Napoli vs AC Milan — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Italy
🕒 Monday 6th April, 19:45 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

AC Milan have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Napoli are less dominant at home (5/10, 50%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Napoli 80% at home, AC Milan 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Napoli often see both teams score at home (70%), while AC Milan are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Napoli see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, AC Milan in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025/2026 season, with Napoli (3rd) and AC Milan (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Inter 30 22 3 5 66:24 +42 69
2 AC Milan A 30 18 9 3 47:23 +24 63
3 Napoli H 30 19 5 6 46:30 +16 62
4 Como 30 16 9 5 53:22 +31 57
5 Roma 30 17 3 10 40:23 +17 54
6 Juventus 30 15 9 6 52:29 +23 54
7 Atalanta 30 13 11 6 41:27 +14 50
8 Lazio 30 11 10 9 31:28 +3 43
9 Bologna 30 12 6 12 38:36 +2 42
10 Sassuolo 31 12 6 13 38:41 -3 42
11 Udinese 30 11 6 13 35:42 -7 39
12 Parma 30 8 10 12 21:38 -17 34
13 Torino 30 9 6 15 34:53 -19 33
14 Genoa 30 8 9 13 36:42 -6 33
15 Fiorentina 31 7 11 13 36:44 -8 32
16 Cagliari 31 7 9 15 32:44 -12 30
17 Cremonese 30 6 9 15 25:44 -19 27
18 Lecce 30 7 6 17 21:40 -19 27
19 Hellas Verona 31 3 9 19 22:53 -31 18
20 Pisa 30 2 12 16 23:54 -31 18

Team Form

AC Milan have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Napoli have been less dominant at home (50%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Napoli (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Napoli frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while AC Milan are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Napoli (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Napoli 80% at home, AC Milan 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Napoli (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Napoli (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Napoli have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, AC Milan in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Napoli (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Napoli (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Napoli (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Both Napoli (70% Over 7.5 at home) and AC Milan (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Napoli (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Napoli have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

AC Milan have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Napoli (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Napoli (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Napoli and AC Milan. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

18 Dec 2025
Napoli
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
AC Milan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2025
AC Milan
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Napoli
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Mar 2025
Napoli
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Milan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Oct 2024
Milan
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Napoli
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Feb 2024
Milan
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Napoli
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Oct 2023
Napoli
2 – 2 HT: 0-2
Milan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Apr 2023
Napoli
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Milan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Apr 2023
Milan
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Napoli
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Apr 2023
Napoli
0 – 4 HT: 0-2
Milan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Sep 2022
Milan
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Napoli
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Napoli vs AC Milan across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Napoli 2.6
Draw 2.95
AC Milan 3.3

Half Time Result

Napoli 3.28
Draw 2
AC Milan 4

Double Chance

Napoli or Draw 1.36
Napoli or AC Milan 1.38
Draw or AC Milan 1.53

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.98
No 1.82

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.45
Over 2.5 2.38
Over 3.5 4.6
Under 1.5 3
Under 2.5 1.61
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.47
Over 1.5 3.41

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.31
Over 9.5 1.6
Over 10.5 2.4
Over 11.5 2.81

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.55

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.25

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Stirling University W vs East Fife W 14:00 BST | SWPL 2, Scotland Stirling University W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 home matches this season · East Fife W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    100% combined
  • III. Kerületi TUE vs Dunaharaszti MTK 12:00 BST | NB 3: Southeast, Hungary III. Kerületi TUE have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Dunaharaszti MTK have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    91% combined
  • Vojvodina U19 vs Spartak Subotica U19 10:00 BST | U19 League, Serbia Vojvodina U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Spartak Subotica U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    86% combined
  • Flora vs Transvaal 21:30 BST | Major League, Suriname Flora have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Transvaal have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    84% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.56
Explore all our tips & stats

Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Napoli vs AC Milan?

Over 1.5 Goals — Napoli see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, AC Milan in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Napoli or AC Milan?

AC Milan hold a slight form advantage away (60% wins) over Napoli at home (50% wins) in Serie A. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Napoli and AC Milan?

Possibly — Napoli frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while AC Milan are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Napoli and AC Milan?

Uncertain — Napoli have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, AC Milan in 40% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Napoli or AC Milan?

AC Milan have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Napoli's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Napoli and AC Milan?

Napoli have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, AC Milan in 60% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Pisa vs Torino

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Sunday 5th April, 17:00 BST

Match Stats

Inter vs Roma

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Sunday 5th April, 19:45 BST

Match Stats

Udinese vs Como

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Monday 6th April, 11:30 BST

Match Stats

Lecce vs Atalanta

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Monday 6th April, 14:00 BST

Match Stats

Juventus vs Genoa

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Monday 6th April, 17:00 BST

Match Stats

Napoli vs AC Milan

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Monday 6th April, 19:45 BST

Match Stats

Roma vs Pisa

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Friday 10th April, 19:45 BST

Match Stats

Torino vs Hellas Verona

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Saturday 11th April, 14:00 BST

Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →