Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Wednesday 1st April, 13:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

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Nairobi United sit 10th in the table after 16 games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Mara Sugar are 12th after 17 games, averaging 1 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Nairobi United have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Mara Sugar have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Nairobi United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Mara Sugar in 50% away (5/10). Nairobi United average 1.9 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Mara Sugar 1 and 1.4 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Nairobi United at 50% in home games (5/10), Mara Sugar at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Nairobi United see 8+ in 60% of home games, Mara Sugar in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nairobi United (10th) and Mara Sugar (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 +28 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 +16 64
3 Police 34 13 16 5 31:21 +10 55
4 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 +1 52
5 Nairobi United H 32 14 10 8 43:32 +11 52
6 Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 +10 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 -1 48
8 Murang'a SEAL 34 13 8 13 42:42 0 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 -5 45
10 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 0 44
11 Mara Sugar A 34 10 14 10 30:30 0 44
12 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 -4 41
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 35:37 -2 41
14 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 -9 40
15 APS Bomet 32 10 10 12 35:34 +1 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 -3 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 -21 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 -32 19

Team Form

Mara Sugar have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Nairobi United have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Lost 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nairobi United have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Mara Sugar in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Nairobi United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Mara Sugar in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Nairobi United have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Mara Sugar in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Mara Sugar frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Nairobi United are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Team Corners

Nairobi United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Mara Sugar have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Nairobi United (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nairobi United and Mara Sugar. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

01 Oct 2025
Mara Sugar
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nairobi United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Jun 2025
Nairobi United
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Mara Sugar
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Jun 2024
Mara Sugar
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nairobi United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Dec 2023
Nairobi United
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Mara Sugar
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nairobi United 2.7
Draw 3
Mara Sugar 2.78

Half Time Result

Nairobi United 4.07
Draw 1.75
Mara Sugar 3.42

Double Chance

Nairobi United or Draw 1.41
Nairobi United or Mara Sugar 1.33
Draw or Mara Sugar 1.32

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.18
No 1.74

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.59
Over 2.5 2.8
Over 3.5 6
Under 1.5 2.66
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 3.5 1.18

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.6
Over 1.5 3.9

Nairobi United Goals

Over 0.5 1.55
Over 1.5 4.05

Mara Sugar Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Nairobi United or Mara Sugar?

Nairobi United have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Mara Sugar on the road (20% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nairobi United and Mara Sugar?

Mixed — Nairobi United have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Mara Sugar in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nairobi United and Mara Sugar?

Uncertain — Nairobi United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Mara Sugar in 50% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nairobi United or Mara Sugar?

Nairobi United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Mara Sugar's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nairobi United and Mara Sugar?

Possibly — Mara Sugar frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Nairobi United are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

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