over Mara Sugar on the road (10% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nairobi United and Mara Sugar?

Mixed — Nairobi United have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Mara Sugar in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nairobi United and Mara Sugar?

Uncertain — Nairobi United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Mara Sugar in 30% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nairobi United or Mara Sugar?

Nairobi United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Mara Sugar's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nairobi United and Mara Sugar?

Nairobi United have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Mara Sugar in 40% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Wednesday 1st April, 13:00 BST

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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