NEC vs Mbarara City Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Uganda
🕒 Friday 24th April, 18:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

NEC to Win

NEC sit 5th in the table after 21 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Mbarara City are 14th after 21 games, averaging 0.5 scored and 2 conceded on the road. NEC have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Mbarara City side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. NEC have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Mbarara City in 30% away. NEC average 1 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Mbarara City 0.5 and 2 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. NEC have seen BTTS in only 20% of home games (2/10); Mbarara City in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — NEC see 9+ corners in 0% of home games, Mbarara City in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: NEC to Win — NEC have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Mbarara City have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with NEC (5th) and Mbarara City (14th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Vipers 29 19 10 0 55:14 +41 67
2 KCCA 30 19 5 6 46:22 +24 62
3 SC Villa 29 17 7 5 44:17 +27 58
4 Kitara 29 15 8 6 40:22 +18 53
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 +10 51
6 NEC H 29 13 11 5 29:22 +7 50
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 +7 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
11 URA 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
12 Mbarara City A 30 6 8 16 26:47 -21 26
13 Lugazi Municipal 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
14 UPDF 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
15 Calvary 29 4 9 16 14:36 -22 21
16 Buhimba United Saints 29 4 3 22 16:63 -47 15

Team Form

NEC hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Mbarara City have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

NEC (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

NEC (20% BTTS at home) and Mbarara City (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

NEC (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

NEC (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Mbarara City (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

NEC (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

NEC (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

NEC have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Mbarara City in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

NEC (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

NEC (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

NEC (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

NEC (10% Over 8.5 at home) and Mbarara City (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

NEC (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

NEC have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Mbarara City have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

NEC (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

NEC (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between NEC and Mbarara City. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

01 Nov 2025
Mbarara City
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
NEC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Apr 2025
Mbarara City
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
NEC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Jan 2025
NEC
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Mbarara City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Feb 2024
NEC
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Mbarara City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Sep 2023
Mbarara City
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
NEC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for NEC vs Mbarara City across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

NEC 1.28
Draw 4.33
Mbarara City 9.5

Half Time Result

NEC 1.72
Draw 2.25
Mbarara City 11

Double Chance

NEC or Draw 1.05
NEC or Mbarara City 1.17
Draw or Mbarara City 3.4

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.62
No 1.4

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 3.5 3.45
Under 1.5 3.1
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.3

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 3

NEC Goals

Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.52

Mbarara City Goals

Over 0.5 2.47
Over 1.5 9.8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Brisbane City vs Queensland Lions 09:00 BST | Npl Queensland, Australia Brisbane City have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Queensland Lions have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    100% combined
  • Qviding FIF vs Astorps FF 15:00 BST | Division 2: Vastra Gotaland, Sweden Qviding FIF have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Astorps FF have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    100% combined
  • Caboolture vs Ipswich 09:00 BST | Queensland Premier League, Australia Caboolture have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Ipswich have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    93% combined
  • Rochedale Rovers vs Peninsula Power 10:00 BST | Npl Queensland, Australia Rochedale Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Peninsula Power have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    91% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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NEC vs Mbarara City Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for NEC vs Mbarara City?

NEC to Win — they've won 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 home games, while Mbarara City have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, NEC or Mbarara City?

NEC hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Premier League this season, while Mbarara City have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between NEC and Mbarara City?

Unlikely — NEC (20% BTTS at home) and Mbarara City (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between NEC and Mbarara City?

Unlikely — NEC (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Mbarara City (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Premier League. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: NEC or Mbarara City?

NEC have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Mbarara City's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between NEC and Mbarara City?

Unlikely — NEC (10% Over 8.5 at home) and Mbarara City (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Premier League.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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