Tusker vs Mara Sugar Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Friday 24th April, 12:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Tusker sit 7th in the table after 22 games, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per home match this season. Mara Sugar are 11th after 25 games, averaging 1 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Tusker have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Mara Sugar have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Tusker have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 0% of home games this season (0/10); Mara Sugar in 50% away (5/10). Tusker average 0.9 scored and 0.3 conceded at home, Mara Sugar 1 and 1.4 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Tusker at 20% in home games (2/10), Mara Sugar at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Tusker see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Mara Sugar in 60% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Tusker have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Mara Sugar in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tusker (7th) and Mara Sugar (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 +28 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 +16 64
3 Police 34 13 16 5 31:21 +10 55
4 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 +1 52
5 Nairobi United 32 14 10 8 43:32 +11 52
6 Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 +10 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 -1 48
8 Murang'a SEAL 34 13 8 13 42:42 0 47
9 Tusker H 34 13 6 15 27:32 -5 45
10 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 0 44
11 Mara Sugar A 34 10 14 10 30:30 0 44
12 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 -4 41
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 35:37 -2 41
14 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 -9 40
15 APS Bomet 32 10 10 12 35:34 +1 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 -3 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 -21 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 -32 19

Team Form

Mara Sugar have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Tusker have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Tusker (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tusker have seen both teams score in 20% of home games, Mara Sugar in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Tusker (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Tusker have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 0% of home games, Mara Sugar in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Tusker (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Tusker (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Tusker have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Mara Sugar in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tusker (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Tusker (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Tusker (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 9 (0.9 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 3 (0.3 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Mara Sugar frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Tusker are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Tusker (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Team Corners

Tusker have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Mara Sugar have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tusker (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Tusker (Home Form) Mara Sugar (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tusker and Mara Sugar. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

29 Nov 2025
Mara Sugar
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Tusker
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2025
Mara Sugar
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Tusker
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Nov 2024
Tusker
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Mara Sugar
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tusker vs Mara Sugar across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tusker 2.32
Draw 2.51
Mara Sugar 3.64

Half Time Result

Tusker 3.3
Draw 1.64
Mara Sugar 5.08

Double Chance

Tusker or Draw 1.21
Tusker or Mara Sugar 1.4
Draw or Mara Sugar 1.48

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.56
No 1.43

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.79
Over 2.5 3.34
Over 3.5 7.4
Under 1.5 1.95
Under 2.5 1.24
Under 3.5 1.03

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.75
Over 1.5 4.6

Tusker Goals

Over 0.5 1.47
Over 1.5 3.34

Mara Sugar Goals

Over 0.5 1.73
Over 1.5 5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Tusker vs Mara Sugar Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tusker vs Mara Sugar?

Under 3.5 Goals — Tusker have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Mara Sugar in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Tusker or Mara Sugar?

Tusker have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Mara Sugar on the road (20% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Tusker and Mara Sugar?

Mixed — Tusker have seen BTTS in 20% of home games, Mara Sugar in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tusker and Mara Sugar?

Uncertain — Tusker have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 0% of home games, Mara Sugar in 50% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tusker or Mara Sugar?

Mara Sugar have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Tusker's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tusker and Mara Sugar?

Possibly — Mara Sugar frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Tusker are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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